private equity

16 statements across 12 episodes · 4 bullish · 6 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement May 27, 2025 by Graham Weaver · across every show →

Everything said about private equity, oldest first

May 27, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Median private equity firms will struggle to raise successor funds this decade
“I think the impact of all that is that the people kind of who were putting up, you know, median returns and felt like they had this, you know, God given right to raise their next fund and it was going to be bigger. I think that's not going to work out very wel…”
Graham Weaver May 27, 2025 ▶ 1:31:51 How Graham Weaver Turns Recent Grads Into CEOs · Invest Like The Best
May 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Morgan Stanley was the sole firm recruiting undergrads into PE in 1994
“And I got recruited from Morgan Stanley, which had an in-house investment bank, and to my knowledge, they were the only ones that recruited in 1994 directly into private equity.”
Graham Weaver May 27, 2025 ▶ 15:27 How Graham Weaver Turns Recent Grads Into CEOs · Invest Like The Best
Jun 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Zito: Some State Pensions Count Rated Private Credit Against Private Equity Buckets
“There are certain states today which will take a rated private asset and comp it, like a rated IG private asset, and it eats against their private equity bucket because it's deemed private.”
John Zito Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 49:01 How Apollo Built an $800 Billion Capital Markets Giant | John Zito Interview · Invest Like The Best
Jun 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Gurley: Yale is seeking to sell $6B of private equity
“Yale Has announced that they're in the market looking to sell six billion dollars of private equity.”
Bill Gurley Jun 10, 2025 ▶ 20:06 The Gift and The Curse of Staying Private with Bill Gurley · Invest Like The Best
Jun 10, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gurley: PE Has a Real Opportunity to Extract Value From Zombie Unicorns
“I think it'd be interesting to find a PE firm that was going to very aggressively go through the zombie unicorn group of Thousand companies and try and extract value. I would think there's some opportunity there to look at it optimistically instead of pessimis…”
Bill Gurley Jun 10, 2025 ▶ 56:15 The Gift and The Curse of Staying Private with Bill Gurley · Invest Like The Best
Aug 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Milgram: Non-operational private equity firms probably have little future
“I think the sort of standard, you know, group of great deal makers who knows some allocators or rich families that will back them in buying companies, but they don't actually do anything other than buy the company and show up for board meetings. I think those …”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:35:08 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Ferrari: Bending Spoons acquires 100% of targets to hold forever
“A hundred percent acquisitions, no minorities, like and then, unlike a private equity, which would typically look to sell them three, five, seven years down the line, We buy off our balance sheet to own and operate forever”
Luca Ferrari Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 1:06 The Playbook on Buying and Running Companies Forever · Invest Like The Best
Nov 4, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Ferrari: Bending Spoons radically transforms acquired companies' tech and organization
“Unlike a private equity, which typically would make relatively shallow interventions, maybe change the management team, rethink the entire company, try to come up with a vision for the most successful version of that company, and then work as hard as we can to…”
Luca Ferrari Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 1:17 The Playbook on Buying and Running Companies Forever · Invest Like The Best
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Ferrari: Bending Spoons Holds Far Superior Advantages Over Private Equity
“I think we have far superior competitive advantage, advantages than a private equity because essentially a private equity, every single, every acquisition is, is almost a, we start afresh in a way. In our case, we do well because of the platform and the struct…”
Luca Ferrari Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 1:21:04 The Playbook on Buying and Running Companies Forever · Invest Like The Best
Nov 25, 2025 bearish
Insight
Escobari: Five-year PE fund cycles deplete dry powder when assets are cheapest
“One of the problems with the industry is the fund, the five-year fundraising cycle. To be able to raise your next fund, you have to deploy at a certain speed, and you need to return capital at a certain cadence, otherwise you don't get to do the next fund. And…”
Martin Escobari Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 24:03 Inside General Atlantic: How a $100B Growth Equity Firm Invests · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Venture capitalists building AI holding companies will underperform established private equity
“All these VCs are setting up these holding companies and, you know, we're going to use AI to make traditional businesses better. And, you know, they're really smart VCs and they're great track records, but that's what private equity has been doing for 50 years…”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 39:15 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Behring: 3G LP base favors families and sovereigns over traditional institutions
“Number two, the balance of the capital that's not ours is different from a traditional PE firm in the sense that that's a much higher component of high net worth individuals and families around the world. Some sovereigns also, but a very different LP base, and…”
Alex Behring Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 9:17 The Secretive PE Firm Behind Burger King, Tim Hortons, Skechers and Hunter Douglas (3G Capital) · Invest Like The Best
Mar 24, 2026 positive
Opinion
Private equity firms manage liquidity and exits better than venture funds
“We think a lot of firms do a really, really good job on the buy. Very, very few firms do a very good job on the sell, like, knowing when to sell, pressuring to sell, and we would tell you that the private equity funds tend to do a much better job on the sell t…”
Mitchell Green Mar 24, 2026 ▶ 11:51 Why Now is the Best Time to Buy Public Software Companies · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026
Insight
Nolan: VC is a job of thinking rather than labor
“All that ultimately matters is a few companies per vintage, and you just have to be into those. And so certainly as a VC, much more than even private equity or hedge funds, as a VC, you don't actually have to work that hard meeting everybody. You can dive in a…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 1:19:41 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
Apr 28, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Paul Tudor Jones: Institutional PE allocation jumped from 7% to 16%
“If you look at private equity in 2007, 2008, that was about seven percent of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios.”
Paul Tudor Jones Apr 28, 2026 ▶ 42:18 Legendary Trader Paul Tudor Jones on AI Risk, Bubbles and Buffett · Invest Like The Best
May 28, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Loeb: AI Will Not Replace Humans in Private Equity and Restructurings
“If you think about a continuum of public securities and private equity, the AI will not do Private equity. Always need people to do deals. I think you will. And then you have the kind of the stuff in between that requires a lot of negotiation and human interac…”
Dan Loeb May 28, 2026 ▶ 23:35 Legendary Investor Dan Loeb on AI, Credit, & Third Point’s $25B Strategy · Invest Like The Best
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