fine-tuning

also referred to as: fine tuning

24 statements across 17 episodes · 11 bullish · 8 bearish · 16 people on the record · first statement Oct 12, 2023 by Jerry Liu · across every show →

Everything said about fine-tuning, oldest first

Oct 12, 2023 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Liu: Developers will eventually fine-tune new factual knowledge into LLMs
“That's one of those things where I think long-term, you definitely can. I think some people say you can't. I disagree. I think you definitely can. Just right now, I haven't gotten into work yet.”
Jerry Liu Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 29:53 RAG is a hack - with Jerry Liu of LlamaIndex
Oct 20, 2023 negative
Opinion
Howard: RAG is an inefficient hack compared to fine-tuning
“RAG is like such a inefficient hack, really, isn't it? It's like, You know, segment up my data in some somewhat arbitrary way, embed it, ask questions about that, you know, hope that my embedding, you know, model embeds questions in the same embedding space as…”
Jeremy Howard Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 1:03:36 The End of Finetuning — with Jeremy Howard of Fast.ai
Oct 20, 2023 positive
Insight
Howard: There is no fine-tuning, only continued pre-training
“To me, the right way to do this is to fine, fine-tune language models, is to actually throw away the idea of fine-tuning. There's no such thing. There's only continued pre-training.”
Jeremy Howard Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 45:27 The End of Finetuning — with Jeremy Howard of Fast.ai
Dec 5, 2023 negative
Opinion
Patel: Fine-tuning existing small models for cloud use is useless
“Unless, unless you're fine tuning for on device use, I think fine tuning current existing models, especially the smaller ones is a useless waste of time, right?”
Dylan Patel Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 30:56 The State of Silicon and the GPU Poors - with Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis
Feb 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Zhang: Combining fine-tuning and RAG provides superior performance boosts
“Combining all those techniques all together, right? So we'll give you essentially another boost, right? So that kind of one thing that we learn on the technical side.”
Ce Zhang Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 1:08:27 Building an open AI company - with Ce and Vipul of Together AI
May 31, 2024 neutral
Insight
Huang: RAG versus fine-tuning is fundamentally just meta-learning
“And like, at the end of the day, it's just all meta-learning, right? Like, all we want is, like, the best meta learning workflow or meta learning setup possible to be able to adapt the model to do anything.”
Mark Huang May 31, 2024 ▶ 11:03 How to train a Million Context LLM — with Mark Huang of Gradient.ai
Aug 17, 2024 positive
Insight
Howard: Training stages form a continuum allowing deep modification of pre-trained models
“Sorry, it wasn't the end of fine-tuning, but more that we should treat it as a continuum, and we should have much higher expectations of how much you can do with an already trained model. You can really add a lot of behavior to it. You can change its behavior.…”
Jeremy Howard Aug 17, 2024 ▶ 2:04 Answer.ai & AI Magic with Jeremy Howard
Aug 17, 2024 negative
Opinion
Howard: Tech builds too many vanity foundation models over fine-tuning
“People are building too many vanity foundation models rather than taking better advantage of fine-tuning”
Jeremy Howard Aug 17, 2024 ▶ 25:06 Answer.ai & AI Magic with Jeremy Howard
Aug 17, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howard: AI developers will spend 12 months mapping RAG, fine-tuning, and KV caching
“Something over the next 12 months people will be spending time thinking about is how to, like, where to use RAG, where to use fine-tuning, where to use KV cache storage, you know, and how to use state.”
Jeremy Howard Aug 17, 2024 ▶ 1:08:05 Answer.ai & AI Magic with Jeremy Howard
Sep 17, 2024 positive
Insight
Fine-tuning requires only 100 to 1,000 high-quality examples
“It's actually a lot easier to get started than a lot of people expect. I think they might need Tens of thousands of examples, but even a hundred really high quality ones or a thousand is enough to get going.”
Michelle Pokrass Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 41:57 Building AGI with OpenAI's Structured Outputs API
Oct 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Goyal: In-context learning outperforms fine-tuning in many large-context cases
“There's a lot of cases now, especially with large context models, where in context learning just beats fine tuning.”
Ankur Goyal Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:20:55 Production AI Engineering starts with Evals
Oct 11, 2024 negative
Insight
Goyal: AI businesses focused solely on fine-tuning are vulnerable to model shifts
“For it to be a business, you need to align with the problem, not the technology. And I think that Automatic optimization is a really great business problem to solve. And I think if you're too fixated on fine tuning as the solution to that problem, then you're …”
Ankur Goyal Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:20:37 Production AI Engineering starts with Evals
