Brazil

24 statements across 10 episodes · 16 bullish · 5 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Dec 2, 2019 by Anne Martin · said 246 times in 66 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Greg Dowling (48), Florian Bartunek (17), Ted Seides (12), Louis-Vincent Gave (12), Jordi Visser (12), Rob Citrone (11), Daniel Graña (10), Nick Rohatyn (7)

tap a year for its mentions
00758150152017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
08152017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0057.510152017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 19 mentions in 6 episodes 3 per episode
2025 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2024 17 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
2023 21 mentions in 8 episodes 3 per episode
2022 110 mentions in 11 episodes 10 per episode
2021 29 mentions in 9 episodes 3 per episode
2020 10 mentions in 8 episodes 1 per episode
2019 20 mentions in 5 episodes 4 per episode
2018 6 mentions in 5 episodes 1 per episode
2017 11 mentions in 7 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Brazil, oldest first

Dec 2, 2019 negative
Disclosure
Martin: Wesleyan Explored Brazil for Years Without Selecting Any Managers
“There was a period of time, four years or five years, we went to Brazil a ton, and we ended up with no managers there.”
Anne Martin Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 27:34 Anne Martin - Pulling the Oars as CIO of Wesleyan University (Capital Allocators, EP.114)
Sep 30, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
Graña: Brazil's incumbent president will likely lose to Lula next year
“And next year, it looks like the incumbent president, based on all the latest polls, would likely lose to Lula, former president of Brazil.”
Daniel Graña Sep 30, 2021 ▶ 43:08 Daniel Graña – Janus Henderson Investors Emerging Markets Equity (Manager Meetings, EP.13)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Assertion Supported
Holdings Fell 30% While Earnings Expectations Rose 5% to 8%
“When we look at our businesses, in the last six months, on average, the companies fell 30% from the peak. Some fell 40, some fell 15, But on average, 30. When you look at earnings expectations, they are, after the third quarter earnings, they were up five to e…”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 41:07 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Brazilian Pharmacy Chain Raia Drogasil Opens 300 Stores Annually
“As I mentioned before, it's opening 300 locations a year.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 35:36 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Insight
Brazil's Real Investment Story Lies in Young Entrepreneurs, Not Government
“The real story in Brazil is with a young generation, with entrepreneurs, go talk to some venture capital funds and see all of the energy and great new businesses and innovative ideas that are being created here in Brazil.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 46:58 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Assertion Supported
Over Half of WEG's Products Were Launched in Past Five Years
“More than half of their products were launched in the last five years, and this is one of the best managed companies in Brazil.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 33:45 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Brazilian Stock Indices Are Dominated by Commodities and Legacy Banks
“So, when you look at the Ibovespa or the MSCI, again, commodities are the majority of the index plus large banks.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 15:53 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Passive Investing in Brazil Exposes Investors to Legacy Industries
“So when you go passive, it's almost like investing the old boring Brazil. Steel, fuel distribution, mining, great companies, but it's not the future, it's not the most innovative companies.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 16:30 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
High-Growth Brazilian Stocks Trade at Half the US Revenue Multiple
“What I would say is that Brazil is cheaper in terms of price to growth. So when you look at the price to growth, most of these compounds are trading at .8.75. So compared to the U.S., they're relatively cheap. And the high growers, let's say the really high gr…”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 39:04 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 positive
Disclosure
Constellation Returned 6x to 12x in Top Brazilian Market Leaders
“We made 12 times our money in the largest education company in Brazil, six times our money in the largest e-commerce business in Brazil, eight times our money in the largest drugstore in Brazil. And this is eight years, six years, seven years, and just betting…”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 20:44 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
Brazil's Largest Pharmacy Chain Is Out-Opening All Competitors Combined
“The largest drugstore and pharmacies, let's say chain in Brazil, they're opening this year more pharmacies than the combined number of their competitors.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 18:52 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Localiza Earnings Will Grow 25% to 30% Annually Post-Acquisition
