The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Israetel: Drinking one to two glasses of wine has almost no negative effects
“If you have one or two glasses of wine a night, most nights, Statistically, it has almost no effect on anything negative-wise.”
Israetel: Cannabis causes no meaningful physical addiction
“There's physical addiction, which is, like, if someone just stops doing heroin, they have to be supervised, otherwise they could die, and they have, like, crazy fevers and all this other hallucinations, and once you're over the hump, like, you're fine, but the…”
Israetel: Original Jack3d pre-workout contained a version of methamphetamine
“There's a supplement called it was a jacked three D that was the old formula prior to like the 2015 or something. And that legitimately had a version of methamphetamine in it.”
Israetel: Rising cancer rates stem from increased longevity, not food toxins
“It turns out that people live to older age so much more now that they live long enough to get cancer.”
Callen: Many household-name actors have under $1 million in the bank
“Most people think that actors are, you know, set. My favorite. Like, I could tell you have, you would be so blown away. How many household names have less than a million dollars in the bag.”
Galloway: Older Americans receive $1.3T annually from Social Security
“And the wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”
Galloway: 85% of US COVID stimulus was saved, not spent
“So we flushed six to seven trillion dollars into the economy, under the auspices that this is a national emergency and people that need it. 85% of it wasn't spent. So, 85% was saved, meaning five to six trillion, which is kind of like, let's flush money into t…”
Galloway: Share of 30-34 Year-Olds with Children Plunged to 27%
“40 years ago, 60% of people aged 30 to 34 had at least one child. Now it's 27%.”
Galloway: US Will Spend More on Debt Interest Than Defense
“We're now, this year, gonna spend more money on interest on the debt than we spend on our military.”
Galloway Claims the Majority of Entrepreneurs Are Immigrants
“The majority of entrepreneurs are immigrants.”
Galloway: All seven Baby Bells surpassed original AT&T's value in 10 years
“When AT&T was broken up into the seven baby bells, all seven of those companies were worth more than the original AT&T within 10 years.”
Galloway: Major tech companies were built on taxpayer-funded technology
“Every one of these companies is built on a technology that was funded by American middle class taxpayers, whether it was DARPA, whether Elon Musk got a three hundred fifty million dollar tax-free loan. He hates subsidies, but he was there for it when we gave h…”
Lonsdale: A major civil war is occurring within the Texas Republican Party
“There's a huge civil war here in Texas as well on the right. It's a big deal right now.”
Lonsdale recalls 2015 dinner where Musk and Zuckerberg debated AI risk
“So about nine years ago in California, I used to live in California here in Texas, which we love, but I had a dinner with, it was actually Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg and about five other friends about AI. And this is like well before OpenAI, you know, all o…”
Sanchez: US debt interest payments now exceed national defense spending
“Well, for the first time ever, our net interest payments in the US, we pay more towards those than we do our national defense, which is scary in a world in which China's China and we have what's happening in the Middle East and we have what's happening in Russ…”
Sanchez: Venezuela's currency collapse was initiated by government price controls
“Now, how did it happen where in Venezuela their currency became worth so little that they make purses out of it like this on the street? Like literally you can have a purse made entirely of dollar bills. You know what, how that started? Price controls.”
Sanchez: Argentine government nationalized a Mercedes-Benz distributor to produce coffee
“I had a friend who ran, I kid you not, A distributor for Mercedes-Benz in Argentina. And when Cristina Fernandez came in and took over the government, they nationalized his business and they mandated he produced coffee.”
Van Edwards: 82% of human impressions are based on warmth and competence
“Research has shown that 82% of our impressions of people are based on two traits. Warmth and competence.”
Sanchez: No business leader has ever reported regretting firing someone
“Never have I had a leader go, dang it, I wish I hadn't let that person go.”
Voss: Global population splits evenly across three conflict archetypes
“We believe strongly that the world splits evenly into thirds. Doesn't matter gender, ethnicity, geography, religion.”
Kamala Harris went from historic low primary percentages to viral popularity
“Watching how fast a character that got one of the lowest percentages ever in a primary, Kamala Harris, to now front and center in BRAT,”
A24 executive says streaming apps want to integrate user generated content
“I was meeting with an A-Twenty-Four executive the other day, and she was telling me that in their conversation with the streaming services, all of them are sort of pondering how to include like streamed first person POV or user generated content into their sys…”
Joshua Weissman claims he invented the quick cut editing style for food
“They may not be copying me directly, but they're copying someone else who copied me or someone else who copied them, who copied who,
Another person, it ultimately leads to me.
Cause the whole quick cut editing style stuff started with that.”
Sanchez: Have never lost money for any investor to date
“The other day we just raised a bunch of money and I put in millions of dollars for a company that we're scaling in the SAS space and I bought it and now we're building it. And, you know, I told some of the investors that gave us money You know, I knock on wood…”
Sanchez: Intermittent fasting is often inadvisable for women trying to conceive
“And things like intermittent fasting, I didn't even realize aren't great for women in a lot of instances, especially if you're trying to get pregnant, etc.”