Oct 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goyal: Fewer Braintrust customers run fine-tuned models in production than six months ago
“I will say in my own experience with customers as of the recording date today, which is September or something, yeah, very few of our customers are currently fine-tuning models. And I think a very, very small fraction of them are running fine-tuned models in p…”
Ankur Goyal Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:21:53 Production AI Engineering starts with Evals
Dec 24, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ben Allal: AI industry will shift to fine-tuning over prompt engineering
“And I think we're going back to fine tuning where we realize these models are really cosplay. It's better to use just a small model. We try to specialize it. So I think it's a little bit of a cycle and we're going to start to see like more of fine tuning and l…”
Loubna Ben Allal Dec 24, 2024 ▶ 27:47 Best of 2024: Synthetic Data / Smol Models, Loubna Ben Allal, HuggingFace [LS Live! @ NeurIPS 2024]
Sep 25, 2025 positive
Insight
Rajpal: Fine-tuning open-source models on synthetic data closes proprietary capability gaps
“Not out of the box, but with a lot of that fine tuning and that the training, et cetera, you are able to kind of close the gap and even have better performance on metrics.”
Shreya Rajpal Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 14:37 ⚡️Snowglobe: Simulations for your AI
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Corbitt: Fine-tuning compute runs cost only $5 to a few hundred dollars
“The dollar cost, I would say, is basically never a factor. It's just so much less than the time, the amount you're spending this engineer to do the work that it's not, I mean, it's, you know, each of these runs is between five and a couple of hundred dollars.”
Kyle Corbitt Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 14:21 Why RL Won — Kyle Corbitt, OpenPipe (acq. CoreWeave)
Oct 16, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Corbitt: Fine-tuning offers poor ROI for 90% of unconstrained use cases
“I would say for 90% of use cases where you aren't forced to a smaller model, then it's still not a good ROI, and you probably shouldn't invest in it today.”
Kyle Corbitt Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 12:49 Why RL Won — Kyle Corbitt, OpenPipe (acq. CoreWeave)
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Insight
Nelson: A Single Negative Example Goes a Long Way in Vision Fine-Tuning
“I can offer anecdotally that a single negative example goes a long way.”
Joseph Nelson Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 20:32 SAM 3: The Eyes for AI — Nikhila & Pengchuan (Meta Superintelligence), ft. Joseph Nelson (Roboflow)
Feb 5, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Deng: Goodfire's first steering API trailed prompting and fine-tuning
“When it comes to like control and design of models, you know, we tried steering with our first API and realized that it still fell short of black box techniques like prompting or fine tuning.”
Myra Deng Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 16:05 Goodfire AI’s Bet: Interpretability as the Next Frontier of Model Design — Myra Deng & Mark Bissell
Feb 10, 2026
Insight
Core AI capabilities must be built during pre-training, not just fine-tuned
“If there is a core capability that you actually care about, that capability should be part of the foundation and not a fine-tuned artifact.”
Pratyush Maini Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 18:53 ⚡️ Reverse Engineering OpenAI's Training Data — Pratyush Maini, Datology
Apr 15, 2026 negative
Insight
Fine-Tuning Models on Internal Tools Unnecessarily Slows Down Rapid Product Development
“It would actually really slow us down to have a model that was fine tuned on our tools because we'd have to retrain it and cut a new model every time we did that.”
Sarah Sachs Apr 15, 2026 ▶ 1:14:18 Notion’s Sarah Sachs & Simon Last on Custom Agents, Evals, and the Future of Work
May 24, 2026 bullish
Insight
Sanseviero: Most Conversational Model Behavior Changes Can Be Done via Prompting
“Just changing how the model behaves, you can do most, most of that via prompting nowadays, and in terms of capabilities, the models are very good out of the box.”
Omar Sanseviero May 24, 2026 ▶ 14:32 ⚡️ Google's Open AI Strategy — Omar Sanseviero, Google DeepMind
May 24, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sanseviero: MoE models are great for inference but hard to fine-tune
“MOEs are challenging to fine tune. I don't know if we've talked about that in the past, but MOEs in general are like an extremely good architecture. They work great for inference. But when people fine tune them, they struggle a bit. Like they are not as easy t…”
Omar Sanseviero May 24, 2026 ▶ 17:28 ⚡️ Google's Open AI Strategy — Omar Sanseviero, Google DeepMind
Jul 22, 2026
Insight
Kant: Base model pre-training is required to unlock major capabilities
“You can't fine tune your way to success, right? Major capabilities emerge from training a base model made accurate and useful during fine tuning.”
Eiso Kant Jul 22, 2026 ▶ 52:57 The AI Frontier: from open weights to open research — Eiso Kant, Poolside AI
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