Strait of Hormuz

5 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 14, 2026 by Josh Linville · said 28 times in 2 episodes since 2026 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Shayle Kann (23), Josh Linville (4), Nick Fulgham (1)

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2026 28 mentions in 2 episodes 14 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Strait of Hormuz, oldest first

May 14, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Linville: Nitrogen and phosphate markets were already tight before Hormuz disruption
“The problem is, if you go back to January one, nitrogen markets and phosphate markets were already dealing with supply tightness because of European production rates, because of a lack of Chinese exports, because the ongoing Russian-Ukraine war.”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 4:38 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
May 14, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Linville: Buyers will renege on urea contracts if Strait reopens in off-season
“And I think a lot of the countries around the world will do exactly that. Just sit there and throw their hands in the air and say, I'm reneging on my purchase because I don't need it right now.”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 26:18 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
May 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Linville: Over 900,000 tons of urea are trapped behind Strait of Hormuz
“Our estimates are somewhere between 900 to a million tons are sitting on vessels right now, literally just sitting in the Persian Gulf waiting, waiting for somebody to give them the go ahead.”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 25:05 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
May 14, 2026
Assertion Supported
Linville: One-Third of World's Tradable Urea Passes Through Strait of Hormuz
“About a third of the world's tradable urea gets exported through that waterway, and so we always look at the top 10 exporters in the world. That's who you really want to watch. Three of the world's biggest urea and anhydrous exporters sit behind the strait. Th…”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 15:10 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
May 14, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Linville: Prolonged Hormuz closure through autumn will trigger global fertilizer rationing
“If we get to the fourth of July and the straight is still closed, if we start up with my youngest is a freshman high school, be a sophomore in the fall. If he goes back to school in the fall and the straight is still closed, we have lost so much supply out the…”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 28:23 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
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