The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 737 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sexton: 60% to 70% of marriages end in divorce or unhappy coexistence
“You know, 50% or so of marriages end catastrophically, meaning they divorce. Another 10 to 20% either separate but never file for divorce, go out for milk and never come back, or they just sort of unhappily stay together and under surveys basically say, yeah, …”
Adelman: U.S. electricians are currently earning almost $200,000 a year
“Electricians are making almost 200,000 a year right now.”
Sanchez: Owner Dependency Is the Number One Reason Businesses Don't Sell
“And when we look at the autopsy of these dead businesses, the number one reason, owner dependency.”
Sanchez: 70% to 80% of Listed Businesses Never Sell
“70 to 80% of businesses will never actually sell that are even listed for sale. Seven to eight out of every 10 owners who walk into the market to sell something walk home with nothing.”
Sanchez: Vividly fantasizing about success degrades actual performance
“The more vividly you fantasize about success, the worse you perform.”
Sanchez: NYU Study Shows Positive Fantasizing Reduces Job Offers and Earnings
“So there's this study we found in by NYU psychologists tracking college graduates entering the job market. And they basically found that the students who spent the most time in quote unquote, I love this line, positive fantasies about landing their dream job s…”
Sanchez: There is zero correlation between having ADHD and becoming a millionaire
“Also, there is zero correlation. Between having ADHD and being a millionaire, like zero.”
Sanchez: UPenn study found positive fantasizing reduced weight loss by 24 pounds
“At University of Penn, they found the same pattern in weight loss, actually. Like the women who fantasized most positively about their future selves, they lost 24 pounds less in one year than the women who pictured the process going badly.”
Sanchez: Nvidia Has 2% Turnover and 5x Longer Employee Retention
“Now it sounds brutal, but NVIDIA's employees stay five X longer than industry average. Turnover is two percent.”
Sanchez: Jensen Huang Has 60 Direct Reports at Nvidia
“He has 60 direct reports, six zero. Most CEOs have eight to 10.”
Hammer: Only education, housing, and healthcare increased as US income shares
“School, housing, healthcare. Some of the, it's like the three, only three categories that has gone up as a percentage of our income as Americans over the past hundred years or so. Everything else has gone down. Even groceries, even going out to eat has gone do…”
Hammer: Modern Individuals Have More Disposable Income Than Any Point in History
“It might be a lower percentage of homeowners, but in terms of disposable income that we have, it's better than anywhere else in human history.”
Sanchez: The youngest female self-made billionaire came from prediction markets
“I was really upset when I saw the first, like, female young, or the youngest female self-billionaire was from Prediction Markets.”
Evans: Bezos banned PowerPoint because nested slides buried the Challenger launch risk
“Jeff hated PowerPoint and the famous story why it it's old now, but when the space shuttle Challenger exploded, They went and found the PowerPoint slide had been used to justify the launch. And this PowerPoint had like seven levels of nested bullets and the ti…”
Sanchez: Passive information consumption depletes dopamine needed for execution
“Neuroscience shows you're burning the exact dopamine your brain needs for execution. It can't tell the difference.”
Jain: On-time rent payment is the best predictor of mortgage payment
“It didn't make sense that paying your rent on time every month for five years has no bearing on whether you're eligible to get a mortgage payment. That's the best predictor of whether you're gonna pay your mortgage on time.”
Jain: Bilt is an $11 billion business across housing and hospitality
“So even though the company's an eleven billion dollar business, and we touch housing and hospitality, and we have all sorts of businesses that are hospitality platform services like hotels and restaurants and gyms and pharmacies, we run every business line as …”
Zimmer: Jeff Berg fired me from ICM over 'rape and pillage' remarks
“And so what happened is I got called into Jeff Berg's office and he says You know, I can't believe you said this. I can't take it anymore. You know, get your shit and get out of here. I was like, really? Yeah, I'm done. I'm done. Get your shit, get out of here…”
Zimmer: UTA canceled Oscar party to protest Trump travel ban
“We represented this, ah, boy, I'm embarrassed, I can't remember his name, a fantastic Iranian director who directed a movie called The Separation. And we represented him, and he was nominated for Academy Award, and this is in the first Trump presidency where h…”
McDonald: Venting is not beneficial unless paired with cognitive reappraisal
“Also, research shows that there's no form of venting or complaining that is positive. Unless you reevaluate and kind of tell a new story at the end, like you reappraise the situation at the end of the venting session.”
Sanchez: Harvard study shows optimistic women live 11% to 20% longer
“And over this 30 year period, the women who were labeled as more optimistic, not pessimistic, they lived like 11 to 20% longer than the negative communicating women.”
McDonald: 528 Hz Sound Frequencies Can Lower Cortisol and Relieve Stress
“There is a very small study that shows that actually it can have the ability to reduce cortisol and relieve anxiety and stress. And I've actually found in people that I work with that it's extremely effective with people.”
Brooks: Partners in the happiest marriages grow more religious together
“That's one of the reasons that the happiest marriage is one of the characteristics is that they, that the partners get more religious across the decades together. They get more religious together, right?”
