critical minerals
13 statements across 8 episodes · 2 bullish · 4 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Feb 2, 2023 by Shayle Kann · across every show →
Everything said about critical minerals, oldest first
Feb 2, 2023 negative
Mar 2, 2023
Nov 3, 2023 bullish
Roberts: Substitution and market supply will solve critical mineral shortages long-term
“I just think substitution plus new sources. Over the midterm, mid to longterm, is going to solve this. I agree that there will be years, couple of years, choke points here and there, as we've all, as we've already seen a couple of materials get tight. But I ju…”
Nov 3, 2023 bearish
Kann: Mineral shortages could cause 5-to-10-year stalls in EV adoption
“It's that we'll have like periods of more like five years or 10 years where we do have a shortage and the shortage doesn't translate to we can't sell any more electric vehicles. To higher costs for electric vehicles. And that translates to lower demand. And th…”
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Bordoff: 2040 mineral revenue will pale in comparison to oil and gas
“The IA's one of the IA's scenarios that gets you sort of close to 1.5 degrees, if not all the way, has critical mineral revenue growing from forty one billion in 2019 to two hundred and sixty three billion by 2040. Again, that's not all the way to 1.5, maybe 1…”
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Bordoff: 2040 mineral volume will be a fraction of fossil fuel production
“Even on a net zero pathway, critical minerals demand does not top thirty million metric tons in 2040, according to the IEA, and by comparison to thirty million metric tons, oil production last year was 4.4 billion. Metric tons. Coal was seven and a half billio…”
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Bordoff: Critical mineral supply shocks do not disrupt daily energy use like oil
“So critical minerals are an input to a manufactured good that can produce energy or store energy. It is not energy. We don't burn critical minerals for energy, and so if we had a disruption in some types of critical minerals, you might see delays and much high…”
Jan 2, 2025 neutral
Scheyder: Republicans view critical minerals as national security, Democrats as climate
“I think Republicans and Democrats look at the critical minerals issue with the same end goal in mind, but they sort of take two different paths to get there. Republicans tend to look at this issue from a national security lens. Democrats tend to try to look at…”
Apr 24, 2025
May 1, 2025 bearish
Chaset: Policy Uncertainty Makes Capital-Intensive Climate Tech Uninvestable Near-Term
“So I would say none of them because they all require Large capital investments that require certainty and we are in a period of massive uncertainty across the board. So I would actually say I'm fairly bearish on all of those in the near term because I actually…”
May 1, 2025 bearish
Feb 25, 2026 bullish
Roberts predicts recycled minerals will become cheaper than mined within 20 years
“I would just say that my, I guess my prediction would be that in 10 years, maybe or in 20, that just a unit of critical minerals drawn from recycling will be cheaper than a unit of
Mind.
I think.
I think.
Eventually.
Like, I think it will end up being our prim…”