Apple

includes Apple Intelligence, Apple Vision Pro, Apple Watch, Apple TV, Apple Store, Apple Podcasts, Apple Health, Apple Photos, Apple Mail, Apple Calendar, Apple Glasses, Apple M3 and 26 more

258 statements across 87 episodes · 91 bullish · 108 bearish · 36 people on the record · first statement Jun 16, 2021 by Andrew Ross Sorkin · said 2,322 times in 154 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (1800), Ranjan Roy (172), M.G. Siegler (136), Joanna Stern (23), Saagar Enjeti (22), Stephanie Link (20), Casey Newton (17), Brian McCullough (10)

tap a year for its mentions
00750401,50080202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
04080202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0010402080202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 812 mentions in 49 episodes 17 per episode
2025 1,019 mentions in 65 episodes 16 per episode
2024 338 mentions in 23 episodes 15 per episode
2023 77 mentions in 9 episodes 9 per episode
2022 46 mentions in 4 episodes 12 per episode
2021 30 mentions in 4 episodes 8 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Apple, oldest first

Jun 16, 2021 positive
Opinion
Sorkin: Apple is not an antitrust monopoly in Epic case or broadly
“I don't think Apple is a monopoly in the way it's being argued in the construct of the Epic case clearly, and probably More, more broadly, I don't think it's a monopoly either yet.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 36:47 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Jun 16, 2021 positive
Assertion Supported
Sorkin: Apple App Store fee terms have only stayed flat or decreased
“In fact, at Apple, the terms have actually only gotten better, right? They've, first of all, they've either been at 30% or in some cases they've since come down.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 40:49 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Jun 16, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin: Forcing multiple App Stores on iPhone will make hardware more expensive
“Let's say there was now multiple app stores in the iPhone. What happens? It just means that the hardware will get more expensive. That's a good point. It'll get passed on to you.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 43:46 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Jun 16, 2021 neutral
Insight
Sorkin: Retail investors cannot drive meme surges in mega-cap stocks
“I mean, it would be very hard For a retail base of investors to move the stock of an Apple or a Walmart or an Amazon in this kind of way.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 11:34 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Sep 29, 2022
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple is doubling its advertising product team
“Apple is in the middle of doubling its ad sales team, or its advertising team, not sales, the team that builds ad products there.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 44:55 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple's internal secrecy siloes AI engineers across Face ID and car projects
“Every division is in a silo inside Apple, right? If you work on artificial intelligence for the face ID, you can't speak to the engineer working on artificial intelligence for what their self-driving car project, even though they're both using computer vision.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 42:36 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta projected a $10 billion revenue hit from Apple's privacy changes
“And the company says it's going to be a ten billion dollar hit this year alone, right?”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 36:24 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Apple will thrive on iPhone but struggle transitioning to AR and voice
“I think they're going to be in great shape as long as the iPhone is going to be, you know, this flagship product and the key technology. But they've really struggled when it comes to moving into different formats.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 43:59 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Post-Jobs Apple merely refines old ideas and fails at invention
“Apple was built to take Steve Jobs ideas and bring them into action... Unfortunately, Jobs is gone. And so what do you have? You have a culture that's a culture of refinement, not one of invention. And so actually, I think since Steve Jobs has died, Apple has …”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 41:17 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Apple will make VR cool through celebrity adoption
“I think Apple's gonna have a really big impact on that, because in addition to the hardware advancements that they've been making, I think they're going to make VR headsets cool simply by making sure that all the rich and famous people are wearing one.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 5:05 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 positive
Insight
Luckey: Reprojected AR is the only path to superhuman vision
“The Apple headset, it's a, you know, it's a re-projected virtual, it's a re-projected augmented reality headset, which by the way, I believe is the future. Without a doubt, it is the only path to better than human vision.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 22:20 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Apple headset software will take two years, but hardware will impress
“The Apple one, it, because so few people have them, it, I think it's going to take a year or two before people feel like the software side is really there. But the hardware is gonna impress people.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 24:45 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Luckey says unreleased Apple headset prototype hardware is going to be great
“I've used things that are, I've used things that are not quite what it will be, but are better than what it was. And so you know, I can't say I've used the final device, but based on everything that I have seen, it's going to be great.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 24:58 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Microsoft, Apple, or Google would have ruined or canceled Oculus
“VR wasn't on their roadmap, certainly not their ten-year or, you know, long-term roadmap. It was just an interesting thing going on. So even if they would have bought us, it would have been to, you know, use us as a gimmick to sell game consoles, or as an inte…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 26:30 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Sep 6, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Ramaswamy: Safari restricts default search engines to five preselected options
“Outside of the prescribed five, You can't change the search engine on Safari to anything else, even today.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 34:45 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Oct 6, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vogt: Late autonomous vehicle entrants face long paths due to public testing
“Unlike a consumer device, which you can test really well behind closed doors you know, building driverless AVs is very interactive. You have all these feedback mechanisms between, you know, how AVs react with other users on the road. Training first responders …”
Kyle Vogt Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 20:16 Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
Oct 25, 2023 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Apple has seen four straight quarters of revenue decline
