heat pumps

also referred to as: heat pump

34 statements across 13 episodes · 9 bullish · 10 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Jan 31, 2022 by Mary Powell · across every show →

Everything said about heat pumps, oldest first

Jan 31, 2022 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Powell: Rooftop solar is the gateway to heat pump and EV adoption
“Solar so much is the gateway to so much more electrification. So what we find is customers that go solar, they do tend to be the first adopters of heat pumps. They then do tend to be the first adopters of electric vehicles, and so they really, so one of the re…”
Mary Powell Jan 31, 2022 ▶ 41:04 The future of the home solar market
Mar 3, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rivest: Natural gas and fuel oil remain cheaper than heat pumps across most of the US
“It's much cheaper today in, in most parts of the U.S. To use natural gas or fuel oil to create the heat that you need if what you're looking for is heating.”
Jesse Rivest Mar 3, 2022 ▶ 19:43 Unlocking hyper-efficient cooling
Mar 3, 2022 positive
Insight
Rivest: Heat pump mandates accelerate the retirement of inefficient air conditioners
“What I think is really interesting about all these heat pumps coming online for heating purposes to replace natural gas is that this disrupts the sales cycle of air conditioners as well as a side benefit. So now you have air conditioners, which would last for …”
Jesse Rivest Mar 3, 2022 ▶ 21:13 Unlocking hyper-efficient cooling
Mar 31, 2022 negative
Opinion
Jenkins: US cannot export heat pumps to Europe due to hydronic incompatibility
“In Europe, they use a lot of water you know, forced water heating, and we don't have a lot of hydronic heat pumps that do water, you know, air to water type heating. It's just not what we built And use in the U S very often. And so most of the stuff we deploy …”
Jesse Jenkins Mar 31, 2022 ▶ 39:55 Can Europe quit Russian fossil fuel by next winter?
Mar 31, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jenkins: Doubling EU heat pump deployment replaces only 1% of Russian gas
“And even in the short term, if you look at like the current EU strategy for this year, you know, they're talking about doubling the amount of heat pump deployment next year, and that's enough to reduce the consumption of natural gas, I think by about, if I'm n…”
Jesse Jenkins Mar 31, 2022 ▶ 40:15 Can Europe quit Russian fossil fuel by next winter?
Jun 23, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lacey: The US sells 4M heat pumps and 6M AC units annually
“We sell four million heat pumps a year in this country, and we sell six million residential air conditioning units.”
Stephen Lacey Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 12:07 Which tech is overhyped, underhyped and just right?
Jun 23, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Biden administration invoked Defense Production Act for heat pump manufacturing
“Actually, the Biden administration just announced that they're going to use the Defense Production Act to encourage production of heat pumps for residential and commercial applications, and there was a bill introduced in the Senate that would encourage manufac…”
Stephen Lacey Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 15:46 Which tech is overhyped, underhyped and just right?
Jun 23, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Europe will see even stronger heat pump tailwinds than US
“I mean, there's definitely going to be tailwinds for heat pumps in the U S for sure, but in Europe, even more so, I think for the next few years.”
Shayle Kann Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 16:12 Which tech is overhyped, underhyped and just right?
Nov 10, 2022
Assertion Supported
Kann: Modern heat pumps deliver coefficients of performance between 3 and 5
“Heat pumps today have coefficients of performance anywhere from, say, three to upwards of five for really good ones. In other words, you put one kilowatt in, you get three to five out.”
Shayle Kann Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 2:27 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubershain: Medium heat pumps achieve 3.0 COP at freezing temperatures
“A medium performance heat pump today when the temperature is around freezing, you know, 32 degrees Fahrenheit, you're probably getting around a coefficient of performance of three when the temperatures, you know, if you're just trying to heat a home. So, you k…”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 16:27 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Lubershain: Heat pump coefficient of performance drops to 1 at -5°F
“By the time you get to around, you know, negative five, -10 degrees, certainly anywhere below that, with almost any heat pump on the market A, that heat pump loses some of its Capacity. So you need a bigger heat pump that starts with higher capacity in order t…”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 17:30 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022
Disclosure
Lubershain: Heat pump investor admits he heats his own home with oil
“I have oil heat in my home, unfortunately, which I'm really embarrassed to say, but that's, like, due to idiosyncratic reasons about the house, and we only moved in two years ago, and I have this big plan to trick this thing out, like, completely when it comes…”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 39:12 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubershain: Deep cold heat pumps add peak load equal to two EVs
“Roughly speaking for a typical U.S. Household, it means adding new peak load to that home that's equivalent to about, ah, two electric vehicles that are plugged into level two chargers, ah, during those cold periods.”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 33:21 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022 bullish
Disclosure
Kann: EIP invested in industrial heat pumps and seeks residential deals
“We've already made one investment focused on heat pumps for industrial use, more on that soon, but we're hungry to find more, particularly on the residential side.”
Shayle Kann Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 3:19 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubershain: Heat pumps comprise 40% of new US heating and cooling installations
“Overall, across the U.S., it's around 40%, but that's predominantly because of another sort of magical property of heat pumps, which is that the same system can be used bidirectionally if it's designed appropriately, which means that you can use one heat pump …”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 22:20 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Nov 10, 2022
Assertion Supported
Kann: Nearly half of South Carolina homes already use heat pumps
“So in South Carolina, for example, nearly 50% of homes already have them, but in most of the country, and particularly in colder climates, the penetration is a fraction of that.”
Shayle Kann Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 3:03 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Aug 17, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lubbershane: EV and Heat Pump Adoption Will Overwhelm Local Transformers
“We're going to start to see more and more instances in which that distributed load begins to have to be coordinated with the utility because it's going to overwhelm the capacity of, you know, network transformers and, you know, individual households who want t…”
