The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 737 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Dr. Moore: South Korea passed the demographic point of no return
“I think in most countries in the world, the, what I have seen is that there's not even a population being born to replace the population. So we are at a certain point, there's a critical point where there's no return, and I think South Korea's definitely hit i…”
Dan Go: Ozempic Users Without Resistance Training Risk Osteoporosis and Severe Muscle Loss
“Like, I've seen people go on Ozempic and not eat high protein, not do resistance training, and then we're starting to see that people are coming up with osteoporosis. Starting to see people lose a shit ton of lean mass.”
Dan Go: Higher Testosterone Makes Men More Independent Thinkers
“They've done studies where it's like when you have more testosterone in your body, when you're, when a guy has more testosterone in his body, he becomes more of an independent thinker.”
Brooks: Median number of questions men ask on first dates is zero
“You know, the average, by the way, the average number of questions asked by a man on a first date, according to my colleague, Alison Woodbrooks at HBS? Zero. That's the average. That's the median number of questions asked by a man on a first date with a woman.”
Brooks: Dating apps funnel 80% of overtures to dark triad men
“80% of the overtures toward men go to 10% of the male population, and those are not the right guys. Those are a lot of dark triads. The dark triads are the ones who show the best in every format, including in, in, in dating profiles.”
Brooks: Happiness and unhappiness are processed in different brain hemispheres
“Happiness and unhappiness are not opposites. They're largely governed in different hemispheres of the brain, as a matter of fact. So to say, if I got rid of the screens and had fewer aggravations and mood disorders, I would be happier. That's wrong. You'd be l…”
Brooks: Ages 25 to 32 is optimal range for relationship success
“You find that people from about, you know, 25 to 32, that's the kind of the range where people are most likely to have successful relationships because they're a startup. They're not merging to fully formed lives and careers.”
Brooks: Men over 30 never cohabiting face 1-in-3 substance abuse rate
“For example, if men over 30 who've never either cohabitated or been married, they have a one in three likelihood of a substance abuse disorder.”
Brooks: Non-religious people tend to be less happy than religious people
“We find that non-religious people tend to be less happy than religious people because they don't think that there's something big and good and beautiful that, that, that lies in store for all of us if we live right”
Sanchez: Research shows high IQ does not lead to higher income
“There is little to no research that high IQ leads to higher income. Now there is research that shows really low IQ or very Like lower mid IQ and below does materially show that you're going to make less money. Lots of research showing that, but there's not a l…”
Van Der Beek: The CIA weaponized 'conspiracy theory' to discredit critics
“And also, the truth is, conspiracy theory itself Was something utilized by the CIA to put people in their place.”
Voss: Psychopathy Prevalence Estimates Have Risen to Roughly 1 in 35
“When I first started looking at the number, you know, they used to say like one in every 112, 116, and now they're saying roughly one in 35”
Brooks: Women's happiness has plummeted over twenty years to match men's
“Over the past 20 years or so, women have converged downward to the unhappiness levels of men. So they've converged, and at first I thought, great, men are getting happier. Women are getting unhappier is what we find, and they're getting unhappier very quickly.”
Saladino: No randomized controlled trials on seed oils in 50 to 70 years
“Most of them were done, in fact, all of them were done really between the late 19 fifties and the early 19 seventies. So they're all 50 to 70 years old. We haven't had a randomized controlled trial with seed oils in 50 to 70 years.”
Saladino: Bad breath is caused by gut dysbiosis, not lack of toothpaste
“And if you have bad breath, it's not that you're not brushing your teeth with toothpaste, it's that you have dysbiosis in your gut, right? So it all comes back to quality of food.”
Saladino: Plastic bottles leach cadmium, lead, and antimony into cooking oil
“So then you take all of that and you package it into a plastic bottle, which leaches cadmium, lead, and antimony into the oil, and it sits on the shelf of a grocery store”
Saladino: US permits up to 10,000 food chemicals compared to 500 in Europe
“In Europe, there are maybe four to 500 of these chemicals. In the United States, there are five to 10,000.”
Streeter says Trump campaign spent $250M on transgender prison surgery ad
“We know now that like the Trump campaign spent like two hundred fifty million dollars on that one ad about transgender In, in prisons, when Kamala Harris was talking about supporting transgender surgery in prisons and all that, they found that that moved undec…”
Streeter says claims of universal loneliness crisis among young Americans are false
“You have to be careful when you're saying, like, all young people are suffering a crisis of loneliness, because it's actually not true. There are certain types of young people that are very lonely, and it's like, you want to tailor your response to that popula…”
Israetel: COVID vaccines were highly effective and saved 20 million lives
“The COVID vaccine situation was largely uncontroversial, insanely effective, and saved probably twenty million lives worldwide.”
Galloway: 30-year-olds are poorer than their parents were at 30
“And for the first time in our nation's history, a thirty-year-old man or woman isn't as wealthy as his or her parents were at 30, which in my opinion is a fundamental breakdown in the compact we have between us and America.”
Galloway: Top 25 Wealthiest Americans Pay 6% to 8% Tax
“The wealthiest 25 Americans pay an average tax rate of six to eight percent.”