“The comps to COVID definitely don't help, but we have, Like four straight quarters of revenue growth decline.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 19:11 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 25, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
McCullough: Apple's 'Scary Fast' Event Will Focus on M3 Chip
“The fact that they're doing a special event at a special time, and it's called Scary Fast, says to me that they are excited to tell us about the M. And they must have something that they think is significant to tell us about how those chips perform. Now, they'…”
Brian McCullough Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 50:30 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 25, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple's Anti-Tracking Changes Cost Meta $10 Billion in Revenue
“I mean, there was a real hit, especially with Apple's anti-tracking moves. We're talking about a ten billion dollar loss coming in or a contraction of revenue coming in.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 11:28 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Dec 14, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Gelsinger: Apple built in-house silicon because Intel stumbled
“Well, you know, they used to use Intel chips and when Intel stumbled Apple stepped in and did their own chips.”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 18:24 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Mar 20, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Doshi: Apple Is Well Positioned to Copy Google's Best AI Experiments
“And I think Apple is super well positioned to just like let Google do all those experiments and then just pluck the ones that are the best ones and use its massive install base and distribution power to deliver an amazing experience, not a rushed rushed one.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 55:58 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Apr 4, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Lanzone: All major search engines will route queries between AI and links
“This is clearly whether it's Bing, Or ChatGPT standalone or perplexity standalone with hitting all the databases they're hitting or now Apple and Google and how they're going to do it. They're all going to be doing that the same way. And so for some queries, i…”
Jim Lanzone Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 47:58 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Web is Still a Great Business
Apr 20, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Swisher: Apple's AI features will be subtle cross-device integrations
“I think you'll, you'll see, it'll be something so subtle. I know you're expecting some like beautiful, gorgeous thing, but yeah, I think your phone will talk to your AirPods better and then it'll all coordinate.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 22:48 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 20, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Swisher says Apple needs AI partners because it doesn't steal data
“Why they have to partner with someone. They don't collect information the way the others do. They're not information thieves the way the others are.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 22:37 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 20, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Swisher: Apple's stock is 10x higher under Tim Cook than Steve Jobs
“Tim Cook has managed to get over that, like, because the stock is so hot, you know, it's, it goes up and down, but it's about 10 X from when Steve Jobs ran it, right?”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 21:20 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
May 9, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Clark: AI is especially challenging for Apple due to its unstable nature
“Well, I was going to say that I think one thing that's challenging about AI is that we're in this giant experimental phase. And I think when you think of like, Experimental and like people don't have a clear notion of what to do. You don't think of us like pre…”
Jack Clark May 9, 2024 ▶ 49:26 Anthropic's Co-Founder on AI Agents, General Intelligence, and Sentience — With Jack Clark
Jun 26, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Batnick: Nvidia will never match Apple's portfolio ubiquity as a brand
“No, no, it can't. I think the reason why Apple became so ubiquitous in portfolios across America is because the brand, the products became so ubiquitous across America. I don't know what the average American has in their house in terms of the iPhone, maybe an …”
Michael Batnick Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 24:46 Decoding the NVIDIA Trade - With Michael Batnick
Aug 30, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Microsoft Will Invest The Least Among OpenAI Funding Round Participants
“I expect Microsoft to be, of those four, the company that puts the least amount of money in, if all four go in.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 3:28 OpenAI Raising At $100 Billion Valuation
Sep 11, 2024 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: iPhone 16 launched with unfinished Apple Intelligence software
“To me, the big story coming out of this was a hardware event with a software focus, and the software wasn't there yet.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 2:16 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Agentic Siri and ChatGPT Voice Parity Aren't Coming Anytime Soon
“And the things that we've been promised around agentic AI running across various apps and taking actions and being able to use Siri in a meaningful way on par with ChatGPT audio or ChatGPT voice. None of that is coming anytime soon.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 4:15 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Roy: Apple historically marketed immediate features rather than future promises
“Apple does not have this history until very recently of promises of where things will be in a few years. They'll tell you what you can do today.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 6:02 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple lacks the track record to successfully overhaul Siri
“Does Apple have the track record to let us think that it's going to be able to pull off Siri? I don't think so. There's nothing that Apple has done to this point to show us that it can upgrade Siri in a meaningful way.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 9:41 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Apple Intelligence will face further delays or disillusion users
“Either it'll get more and more delayed, or it will be a half-baked feature that they've oversold so much that the average user, which is what Apple's promises, is bring these technologies to the average user, will just be disillusioned or just think this is st…”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 11:53 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Apple prematurely hyped AI features to boost its short-term stock price
“They should be reaching out to developers and they should be developing these things before going all in to try to boost their stock price in the short term.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 6:27 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: System-level AI integration threatens Apple's 30% App Store revenue cut
“Otherwise they're basically eliminating apps or the need for apps. To enhance their products, and they're not gonna get that 30% cut anymore.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 27:54 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: The iPhone 16 will not trigger an Apple Intelligence supercycle
