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3 statements across 3 episodes · 2 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Apr 11, 2024 by Jungwon Byun · across every show →

Everything said about research, oldest first

Apr 11, 2024
Insight
Byun: Research, not probability modeling, is the bottleneck in forecasting
“The thing that's blocking people from making interesting predictions about important events in the world is less kind of on the probabilistic side and much more on the research side.”
Jungwon Byun Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 20:46 Supervise the Process of AI Research — with Jungwon Byun and Andreas Stuhlmüller of Elicit
Aug 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Carlini: 90% of scientific research is routine work that AI can automate
“90% of this is not doing something new. Like, 90% of this is like doing things a million people have done before, and then a little bit of something that was new. There's a reason why we say we stand on the shoulders of giants. It's true. Almost everything tha…”
Nicholas Carlini Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 19:50 Personal benchmarks vs HumanEval - with Nicholas Carlini of DeepMind
May 24, 2026 positive
Opinion
Wang: Mechanistic interpretability is easiest path to research for engineers
“And Macinterp is probably the easiest, single easiest way that engineers can get into research if they want to.”
Shawn Wang May 24, 2026 ▶ 21:50 ⚡️ Google's Open AI Strategy — Omar Sanseviero, Google DeepMind
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