why aren't all 1,222 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Alabama Power earns top utility profits while residents pay high bills
“Alabama Power has It's had some of the highest earnings out of any utility company in the country year after year, specifically in the last couple of years. And people in the state of Alabama are paying some of the highest utility bills.”
Assertion Contradicted
Iseman: Make Sunsets received FAA clearance and a NOTAM for launch
“So we got, got clearance by the FAA. Like, we just got issued a NOTAM.”
Assertion Supported
De la Garza: No US federal regulations prohibit launching sulfur balloons
“There's no federal regulation that prohibits someone from putting some of that burned sulfur in a balloon and letting it go.”
Assertion Partly supported
Patton: St. John's budget almost doubled after taxing Marathon Petroleum's property
“When Marathon was actually forced by the parish council in St. John to put all of their, the property they own in St. John, and they are one of the largest landowners in St. John, when they were Required by the parish council to put that property on the tax ro…”
Assertion Supported
Riviera: The Sunshine Project Would Roughly Double Local Toxic Emissions
“Well, according to a Guardian article, this Sunshine Project would roughly double toxic emissions in its local area.”
Assertion Supported
Dr. Terrell: EPA maps show heavy cancer-causing pollution between New Orleans and Baton Rouge
“If you look at any map from the EPA of levels of cancer-causing pollution, the entire area between New Orleans and Baton Rouge will light up”
Assertion Supported
Schleifstein: Louisiana DEQ rarely denies permits to industrial companies
“The result of that is that It's rare that companies do not get the permits that they need.”
Assertion Supported
Patton: Oil and gas revenue share in Louisiana dropped from 40% to under 5%
“In the early eighties, when oil and gas was sort of at its peak, more than 40% of Louisiana state revenue came from oil and gas. Today, oil and gas pays less than five percent of Louisiana state revenue.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shah: US Solar and Wind Have Not Yet Saved a Gigaton of Carbon
“Even the solar and wind industry in the United States today hasn't saved a gigaton of carbon. Right? For all of the, like, you know, this is amazing, it's fully mature, it has not saved a gigaton of carbon.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shah: Almost No Hydrogen Investment in Past Year Came From Oil and Gas
“When you look at the investment that's been made over the last 12 months in hydrogen, almost none of it is from the oil and gas industry.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Clean Energy Is Only 5% of Global Oil Capex
“And even with windfall profits, clean energy only accounts for five percent of oil company capital expenditures globally.”
Assertion Supported
Boyle: Over 80% of US Coal Plants Cost 30% More Than Renewables
“You know, some coal plants are kind of close at the margin to the cost of new renewables, but a lot of the coal plants, more than 80%, are at least 30% more expensive to operate on a going-forward basis than the new renewables.”
Assertion Supported
Gas stoves leak unburned methane and 21 air toxics while turned off
“They actually found there's about
200 different chemicals that are present in gas.
21 of those are air toxins like benzene, which is a known carcinogen with no safe exposure limit and so we know that gas stoves leak about one percent of the methane even while …”
Assertion Supported
Baking in a gas oven exceeds outdoor NO2 limits within five minutes
“The outdoor one-hour standard for nitrogen dioxide is a hundred parts per billion, but we know from studies
that baking a cake, for example, in a gas oven will
Give you a reading of 230 parts per billion, and some recent researchers have been found that in jus…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mark Fields: Ford intended to launch Level 4 vehicles by 2021
“It remains our intention to introduce a fully autonomous level four vehicle into the marketplace in 2021 in mobility services.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Tesla faced a DOJ criminal probe for inflating Autopilot capabilities
“Tesla was facing a criminal probe from the Department of Justice for inflating autopilot capabilities, and a handful of startups were facing cash flow crunches.”
