Paul Eremenko, former CTO of Airbus and founder of Universal Hydrogen, discusses the growth trajectory of the aerospace industry and its emissions challenge.
0:00 / 0:02exact quote · 2.8s
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“Aviation traffic volumes double about every 15 years.”
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More from Paul Eremenko
AssertionSupported
Eremenko: Lithium-ion batteries will never power planes larger than 10 passengers
“And lithium ion batteries, even if you take them to their absolute theoretical maximum, You are never going to fly an airplane that's bigger than about 10 people and a couple hundred kilometers distance.”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 18:33HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Universal Hydrogen expects to retrofit half the target fleet by early 2030s
“We would expect to be able to get through at least half that fleet by the early 20 thirties.”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 24:17HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
PredictionOpen · timeframe Dec 2029
Eremenko: Boeing and Airbus must choose hydrogen over hydrocarbons by late 2020s
“In the late 20 twenties, I think it will be absolutely impossible for either of those two companies to say, we're going to launch a brand new airplane that will burn hydrocarbons, right?”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 27:24HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
PredictionOpen · timeframe Oct 2032
Eremenko: Commercial hydrogen flights will operate globally before 2032
“Long before a decade from now, guy, you will be able to fly on hydrogen with a major regional airline, both in the U S or in Europe or in other parts of the world. For a ticket price that will be equivalent or lower, with the comfort knowing that the airplane …”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 36:20HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
AssertionSupported
Eremenko: Global aviation produces more carbon emissions than Germany
“Aviation is a relatively small fraction but that few percent is still more than the country of Germany.”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 8:23HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
PredictionOpen · timeframe Oct 2027
Eremenko: The ATR 72 will be the first commercial hydrogen airliner
“The airplane we are specifically targeting as the first hydrogen airplane, and which will be the largest hydrogen airplane to enter service, will be the ATR 72, which is about a 50 to 60 passenger airplane, and flies about a thousand kilometers.”
Paul EremenkoOct 20, 2022▶ 15:55HIBT Lab! Universal Hydrogen: Paul Eremenko
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