The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Liemandt: Alpha School ranks in top 1% across every grade and subject
“And we are the best performing academic school in the country on any, every single class we have is top one percent. And so in every grade, every subject, no school can say that.”
Liemandt: Trilogy created the first $1 billion AI product
“When I dropped out of Stanford and started the company, we didn't call it AI at all because of the negative connotations, but it was the first AI product to sell a billion dollars.”
Liemandt: Third-grade C students have a 90% chance of staying C students
“If you're a C student in third grade, there's like a 90% chance you'll be a C student for the rest of your life, right? It just, and that's not, there's no inherent brain chemistry around that. That's just a systems issue, right? The way we design school.”
Liemandt: Harvard published research showing AI tutors outperform Harvard teachers
“Harvard has published an article that says AI tutors are better than Harvard teachers.”
Just: PEAK6 employs more female capital allocators than any other firm
“I think peak six has done a really good job of bringing, you know, a wide range. Including a lot of females, more than anybody else in the market in terms of capital allocators. People are actually making decisions around money.”
Sanchez: Business Leaders Who Cry Do Not Remain Leaders for Long
“Every single leader that I have seen cry in business is not a leader for very long.”
Ellsworth: Poppi Was the Fastest Growing Beverage in Beverage History
“Poppy was the fastest growing beverage in the history of beverage, basically.”
Ellsworth: DTC Companies Usually Cap Out Around $250 Million
“Something I know I won't want to do is run a DTC company because they usually cap out about two hundred and fifty million, right?”
Small RV and mobile home parks generate 30% to 60% cash-on-cash returns
“It's like 30 to 60% cash on cash returns.”
Sanchez: Sequoia Capital only allows non-profits to invest in its funds
“And I know this because my friends at Sequoia who are big, huge investors, they only allow nonprofits to invest now. They like will not take actively many people's money.”
Sanchez: Intelligence has zero correlation with how much money people make
“Once you realize that, your life will totally change because intelligence really has no correlation with how much money you can make.”
Masad: Replit launched the market's first end-to-end coding agent in Sept 2024
“And so we launched in September, 20, 24, and it was the first coding agent on the market where you can just, like, put a prompt, and it will, like, make you an application, it will create a database for you, it will, like, Put it out, deploy it, and scale it f…”
Masad: Replit grew from $10M to $100M ARR in 6–7 months
“And our revenue that year climbed to ten million ARR, and then when we got out of beta and the agent got really good, that's when we went to a hundred million ARR in a matter of six, seven months.”
Masad: Non-technical VC employee built $5M ARR software business on Replit
“And he got commitments for five million ARR before he quit his job. So in a matter of, on a matter of weeks, he had a business on his hand, and now he quit his job, and he has the contracts, and the money is flowing in.”
Masad: Non-coder John Chaney reached $1M+ run rate in weeks with Replit
“He has some domain knowledge on how to use AI for different kind of things, marketing and storytelling and things like that, and but he hasn't coded ever. He hasn't used AI coding tools, and he wanted to build an education platform to do AI training. AI traini…”
Masad: Meta's top AI hires earn more than company executives
“Those guys that are getting that Meta's buying for hundreds of millions of dollars are getting paid more than the executives, more than the entire command chain together.”
Masad: Peter Thiel left Meta board over disagreements on VR and AI
“And at the time, he actually had just left the Meta's board, and the reason he left is he disagreed with how Meta's trying to invest in all these immersion technologies, like VR and AI, and Zuck is trying to find his next act.”
Poumpouras: Fortune 100 clients complain about new employees' weak work ethic
“One of the biggest complaints they have is we, we're getting people in who have a weak work ethic, who are bringing versions of themselves that is not helping the whole mission of the company, that we're having difficult time keeping people, finding the right …”
McCord: AI Mediates 20% of Human Waking Life
“The stuff we're building now, mind blowing statistic, but it mediates, meaning AI mediates, 20%
Of waking life.”
Malik: 150 Minutes of Weekly Cardio Is as Effective as Viagra
“There's actually a study that shows that if you exercise a 150 minutes a week, current moderate intensity cardiovascular exercise, it's as good as taking a Viagra.”
Malik: Gynecologists and Urologists Receive Minimal Training on the Clitoris
“Even in our training, there's very little discussion about the clitoris. We're just now starting to have this discussion like, hey, the clitoris has foreskin. Hey, it can get smegma. It can, there's other issues. You have to look at the clitoris and you have t…”
Loeffler: Trump administration is cutting 10 regulations per new one
“President Trump is Leading the charge on that again. He did it in 2016, eliminating multiple regulations for each new one. We're doing it again, at least eliminating 10 for every new regulation”
Sanchez: Hotels Have an Average Profit Margin of Negative 15 Percent
“Do you guys know they are negative margin? Which means if I give you a hundred bucks in a hotel you actually don't give me anything back. You cost me another 15 bucks. They have a -15% margin on average.”
Dr. Moore: Intermittent fasting and high-intensity training cause weight gain
“If you're a middle-aged woman, you're stressed out of your mind, you're insulin resistant by nature because your hormones are waning. Now you're trying to do these long, intermittent fasts. You're trying to do hardcore intensity training because you're like, I…”
Dr. Moore: One person's antibiotics shift the entire household's microbiome
“He was sharing that a study a few years ago where one person in the family took an antibiotic and the entire family's microbiome shifted within days.”