Assertion Partly supported
Shah: Reconductoring existing lines provides all needed US grid transmission capacity
“You can reconductor all of the existing lines and get all of the existing, All the new transmission capacity that you need. We have reports out of Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory that say that. We have, like, private sector and geo reports, et cetera, that say th…”
Assertion Supported
Rangarajan: 1,318 Companies Had 112M Metric Ton CO2 Reporting Gap in 2020
“And we found that, you know in, in 2020, A 1318 companies had a difference of hundred and twelve million metric tons CO₂ between their location and their market-based emissions.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Study finds 42% of corporate emissions targets fail real-world mitigation
“A study just published in the journal Nature Climate Change looked at a 115 companies with science-based targets. These are targets modeled after the Paris Climate Accord, and researchers found that 42% of planned emissions cuts from those companies will quote…”
Assertion Supported
Rangarajan: Without RECs, Procter & Gamble's emissions drop was only 12%
“So, you know, we looked at so many companies, and, you know, for example, Procter & Gamble, you know, decided to claim that, you know, it slashed 50% of its emissions and then when you really look at, you know, how they got to that 50% reduction, then a lot of…”
Assertion Supported
Rangarajan: Without RECs, Cisco's emissions rose 22% instead of dropping 60%
“With Cisco, again, you know emissions reductions, and claims using a certain form of accounting would be 60%, but then when you actually remove the credits from the equation, then their emissions have actually gone up by 22%.”
Assertion Supported
Rangarajan: Intel's emissions rose 38% without renewable energy credits
“Another example that comes to mind is Intel where, you know, their emissions have actually gone up by 38%, but when you, like, calculate Using renewable energy credits, then it only goes up by, like, 17%.”
Assertion Supported
Army Corps natural dunes will fail against storms stronger than Ike
“The Army Corps' natural dunes would only protect you for to about an Ike-like storm. Nothing stronger. So they would be wiped out. And then if another storm comes, and we've had up to three storms in a season come near us, so, you know, we could be hit again a…”
Assertion Supported
Proposed coastal spine alone still allows massive Houston Ship Channel surge
“A category five storm coming in south of Galveston, you know, south of the Galveston Bay entrance channel with the coastal spine in place would generate about 22 to 24 foot of flooding up the ship, up the Houston ship channel. Almost as bad as without, without…”
Assertion Supported
French: New York needs roughly 18GW of offshore wind for 2040 goals
“To actually achieve the state's, you know, ultimate twenty-thirty and twenty-forty goals We're going to need a whole lot more offshore wind than just nine gigawatts. We're going to need much more than that. I think the Climate Action Council, you know, support…”
Assertion Supported
French: NY climate law contains reliability off-ramps for 2040 target
“The climate law has off-ramps. The Public Service Commission, if it can, is concerned about reliability, Can, you know, be like, well, I guess we're not going to hit zero emissions by 2040.”
Assertion Supported
French: NYISO warned peaker plants may run longer if CHPE delays occur
“If Chippy the Champlain Hudson Power Express doesn't come online, you know, when it's currently forecasted to come online there could be some reliability issues that the NISO itself has said, you know, this could mean that the peakers need to stay on longer.”
Assertion Supported
Gallucci: Very Little of Puerto Rico's Federal Grid Aid Has Been Deployed
“Billions of Federal recovery dollars have been made available and are flowing to the island specifically to fix the grid and to potentially invest in renewable energy, and very little of that money is actually, you know, being distributed on the ground, and so…”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Decarbonizing SSAB requires 10% of Sweden's total electricity consumption
“When I started to explain that we want to replace coal that we use, and we want to use electricity, it's going to take about 10% of Sweden's total electricity consumption.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mitrova: Europe faces wartime energy rationing and physical shortages this winter
“And in the wartime, the economy is mobilized, and the decisions are made by the governments, not by the free market. So this is the case for Europe this winter, and there will be lots of very difficult and painful choices on which industries, which groups of c…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mitrova: EU oil embargo will likely reduce Russian exports by only 10-15%
“In the longer term, as the EU is implementing its oil embargo, and with all these constraints on insurance and shipping, There will be definitely some effect to limited extent. So we are probably talking about 10, 15% decline in the Russian oil exports and cor…”
Assertion Supported
Corbeau: European renewables cannot compensate for nuclear and hydro generation drops
“So all the renewables that we have been having that, that are presented as the solution in order to reduce natural gas are actually not enough to compensate the drop in In hydro and in nuclear.”