Galloway: Urban women under 30 earn more than men
“Women under the age of 30 in urban centers are making more money than men.”
Galloway: Harvard grew endowment 4,000% while class size grew 4%
“So Harvard, fifty-four billion dollars in endowment. It's grown its endowment 4000% in the last 30 or 40 years, up forty-fold. It's grown its freshman class size four percent. So it admits 1500 kids on 55,000 applicants.”
Galloway: Top 2% Pay Roughly 90% of Federal Income Taxes
“The bottom 50% pay almost no federal income tax, and the top two percent pay about 90% of the taxes.”
Galloway: US Spending on Seniors Is Rising from 40% to 50%
“40% of all spending right now, government spending, goes to seniors. It's about to be 50%, which lowers the amount of money we can invest in technology, R&D, and education, which have a much bigger payoff.”
Galloway: Young men face vastly higher rates of suicide, addiction, and incarceration
“Young men are four times as likely to kill themselves. They're three times as likely to be addicted. They're three times as likely to be homeless. They're 12 times as likely to be incarcerated.”
Galloway: Mississippi's Average Income Matches or Exceeds the UK and Germany
“So, for example, if you take the poor state, Mississippi, the average household income there is still the same or higher than it is in the UK, Germany, South Korea, Japan.”
Galloway: Corporate Tax Rates Are at Their Lowest Since 1938
“Corporations are paying the lowest tax rate since 1938.”
Galloway: Amazon increased third-party seller take rate from 20% to 45%
“Amazon, 20 years ago, if you were a third-party marketer or a third-party reseller selling your products on Amazon, they took about 20%. Of your gross dollar volume, now they take 45, because they kind of own the market.”
Sanchez: China Uses Yuan for Most Cross-Border Transactions
“China has started to use its own currency for most cross-border transactions.”
Patrick: I sued my IndyCar team over withheld financial data
“Because that's, because I ended up suing my IndyCar team in the end, because I was in a profit sharing arrangement with them, and they weren't providing data, like the information, and the contracts, and the numbers, and so you know, I just trusted that they w…”
Dr. Lyon: GLP-1 agonists are more effective than bariatric surgery
“These medications are more effective than surgery. There is less downtime.”
Dr. Lyon: GLP-1 muscle loss stems from poor diet, not the drug
“The reason people lose lean tissue on these medications, which is the other big criticism, is because they are not training, and they're not eating dietary protein.”
Sanchez: Ozempic costs under $5 to make but sells for $1,000 monthly
“Well, Yale says that Ozempic costs less than five dollars a month to manufacture, And yet we're getting charged a thousand dollars a month for this drug. While the exact same product can be bought in Canada for a 155 dollars a month and 59 dollars a month in G…”
Ramaswamy: An oligopoly of political fundraising bundlers keeps up to ten percent
“There's a tiny group. It's an oligopoly of people who raise money, bundling and otherwise, who get to keep a large percentage, sometimes up to 10% of what they actually raise.”
Gabbard: U.S. threatened Mexico with sanctions over GMO crop ban for Monsanto
“Mexico has banned some form of GMO crops. The United States government is intervening and threatening Mexico with economic sanctions. On behalf of Monsanto, ah, and the, you know.”
Gabbard: Zelensky has taken total control of media and eliminated opposition
“Well, let's look at what President Zelensky has done since this war started, instituted martial law, taken over complete control of the media, total control. It is now merged together under this one, 24 hour station that is, is literally run by the government.…”
Sanchez: Major Democratic donors threatened to withhold 30 million unless Biden withdrew
“A bunch of the big Democratic donors are saying, I will keep my thirty million dollars I was going to donate to the Biden campaign unless they step down.”
Rove: Democrats cannot replace Kamala Harris as the vice presidential nominee
“You cannot replace Kamala Harris. She's going to be the running mate of whoever.”
Rove predicts Democrats will not replace Joe Biden with Gavin Newsom
“If they do hot swap them, it'll be, I don't know, but it won't be Newsom.”
Sanchez: Skilled trade grads earn up to $100K, out-earning marketing grads
“The average marketing major makes somewhere between 60 to 80,000 dollars a year. The average skilled trades worker after they graduate can make up where of 75 to a 100,000 dollars a year.”
Sanchez: Sitting within 25 feet of an underperformer reduces performance 30%
“If you sit next to an underperformer, if an underperformer is sat within a 25 foot radius of a bunch of normal people like you and me, they take your performance down by 30%.”
Brooks: Over 20 years, women's happiness has declined to men's levels
“But what you've found is that over the past 20 years or so, women have converged downward to the unhappiness levels of men. So they've converged, and at first I thought, great, men are getting happier. Women are getting unhappier is what we find, and they're g…”
Altucher: Jerry Seinfeld wrote NYT op-ed attacking him, Cuomo emailed it
“Even Jerry Seinfeld wrote an op-ed in the New York Times just trashing me, which then Andrew Cuomo emailed to, like, everybody in New York State”
Sanchez: UFC shares only 13% of revenue compared to NBA's 50%
“NBA all the way to MLB are somewhere between 51 and 45%.
UFC is 13 to 14%.”