Dr. Lyon: Six cups of quinoa equal one small chicken breast
“You would need six cups of quinoa to equal one small chicken breast, and at the end of the day, if you care about numbers, then you have to understand these things are not interchangeable.”
Rove: Steve Bannon pushed for a 50% top income tax bracket
“I saw Steve Bannon the other day who was talking about how, ah, during the battle over the tax cut bill, he wanted to raise taxes so it was 50% on the top bracket. Didn't want to lower it. He wanted to raise it. Because government ought to be able to take away…”
Rove: Dick Cheney cast a "stupid" vote against a Nelson Mandela resolution
“Cheney was a very conservative congressman from a very conservative state, 18 years ago, and he cast some really stupid votes, like being one of three members of the House of Representatives to vote against the resolution calling on the apartheid regime of Sou…”
Rove: A $14,000 local ad buy baited John Kerry's infamous 2004 gaffe
“We bought 11,000 or 14,000 dollars worth of ads in Huntington, West Virginia. I think it was February or March of 2004. He was going to be appearing the next day in front of the VFW audience to talk about his military experience versus Bush's lack of it. So we…”
Sanchez: Studies find higher IQ correlates with decreased happiness from socializing
“As someone climbs the intelligence curve, AKA they become more and more intelligent as measured by IQ, it turns out that being around other people, social interaction, friends or otherwise actually decreases your happiness.”
Sanchez: The IVF full-term pregnancy success rate is 5% or less
“It's about five percent or less actually fully takes from the extraction all the way to a full-term pregnancy.”
Peterson: Medical error is the third leading cause of death
“Also the third leading cause of death is medical error, and that's only what's actually been written down.”
Roll: Oldest person to secure a multimillion-dollar shoe deal at 57
“I'm pretty sure I am the oldest of 57. I'm the oldest person to have like a big, like multimillion dollar shoe contract.”
Kennedy: Save Our Allies operates with U.S. DOD and DOS support
“If you think that I can walk into Afghanistan during the middle of the evacuation without DOD and DOS support, like, you're an, you're a crazy person. If you think that we're going to be in Djibouti or Sudan during a coup, like, you're a crazy person without t…”
Sanchez: 70-80% of female jiu-jitsu practitioners start due to sexual assault
“70 to 80% of all females who practice jujitsu have either been sexually assaulted or have known somebody who was sexually assaulted, and that was the reason they came to jujitsu.”
Brooks: People are happiest and most prosperous in stable families
“The people tend to be happiest and most prosperous when they have solid, stable families, and that really starts with, you know, mom and dad who are in love with each other.”
Brooks: American happiness has declined for 30 years due to institutional retreat
“American happiness has been falling for 30 years. Usually little by little by little because of the retreat from institutions like faith and family and friendship and, you know, the relationship with work.”
Brooks: 60% of 60-Year-Old Men Say Wife Is Best Friend vs 30% of Wives
“60% of men my age, their best friend is their wife. 30% of their wives say their best friend is their husband.”
Brooks: Men and women are rapidly diverging politically
“You find that men and women are diverging politically really, really quickly. You find that women are getting much more politically Progressive and men are getting more conservative.”
Sanchez: Over 76% of millionaires inherited zero dollars
“Most people who become millionaires, more than 76% of them actually inherited nothing, zero dollars.”
Sanchez: Unless you have generational wealth, success requires leaving your hometown
“We literally couldn't find humans who didn't come from either generational wealth, and thus could stay locally and build on it, or weren't in, like, India, who started something in a small town and grew like crazy, and that's probably just due to massive demog…”
Sanchez: Children of Divorced Parents Have Higher Suicide and Divorce Rates
“Your kids are more likely to commit suicide or self-harm. If you get divorced, your kids have a higher likelihood of becoming divorced themselves.”
Sanchez: Never-Married Single Mothers Report Highest Happiness in Studies
“Single women who have never been married and have kids actually have the highest happiness as evidenced by studies.”
Sanchez: Trade school graduates earn more than general college undergrads
“In fact, if you look at the numbers, you see a bunch of trade school graduates earning more than graduates from undergrad colleges in general.”
Sanchez: Keeping a day job increases startup success rate by 33%
“But the numbers tell us that you are more likely to succeed by 33% if you stay at your job and build your side thing than if you just go and build your side thing.”
Sanchez: Most small businesses are underpriced by 30% to 300%
“I basically went through thousands of small businesses over the last five years, and I analyzed all of their pricing. And I found that on average, most businesses are priced anywhere from 30% below or 300% below the price of what they should be selling for.”
Sanchez: McKinsey study found 80% to 90% of pricing mistakes are underpricing
“McKinsey actually has this study. They price across thousands of products in every industry. And they found that 80 to 90% of all pricing mistakes are from prices being what? Too high. You're charging too much. No, motherfuckers, too low.”