Dr. Moore: South Korea passed the demographic point of no return
“I think in most countries in the world, the, what I have seen is that there's not even a population being born to replace the population. So we are at a certain point, there's a critical point where there's no return, and I think South Korea's definitely hit i…”
Dr. Moore: GLP-1s actively heal metabolic pathways beyond suppressing appetite
“They're not just working by decreasing your, you know, stomach motility. They're not just making you feel fuller longer. They're not just shutting down your appetite in your brain. They're not, that's not where it ends. They actually are healing metabolic path…”
Nagpal: Most course creators can double prices without hurting conversion rates
“What we found is most creators could double their price and see no change in conversion rate.”
Dan Go: Ozempic Users Without Resistance Training Risk Osteoporosis and Severe Muscle Loss
“Like, I've seen people go on Ozempic and not eat high protein, not do resistance training, and then we're starting to see that people are coming up with osteoporosis. Starting to see people lose a shit ton of lean mass.”
Dan Go: Higher Testosterone Makes Men More Independent Thinkers
“They've done studies where it's like when you have more testosterone in your body, when you're, when a guy has more testosterone in his body, he becomes more of an independent thinker.”
Brooks: Happiness and unhappiness are processed in different brain hemispheres
“Happiness and unhappiness are not opposites. They're largely governed in different hemispheres of the brain, as a matter of fact. So to say, if I got rid of the screens and had fewer aggravations and mood disorders, I would be happier. That's wrong. You'd be l…”
Brooks: Non-religious people tend to be less happy than religious people
“We find that non-religious people tend to be less happy than religious people because they don't think that there's something big and good and beautiful that, that, that lies in store for all of us if we live right”
Brooks: Median number of questions men ask on first dates is zero
“You know, the average, by the way, the average number of questions asked by a man on a first date, according to my colleague, Alison Woodbrooks at HBS? Zero. That's the average. That's the median number of questions asked by a man on a first date with a woman.”
Brooks: Ages 25 to 32 is optimal range for relationship success
“You find that people from about, you know, 25 to 32, that's the kind of the range where people are most likely to have successful relationships because they're a startup. They're not merging to fully formed lives and careers.”
Brooks: Men over 30 never cohabiting face 1-in-3 substance abuse rate
“For example, if men over 30 who've never either cohabitated or been married, they have a one in three likelihood of a substance abuse disorder.”
Brooks: Dating apps funnel 80% of overtures to dark triad men
“80% of the overtures toward men go to 10% of the male population, and those are not the right guys. Those are a lot of dark triads. The dark triads are the ones who show the best in every format, including in, in, in dating profiles.”
Sanchez: Research shows high IQ does not lead to higher income
“There is little to no research that high IQ leads to higher income. Now there is research that shows really low IQ or very Like lower mid IQ and below does materially show that you're going to make less money. Lots of research showing that, but there's not a l…”
Van Der Beek: The CIA weaponized 'conspiracy theory' to discredit critics
“And also, the truth is, conspiracy theory itself Was something utilized by the CIA to put people in their place.”
Voss: Psychopathy Prevalence Estimates Have Risen to Roughly 1 in 35
“When I first started looking at the number, you know, they used to say like one in every 112, 116, and now they're saying roughly one in 35”
Galloway: Major tech companies are built on taxpayer-funded technology
“Every one of these companies is built on a technology that was funded by American middle class taxpayers, whether it was DARPA, whether Elon Musk got a three hundred fifty million dollar tax-free loan.”
Brooks: Women's happiness has plummeted over twenty years to match men's
“Over the past 20 years or so, women have converged downward to the unhappiness levels of men. So they've converged, and at first I thought, great, men are getting happier. Women are getting unhappier is what we find, and they're getting unhappier very quickly.”
Saladino: Plastic bottles leach cadmium, lead, and antimony into cooking oil
“So then you take all of that and you package it into a plastic bottle, which leaches cadmium, lead, and antimony into the oil, and it sits on the shelf of a grocery store”
Saladino: No randomized controlled trials on seed oils in 50 to 70 years
“Most of them were done, in fact, all of them were done really between the late 19 fifties and the early 19 seventies. So they're all 50 to 70 years old. We haven't had a randomized controlled trial with seed oils in 50 to 70 years.”
Saladino: Bad breath is caused by gut dysbiosis, not lack of toothpaste
“And if you have bad breath, it's not that you're not brushing your teeth with toothpaste, it's that you have dysbiosis in your gut, right? So it all comes back to quality of food.”
Saladino: US permits up to 10,000 food chemicals compared to 500 in Europe
“In Europe, there are maybe four to 500 of these chemicals. In the United States, there are five to 10,000.”
Streeter: US university faculty have drifted left, screening out opposing viewpoints
“It's just a matter of fact that the political leanings of faculty have really moved to the left since the 19 sixties in this country, and it's happened kind of decade by decade by decade, to the point where people do get screened out of certain colleges and sc…”
Streeter says Trump campaign spent $250M on transgender prison surgery ad
“We know now that like the Trump campaign spent like two hundred fifty million dollars on that one ad about transgender In, in prisons, when Kamala Harris was talking about supporting transgender surgery in prisons and all that, they found that that moved undec…”
Streeter says claims of universal loneliness crisis among young Americans are false
“You have to be careful when you're saying, like, all young people are suffering a crisis of loneliness, because it's actually not true. There are certain types of young people that are very lonely, and it's like, you want to tailor your response to that popula…”