Andy Lubershane Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 24:39 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Oct 12, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Houser: US heat pump installations were flat in dollars and down in units
“Overall heat pump installations were flat in investment terms, down a little bit in unit terms last year, relative to the year before. The good news is that their share of the market compared to furnaces continued to grow.”
Trevor Houser Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 45:30 How is U.S. industrial policy affecting actual climatetech investment?
Oct 19, 2023 neutral
Insight
Pantano: Combined space and water heat pumps will remain niche for now
“I think it's a niche for now. I'd be, I mean, there's a lot of innovation out there that's yet to sort of hit its stride. That could be one where we start to see some interesting market growth. But yeah, I think for now, I mean, most of these products, HVAC an…”
Steve Pantano Oct 19, 2023 ▶ 23:43 The pace of home electrification
Oct 19, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kann: US heat pump sales dropped year-over-year amid broader HVAC slump
“And one of the ones that we talked about there was heat pumps where The market is actually down year over year in overall sales. There's nuance to that because the market for HVAC systems in general is even further down.”
Shayle Kann Oct 19, 2023 ▶ 2:24 The pace of home electrification
Oct 19, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Pantano: Maine exceeded its 100,000 heat pump target years ahead of schedule
“Now, for example, one success story of late is the state of Maine, which had a 100,000 heat pump sales target for its statewide climate goals, and exceeded that a couple years ahead of schedule, and then revised that goal up to, I believe, a 175,000 systems.”
Steve Pantano Oct 19, 2023 ▶ 15:44 The pace of home electrification
Oct 19, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kann: Heat pump penetration is much higher in Southeast than Northeast or Midwest
“Cause you know, heat pumps are, they have much higher penetration already in places like the Southeast where they're predominantly used for cooling than they do in like the Midwest or the Northeast where you need a lot of heating.”
Shayle Kann Oct 19, 2023 ▶ 14:46 The pace of home electrification
Oct 19, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Pantano: US heat pumps outsold gas and oil furnaces in 2022
“Heat pumps outsold furnaces for the gas and oil furnaces as heating equipment for the first time last year.”
Steve Pantano Oct 19, 2023 ▶ 11:16 The pace of home electrification
May 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Lacey: US heat pump sales topped gas furnaces by 21% in 2023
“For the second year in a row, heat pumps outsold gas furnaces in the U.S. By, in 23, by a significant margin of 21%.”
Stephen Lacey May 8, 2024 ▶ 39:34 The news quiz episode!
May 28, 2024 bearish
Insight
Faruqi: Time-of-use rates are a poor fit for heat pumps
“A heat pump, which is both an air conditioner in the summer and a heat source in the winter, will be running precisely when there is a peak situation in the summer or a peak situation in the winter. Actually, it will create a peak demand in the winter that cur…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 7:34 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
May 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Faruqi: Net grid load impact of DERs remains uncertain
“Some of them will raise load growth, EVs and heat pumps certainly being those two. But then there are other DERs which will lower load growth, like energy efficiency, demand response, and certainly solar. So what will be the net effect of those is anybody's gu…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 9:18 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Jun 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Baglino: Heat pump adoption faces electrical panel and cold-climate bottlenecks
“I think it's going to be a little bit harder with heat pumps and there's a couple reasons why that is. One is the main panel can be a bottleneck. Not everybody has room for a heat pump, especially in, let's say, colder areas where the heat requirements are hig…”
Drew Baglino Jun 6, 2024 ▶ 12:09 Drew Baglino on Tesla’s Master Plan
Nov 14, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Lambert: Heat pump hardware is only about 20% of installation cost
“The relative cost of the heat pump itself is Is, it's small. It's probably 20% or so of the overall cost.”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 11:37 Getting heat pumps right
Nov 14, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lambert: Dual-Fuel Heating Is Unnecessary in Any Coastal US City
“There are parts of the country that makes sense. They're getting fewer and fewer, but they do exist. It's certainly not the West Coast of California, or really any coastal city in America at this point, my view.”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 24:48 Getting heat pumps right
Nov 14, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lambert: Traditional mini-split heat pumps look like late-twentieth-century relics
“And, you know, I spent most of my career making consumer technology, and it just kind of jumped out at me as something that had kind of been Not really looked at in a couple decades. It kind of felt like a relic of the late-twentieth century product design.”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 7:27 Getting heat pumps right
Nov 14, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lambert: Complex historic home heat pump installs cannot be surveyed virtually
“Like we've seen some crazy installs with San Francisco, you know, Victorians, row houses that you're going through a hundred year old structure, multiple levels, neighbors on both sides. There, I do not see how you're ever going to do that virtually, at least …”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 17:36 Getting heat pumps right
Nov 14, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Most HVAC contractors initially refused to sell him a heat pump
“Where I had to talk to multiple people to even find a contractor would sell me one. Like, most people wouldn't even sell me a heat pump when I wanted it.”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 7:41 Getting heat pumps right
Nov 14, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Lambert: Quilt heat pumps are light enough for one-person installation
“We've actually already done some in that we made the unit quite light, so you can, one person can do it as opposed to two, and that's a huge deal.”
Paul Lambert Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 18:07 Getting heat pumps right
Jan 29, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
McGinnis: Carrier Is Developing a Heat Pump with an Integrated Battery
“I think there's even a company doing like a battery in a heat pump or something out there. I've seen that, yeah. And it's actually, it's carrier.”
James McGinnis Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 35:47 The rise of permissionless DERs
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