Google DeepMind's Omar Sanseviero discusses architectural trade-offs between dense models and Mixture of Experts (MoE) models.
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Smartphones will run Gemini 3 Pro-level models locally within two years
“I do think We are heading towards a future in one, two years where imagine like you can run a Gemini three pro powerful model directly in your phone, right?”
Assertion Supported
Sanseviero: AI labs republished model merging techniques previously created on Reddit
“Yeah, like all of the FrankenMoe stuff, like all of the Axolotl library, like all of these tools, and there were papers published by different companies and research labs one or two years later that were rediscovering what was already done by The Reddit or Dis…”
Insight
Sanseviero: Local models handle agentic capabilities well, but world knowledge requires scale
“With local models or models that you can run in your own hardware, you can get capabilities, so you can get agent capabilities, function calling, system instructions, like conversational, and that kind of stuff. Knowledge is much trickier, so for knowledge, yo…”
Insight
Sanseviero: Most Conversational Model Behavior Changes Can Be Done via Prompting
“Just changing how the model behaves, you can do most, most of that via prompting nowadays, and in terms of capabilities, the models are very good out of the box.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sanseviero: Deep architecture research will not be automated within two years
“If you want to do, like, deeper research in the architecture, my hunch is that most likely this will not be, like, automatable, at least in the next one or two years.”
Assertion Supported
Gemma 4 E2B loads only 2B of 5B parameters into GPU
“So the GEMA for model is a E to B. That means that it effectively has two billion parameters loaded into the GPU. It actually has almost five billion parameters, but those three billion parameters can be in the CPU, they can be in the disk, which means that yo…”