Assertion Supported
Mitrova: 25 out of 30 European Gas Buyers Accepted Ruble Payments
“Even recently with this very controversial introduction of rubble payments for gas, It worked, because 25 out of 30 consumers have accepted it, and only few refused, and the tensions have increased immediately.”
Assertion Supported
Corbeau: EU hydrogen import target equals 40 NEOM-scale projects by 2030
“Ten million tons of imported hydrogen. This is about 40 of this NEOM project, which is currently considered in Saudi Arabia. So that's a lot of project. And this is supposed to happen in eight years.”
Assertion Supported
Kibbe: Apparel demand for recycled plastic forces bottle makers into virgin plastic
“The textile industry has been siphoning off recyclable plastics from the bottle industry and making recycled plastics for bottles. The prices of that commodity go up. Which increases the need for virgin plastics for the bottle industry.”
Prediction Partly held up
Citizen-driven solar in Puerto Rico will reach 1 gigawatt by 2025
“The fossil fuel industry still have a total control of PREPA, but we have done like a projection by 20, 25, Puerto Rico should be producing by net metering by citizenship. Citizen investment up to one gigawatt of power, which will be more than necessary for re…”
Assertion Supported
PREPA waited months to request mainland utility mutual aid after Maria
“Puerto Rico has that as well, but for whatever reason, for reasons that are unclear, PREPA did not initiate that process until months later.”
Assertion Supported
Power outage durations doubled under privatized grid operator LUMA Energy
“In the fall of last year, there was some investigative reporting about what was happening to the grid under Luma, and one of the stats that grabbed me was that outage times have actually doubled under Luma. It's taking them longer to repair service than it did…”
Assertion Supported
PREPA signed a $1.5 billion gas infrastructure deal with New Fortress
“In twenty-nineteen, PREPA signed a 1.5 billion dollar contract with an American company called New Fortress Energy. To replace, ah, two of its oil-fired power plants with fossil gas, and kind of more controversially, to build an import terminal for liquefied f…”
Assertion Partly supported
The CBO lacks a method to calculate economic costs of climate change
“Is that it has no way of calculating the cost of climate change to the economy.”
Assertion Supported
CBO models arbitrarily assume public investment is half as productive as private
“The CBO is just simply assumes, pulls it out of a hat, that public investment is half as productive as private investment.”
Assertion Supported
Paul claims 2017 extreme weather events wiped out 60% of GDP growth
“In 2017, extreme weather events fueled by climate change wiped out 60% of GDP. More than half of economic growth was just eliminated due to extreme weather events.”
Assertion Supported
Herr: Over 1,700 Pregnancy-Related Arrests and Prosecutions Documented Since Roe
“Ever since the Roe v. Wade decision, there have been over 1700 documented arrests and prosecutions related to pregnancy outcomes, and that includes stillbirth.”
Assertion Supported
Herr: Texas and Oklahoma Laws Offer $10,000 Rewards for Abortion Lawsuits
“Laws passed recently in Texas and Oklahoma actually offer 10,000 dollar rewards to people who can successfully sue anyone who, quote, aids or abets an abortion.”
Assertion Supported
Herr: Medicine Cannot Distinguish Self-Managed Abortions From Miscarriages or Stillbirths
“The thing is, there's no medical way to tell the difference between a self-managed abortion or stillbirth or miscarriage.”
Assertion Supported
San Luis Obispo postponed its natural gas ban vote after union intimidation
“And ultimately, the scare tactic worked. They postponed their vote on a bill that would have banned gas in new buildings.”
Assertion Supported
Westervelt: Renewable gas can cover at most 16% of current usage
“But by even the most optimistic estimate, RNG could only cover about 16% of current gas use.”
Assertion Supported
Westervelt: 19 states passed laws preempting local gas bans by 2022
“As of early twenty-twenty-two, 19 states have passed preemptive laws banning gas bans.”