artificial general intelligence

also referred to as: agi

10 statements across 4 episodes · 5 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Sep 29, 2022 by Sam Altman · across every show →

Everything said about artificial general intelligence, oldest first

Sep 29, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: In 2016 researchers believed AGI was a century away
“At the time, People thought we were crazy. Like, good researchers say you've totally discredited yourself by talking about AGI. Most other people were like, this is, you know, a hundred years away or more.”
Sam Altman Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 19:12 HIBT Lab! OpenAI: Sam Altman
Sep 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: AGI will eventually be capable of finding a cure for cancer
“Eventually, now this will require more compute, but if we society at allocate to compute to that, you can say, like, could you go off and find a cure for cancer? And it can spend a lot of its compute cycles doing amazing scientific progress like that.”
Sam Altman Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 22:06 HIBT Lab! OpenAI: Sam Altman
Sep 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Everyone will eventually have an AGI companion assisting them all day
“But I imagine that we get to a world where each of us has sort of like a, what feels like an AGI companion that we are talking to all day that is helping us be the best version of ourselves, learn, be efficient, be happier, and we'll all experience that way.”
Sam Altman Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 22:22 HIBT Lab! OpenAI: Sam Altman
Sep 29, 2022 positive
What-if
Altman: AGI is an exception to capitalism and should be government-led
“Obviously I think capitalism is great. But I think AGI is sort of an exception to that. In a well-run society, I think even if we rewound the US, you know, 50 plus years, this would absolutely happen by the government.”
Sam Altman Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 20:08 HIBT Lab! OpenAI: Sam Altman
Feb 22, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind Were Founded Expressly to Create AGI
“Remember that the stated mission statement of OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind from the very beginning, those three companies, Have been to create artificial general intelligence.”
Tristan Harris Feb 22, 2024 ▶ 20:08 The peril (and promise) of AI with Tristan Harris: Part 1
Feb 29, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Harris: Mark Zuckerberg's plan to open-source AGI is extremely dangerous
“Mark Zuckerberg has publicly stated within the last week or so that he wants to build a Open source artificial general intelligence, which is the most dangerous thing you could possibly do.”
Tristan Harris Feb 29, 2024 ▶ 23:51 The peril (and promise) of AI with Tristan Harris: Part 2
Apr 11, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Legg: AI will surpass human-level AGI to achieve artificial superintelligence
“So that definition of AGI to me is the bar, that's the entry level into AGI, but I do not think that's where it stops. I think you start going into what they call ASI, or artificial superintelligence, and it may be the case in certain dimensions is the scaling…”
Shane Legg Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 29:33 AI is smarter than you think with Shane Legg of Google DeepMind
Apr 11, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shane Legg estimates a 50% chance of AGI by 2028
“So I actually came up with an estimate then that it was about a 50% chance of what I call AGI now by about 20 28.”
Shane Legg Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 8:42 AI is smarter than you think with Shane Legg of Google DeepMind
Apr 11, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Legg: DeepMind's 2010 business plan was one sentence to build AGI
“Our business plan from September, 2010 had our logo on the front and DeepMind, and it had one sentence, which is build the world's first artificial general intelligence.”
Shane Legg Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 10:02 AI is smarter than you think with Shane Legg of Google DeepMind
Apr 11, 2024
Insight
Shane Legg defines AGI as matching all typical human cognitive tasks
“And to be clear, the way I define artificial general intelligence is it's an artificial agent that can do all the kinds of cognitive tasks that people can typically do and possibly more.”
Shane Legg Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 8:55 AI is smarter than you think with Shane Legg of Google DeepMind
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