The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
1closed calls →
6529days to next prediction date
Everyone Alex Kantrowitz (38)M.G. Siegler (14)Ranjan Roy (6)Mustafa Suleyman (5)Aaron Levie (5)Yann LeCun (3)Tom Eggemeier (3)Stephen Morris (3)Peter Diamandis (3)Noland Arbaugh (3)Matthew Prince (3)Geoffrey Hinton (3)
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Next up (1)

6529 days left 2044-07-29
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2044
Diamandis: Longevity Escape Velocity Will Be Reached in About 20 Years
“Ray Kurzweil's prediction is 2030, which is insanely close, right? Why? It's because AI is going to help us understand why we age, how to slow it, how to stop it, how to reverse it. George Church puts it at some 15 years out. David Sinclair is in that same are…”
Peter Diamandis Jul 29, 2024 ▶ 43:11 Peter Diamandis — Embracing AI, Befriending Elon, And Living Forever

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Diamandis: Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire
“Elon will be the first trillionaire out there.”
Peter Diamandis Jul 29, 2024 ▶ 24:55 Peter Diamandis — Embracing AI, Befriending Elon, And Living Forever
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