Brooks: US kids average 4-7 minutes outside vs. 4-7 hours on screens
“The average kid in America under 12 spends between four and seven minutes a day in, in, in nature, and between four and seven hours a day on screens.”
Brooks: Depression has tripled and anxiety doubled for people under 30
“Depression has increased by about a factor of three for people under 30. Anxiety by about a factor of two.”
Brooks: Two-thirds of men prefer electric shocks over sitting in silence
“Two-thirds of the guys Would prefer to shock themselves painfully. One guy shocked himself a 190 times in 15 minutes, had to be thrown out of the experiment for being a sick and twisted freak.”
Sanchez: Negative YouTube titles and thumbnails generate 23% higher CTR
“In YouTube, we know that if you have a negative versus a positive thumbnail and title, you have a 23% higher click-through rate.”
Eyal: Positive aging mindsets extend life by 7.5 years
“There's an amazing study done at Yale where they found that people who have positive views about aging at age 30 live seven and a half years longer. Now, to put that in perspective, Cody, seven and a half years longer, that is more than the effect of exercise,…”
Eyal: Trader underwent 55-minute surgery with zero anesthesia via hypnosedation
“He goes into the operating room, and the doctors, for 55 minutes, cut into flesh and bone, pull out metal screws from his body with zero local anesthesia, zero general anesthesia, All through the power of his mind.”
Eyal: Evidence disproves ego depletion unless people believe willpower is limited
“Well, it turns out it's not true. That when we try and replicate those studies, and this happens in the social science, this is how science works. Science doesn't say anything. Science is the process of doing repeated experiments and seeing if they replicate, …”
Galloway: One in three romantic relationships begin in the workplace
“One in three relationships begin at work. And 99% of them are consensual.”
Galloway: Parenthood Rate for Americans Aged 30-34 Fell From 60% to 27%
“40 years ago, 60% of people aged 30 to 34 had at least one child. Now it's 27%.”
Galloway: Older Generation Receives $1.3T Annually in Social Security
“The wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”
Galloway: US will spend more on national debt interest than military
“We're now, this year, going to spend more money on interest on the debt than we spend on our military.”
Galloway: Amazon's third-party seller take rate rose from 20% to 45%
“Amazon, 20 years ago, if you were a third-party marketer or a third-party reseller selling your products on Amazon, they took about 20%. Of your gross dollar volume, now they take 45, because they kind of own the market.”
Codie Sanchez: Homebuying cost rose from 4 years of salary to 12
“Back when boomers were buying houses, it was four years of salary on average. You know what it is today? 12. 12 years.”
Sanchez: US spent $8T on Middle East wars, 100x roads budget
“If you were to look, go to Grok on Twitter, that's Twitter's AI, and you were to ask it how much money we have spent in the Middle East On wars. The answer would be eight trillion dollars. That's a hundred X the annual federal spending on roads and bridges.”
Zahrai: Research shows individuals can intentionally change personality traits
“We do know from research and my own is you can actually change a personality trait if you choose to.”
Zahrai: Pure positive visualization drains the energy required to reach goals
“There was a study that came out in the, it was probably the mid-twenty tens, and they looked at the role of, they called it positive fantasies. So the term manifesting, or it's not in the literature, but positive fantasies about where you want to be. And they …”
Zoom Founder Modified Software Capacity for Robbins to Host 25,000 Attendees
“And then I called Eric Yon, the founder of Zoom, and said, 1200 people is not going to work. I need 25,000 people. And he's a fan of mine, so he changed the tech so we could do it.”
Sanchez: TikTok Based Its Algorithm on 5-to-10 Second Attention Limits
“TikTok actually based its entire algorithm on this single idea that humans can only pay attention for five to 10 seconds.”
Sanchez: Closed Rib Cage Posture Increases Cortisol and Lowers Testosterone
“So when your rib cage is closed like this, it's going to actually increase your cortisol. So that's your stress. And it's going to decrease your testosterone, which is like the aggressive energy that flows through us.”
Manson: Affluent neighborhoods and countries have higher suicide rates than poor ones
“The poorer the country or the poorer the neighborhood, the lower the suicide rate, and the more affluent the country and the more affluent the neighborhood, the higher the suicide rate.”
Manson: 25% of Gen Z has chosen to estrange a parent
“It's something like 20, 25% of Gen Z is like willingly chosen not to speak to at least one parent.”
Alpha School Students Rank in Top 1% Across All Categories
“His schools across the US are top one percent students in every single course and category that they have.”
Lyon: Larger Waistlines Correlate Directly With Decreased Brain Volume
“The more overweight you are, the wider your waistline, the lower the brain volume.”
Ellsworth is the only female beverage founder with an exit this large
“Especially in beverage, I am the only female founder of an exit of this size ever, right?”
Sanchez: University costs grew three to four times while post-grad salaries stayed flat
“If you look at the actual numbers for educational institutions today, we have had a three to four x incline in the cost of universities, and we have had a flat line of return, meaning our salary increases after university.”