why aren't all 36 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Nejatian: Non-founder-led companies become hosts for professional consulting leeches
“Where the founders are no longer there, there's no large shareholder that cares a lot about the company. So over time, many of these companies essentially become hosts for professional leeches whose job it is to suck the company dry while making management loo…”
Opinion
Nejatian: A culture of 'suicidal empathy' is killing top tech companies
“There is a level of suicidal empathy that people have developed that is just deadly. It is killing our best companies because people are assuming that everyone is thin-skinned, and they're assuming that people are offended by facts.”
Opinion
Nejatian: Remote work generally fails, with Shopify being a rare exception
“First of all, I don't think remote works. Generally, it only works for Shopify, and that's because we built more software to make remote work than anyone reasonably thought we could. And I think the jury has fully come back on this topic, that companies that a…”
Insight
Nejatian: A/B testing primarily serves as a safety blanket for tech management
“What, for most tech companies, AB tests have done have been the safety blanket for management.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor's top external expense was millions to a consulting firm
“And usually for tech companies, like, your largest expense to an external vendor ends up being, like, your cloud provider. But for Opendoor, number one was millions of dollars written to a very large consulting firm.”
Disclosure
Nejatian mandated Opendoor return to office within one week or exit
“So Open Door had gone fully remote. So at nine a.m. That Monday, I told the entire company, hey, Open Door is going to be back in the office next Monday. If you don't plan to be in one of these offices, we appreciate your help, but you're no longer with us.”
What-if
Nejatian: Opendoor would have died without roughly a dozen key workers
“Yeah, honestly, Opendoor would have died had it not been for maybe a dozen people.”
Disclosure
Nejatian rewrote Opendoor's career page to explicitly deter uncommitted candidates
“So the first week in Open Door, I changed our career page. Our career page used to say something along the lines of, this is a happy place to work where we all care about each other, and by the way, here are all of our ERGs. Opendoor's career page now says, th…”
Insight
Nejatian: Turnarounds require violently changing defaults without change management
“You need to figure out which defaults are killing the company and change them violently. There must not be change management. Because you want the change to feel jarring.”
Disclosure
Nejatian: Opendoor built AI exoskeletons making employees three to four times faster
“We have built the AI exoskeleton around every human being at Opendoor, such that they can be three, four X more efficient than everyone else.”
Insight
Nejatian: Companies die if they allow multiple internal cultures to exist
“Companies cannot have multiple cultures. They just can't. They just die. If you allow a company to have many different cultures, What you end up creating is you lose all short form of communication. And you end up spending a lot of time aligning people such th…”
Disclosure
Nejatian killed two profitable Opendoor business lines in his first four weeks
“In my first four weeks, I killed two entire business lines. Opendoor used to have, essentially, we provided general contractor services to other companies, which was, it was a profitable business for us, but it was not the mission of our company. Our job isn't…”
Insight
Nejatian: Leaders Must Be a Nuclear Bomb of Truth Against Polite Lies
“Groups of people tend to have tendencies towards niceties. So everyone ends up telling each other nice lies. A series of white lies that take very off course. And the job of a founder type is to be, you know, a nuclear bomb of truth over and over again. First …”
Disclosure
Kaz Nejatian sent an operational blueprint designed to make unaligned employees quit
“I sent my team, I have a blueprint that I sent to the entire company, because my job was to create strong, repelling forces. I.e., I wanted everyone who didn't like how I was going to run the company to quit.”
Insight
Nejatian: Competent but mission-unaligned employees are the most dangerous
“The most dangerous people in any company, if you grab a two-by-two chart, are competent but not mission-aligned people. So your job is to identify who they are and help them move on as fast as possible.”
Insight
Nejatian: Larger meetings suppress truth, driving big companies toward mediocrity
“The larger the room is, the less space there is for truth, right? But that is the death of companies. This is why big companies are so usually average.”
Insight
Nejatian: New CEOs must meet truth-tellers alone or the company will fail
“You need to discover who are the speakers of truth and get them in a room alone so that you can discover things. Otherwise you will die.”
Insight
Nejatian: Voice criticism immediately, target issues not people, and repeat until heard
“Say it now. Like the second you know something, say it. Say it about the thing, not the person. Always say this sucks, not you suck. And say it until you've been heard.”