“So we expect earnings to go at 25, 30% a year with synergies and the growth of the market.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 37:08 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 positive
Opinion
Brazil's Corporate Governance Is Among the Best in Emerging Markets
“I would dare to say that corporate governance is the best among emerging markets here. If not the best, among the best, definitely.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 15:14 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jan 20, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Foreign Banks Struggle in Brazil While Local Banks Earn 20% ROE
“Local incumbents have a lot of competitive advantages, so it's very hard for a foreign company to be profitable in Brazil, with the exception of Santander, which actually acquired a big local bank here in Brazil. Very few international banks make money in Braz…”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 14:16 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Jul 11, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lula Privately Signaled to Contacts He Intends to Govern as Market-Friendly
“It'll be Lula one, not Lula two in our view, and he wants to be the candidate of the market. He's mentioned that privately to people that we know.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 28:39 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
Oct 10, 2022 bullish
Assertion Supported
Gave: China's large index weight masks broad emerging market outperformance
“The emerging market outperformance, the outperformance of Brazil, of Mexico, of India, of Indonesia, of Singapore, et cetera, all that is being hidden by China.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 11:17 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Oct 10, 2022 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Gave: Markets in Singapore, Indonesia, Brazil, and India are resilient
“If you look at Singapore, if you look at Indonesia, if you look at Brazil, If you look at India, all these markets are actually up for the year. They're up on their equity markets, and they're up on their bond markets, or they're roughly flat, depending on whi…”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 9:54 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Oct 10, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Gave: EM money supply grew far less than Western aggregates during COVID
“You look at the monetary aggregates of Brazil or China or Indonesia, they didn't grow to the same extent as we saw in the Western world.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 26:07 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Jul 3, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Daniel: Brazil Feeds and Fuels Itself With Cheap Equities and Fiscal Balance
“It's a country that can feed itself and fuel itself and has enough of those two commodities to export. They run a fiscal neutral position and the stocks are really cheap.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 43:22 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Jan 11, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Nubank is globally one of the most attractive digital banks
“Nubank, for example, which is a business and a management team that we admire, building one of the most attractive digital banks, not just in Brazil, where it's a leader, but really when you're stack ranking it up globally, and they have a very disciplined fra…”
Brian Christensen Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 53:22 Brian Christiansen – High-Conviction Growth Investing at Sands Capital (EP.361)
May 6, 2024
Disclosure
Behring: 3G Capital began as a family office replicating Brazilian operating model
“So Ted, we started 20 years ago originally as a family office of my co-founders, so just house capital, and what we intended to do originally was to replicate this approach of being long-term operating owners of good businesses, a model that was originally dev…”
Alex Behring May 6, 2024 ▶ 8:23 Classic Deal - Burger King by 3G Capital (EP.384)
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Korea, China, India, and Brazil make up over 70% of MSCI EM
“Now, if you look at equities, the MSCI global, Korea, China, India, Brazil, make up 70 plus percent of that index. So you are actually buying a very concentrated exposure, not a very diversified exposure.”
Nick Rohatyn Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 24:19 Nick Rohatyn – Emerging Markets Multi-Asset Investing at TRG (EP.482)
Jan 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Rohatyn's father was saved by Brazilian diplomat who issued 800 visas
“His name was Souza Dantes, who wrote out 800 visas for European Jews against the express policy of his own government. My father was one of those.”
Nick Rohatyn Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 4:21 Nick Rohatyn – Emerging Markets Multi-Asset Investing at TRG (EP.482)
Jul 20, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laboy: Everest Capital hit 5-to-1 payout on Brazil's Lula election
“Within two months, the market went up 23%. We made our five to one payout on our option strategy, all the money on the cash trade.”
Luis Laboy Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 19:01 Senior Decision Makers: Luis Laboy, Hewlett Foundation (EP.512)
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