Assertion Contradicted
Nejatian: Opendoor halved its operating expenses while maintaining previous transaction volume
“To give you a sense, the last time Opendoor bought as many homes as we bought last quarter, Opendoor's OPEX was more than twice as high.”
Insight
Nejatian: AI lowers management needs by collapsing corporate communication barriers
“One, it lowers the need for human management, right? If you look at any company, you end up with these very long tails of managers, managing managers. Before anyone does any actual work. And AI, because it takes the communication barrier down so much, we can s…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor is buying 6-7x more homes year-over-year by removing friction
“We're buying six to seven times more homes this week than we did last year this week. And it's almost entirely because we reduce friction.”
Insight
Nejatian: Internet marketplaces are won by platforms that underwrite transaction risk
“And the third thing Player almost always tends to be someone who says, great, I will help you both find something, trust the counterparty, and underwrite the risk on both transactions. Amazon. And usually, in the marketplace of, like, on the internet, the thir…”
Disclosure
Nejatian: Opendoor makes primary profits from mortgage, insurance, and escrow
“We make our money in two ways. First, we make money in each transaction, relatively thin margins of each transaction. But we make our real money from the first derivative of the business, which is a mortgage, Insurance, title and escrow, all the things that go…”
Insight
Nejatian: Eliminating approval chains beats managing them through 'default yes' mandates
“But I think a better way to deal with this problem is to not have the chain of command
Like, to minimize the number of people who can say no, and only have people that you want and trust to do things.”
Insight
Nejatian: Heavy acronym use indicates an inverted, dysfunctional company culture
“If you have lots of acronyms, the odds are you're upside down as a company. Because acronyms are things that people do when they want to create in cultures and out cultures. By definition. So if you have acronyms, the odds are what you have done is create so m…”
Disclosure
Kaz Nejatian: Opendoor enforces rule that named individuals, not teams, decide things
“I have a rule at Open Door that people decide things, not teams. So whenever someone says legal decide X, I'm like, who? Legal doesn't get to decide thing. Like, was the name of the person.”
Insight
Nejatian: Strategy rarely drives business wins compared to superior execution
“There are very few businesses where strategy has been the cause for the win. Usually it's exceptional execution by the one company that shared the same strategy as seven other companies. It's just the best executor one.”
Insight
Kaz Nejatian: Delaying decisions to gather facts almost always increases risk
“I think it almost always does the opposite. Like, there are very few decisions that gathering more facts Will help.”
Insight
Nejatian: Initial crisis cleanup is straightforward shovel work, not complex analysis
“Chemical spills are notoriously difficult to solve and clean up. But if you arrive at the site of a chemical spill, The first bit is really easy to solve. Just grab a shovel. Yeah. The last bit requires a bunch of microscopes and shit, but the first bit is sho…”
Insight
Nejatian: Corporate failures rhyme through talent loss, rising G&A, and customer conflicts
“All success is unique, but all failures rhyme. Good people leave. People lose control of innovation. GNA goes up, and over time you end up fighting, picking fights with your customers and partners.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor replaced almost its entire workforce during its recent turnaround
“We've had to basically hire an entirely new company, and that has been very painful.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor's gradual plans to return in-person never worked
“Opendoor had had many seven-step plans over eight months to become in-person. It never worked.”
Insight
Nejatian: Companies go bankrupt when executive models drift from ground truth
“It just so happens that unless you recognize you're looking at a first derivative of a fact, not the actual fact, you almost always will build models of the world that end up drifting from reality. And this is how companies go bankrupt over time, because they …”
Disclosure
Nejatian: Opendoor started three products and shut down dozens
“If you think of my time at Opendoor, I think it's reasonable to say I've only started three products. And we've shut down a few dozen.”
Insight
Nejatian: Turnarounds Succeed by Tracking Granular Accountability Repeatedly Over Time
“There's a reason why AA works so well. Because you do things. You track your accountability. Like, day one, week one, month one. You track over and over again, thing, your accountability. And you do the right thing over and over again. And the score tends to t…”
Disclosure
Opendoor bypassed approvals by giving frontline staff corporate cards and Slack bots
“So we literally gave everyone corporate cards and said, hey, if you see a home whose power is not on, if you type in the address into Slack, you will get back the phone number you're supposed to call, the account number you're supposed to say, and the credit c…”