“The 16 is not going to be the super cycle. That's based off of apple intelligence. That's so many people hoped.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 17:40 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Roy: Apple's Services revenue will eventually surpass its iPhone revenue
“I think it's gonna happen. I mean, after the announcement of the 16, I think I think it's probably gonna be sooner rather than later”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 35:07 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Antitrust pressure will stall Apple's lucrative services revenue growth
“Tim Cook and Apple are quietly one of the most aggressive monopolists in terms of how they build the ecosystem and juice that services revenue and that kind of growth, I think will stall out. I think we're going to start to see some kind of pressure on bundlin…”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 16:40 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Roy: Existing consumer apps already offer all announced Apple Intelligence features
“Even all the things that they have announced are down the road. Some large scale consumer app is already doing and doing it very well.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 7:37 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Sep 11, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: iPhone drives 52% of Apple's total sales and 68% of products
“The iPhone makes up more than 50% of Apple's total sales. I think it's 52%. This year the iPhone is accounting for 68% of total product sales, right? So the iPhone is 52% of all sales, 68% of Apple product sales, and we're in a moment where in the first three …”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 14:28 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Oct 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Mobile Gatekeepers, Especially Apple, Stifle Meta's Application Development
“Strategically, we have just been at the mercy of platforms for since the start of the mobile era. And we were a web company, right? We were born of the web, and the web was this, like, amazing, unowned platform that you just, like really had a lot of control o…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 9:44 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Apple's ATT Self-Preferencing Slowed Down the Games Industry
“We built a app install business and then Apple came for that with ATT, you know, a tremendous amount of kind of self-preferencing for themselves there. And in doing so, they really put a, you know, the brakes on what was a really rapidly growing part of the ga…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 10:33 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Bosworth: Meta has meaningful tech lead in AR over Apple
“I think we've been investing longer. I think we've believed in it more. And as a consequence of frankly, Mark Zuckerberg's faith and tremendous execution by a team of Thousands of people over a long period of years. I think we have a meaningful lead in a bunch…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 16:08 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Apple will block third-party AI agents from intermediating iPhone apps
“That is not something that Apple wants some other developer to be able to do, because that would disintermediate their position, their privileged position on the phone.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 19:51 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 23, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Link: iPhone 17 and 18 will be stronger upgrade cycles than 16
“I think that maybe 17 and 18, I feel really good about those phones. I'm not so sure that 16 is going to be the blow away, but the expectations are still kind of muted.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 8:03 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Link: AI will be an absolute home run for Apple's app business
“Now, long-term services, I do think is going to be a home run. I think AI is going to be an absolute home run for the apps business.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 8:39 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ives: 300 million iPhones haven't been upgraded in four years
“There's three hundred million iPhones that haven't upgraded in four years.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 1:57 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Link: Apple's forward P/E multiple expanded from 26x to 35x
“I think the stock got as much as low as 26 times forward estimates. And today we're at 35 times forward estimates.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 13:20 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Link: Amazon trades cheaper than Apple at 32x forward earnings vs 35x
“Well, it is trading cheaper than Apple. It's a 32. Forward and apples at 35 times.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 47:31 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ives: Consumer AI will add $10B-$15B yearly to Apple's services revenue
“My view is from a consumer AI perspective, the monetization here, we think it'd be ultimately an incremental 10, fifteen billion per year of services.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 2:37 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Ives: Apple gained ~300 bps of China market share over two years
“First off, they've gained about 300 bips of market share in China in the last two years.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 4:11 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Ives: Meta and Google will eventually integrate into Apple Intelligence
“Apple basically said, we now will be the castle for AI. And if you want access to it, you got to come through Apple intelligence, clearly open AI. I eventually think Meta Google are going to have to make the same move.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 15:14 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ives: Trump victory will initially hurt AI trade, Apple, and Tesla
“Trump gets in, if he gets in, It is very negative for the AI trade. Initially, semis, tariffs, retaliatory for Apple, Tesla.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 26:56 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Link: Trump election victory will trigger selloffs in Apple and semis
“I think the initial knee-jerk reaction will be sell Apple, sell semiconductors and in spades, because they've all done so well over the last several years even with the President Biden's tariffs, because we know that he kept a lot of tariffs on, but, you know,…”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 24:37 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ives: NVIDIA will reach $4 trillion market cap in 3-6 months
“I think you're looking at four trillion dollar mark cap again in the next three to six months. I mean, that's, I think them and Apple, they battle it out for that finish line to get the four trillion.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 35:46 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ives: 20% of consumers will access AI through Apple within 18 months
“The second is that it's our view, regardless of timing, next 1218 months, 20% of the world ultimately is going to access AI, especially as more developers build apps through an Apple device.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 2:23 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ives: 100 million iPhones in China are in an upgrade window
“The biggest opportunity is you have a hundred million iPhones in China that are in a window of an upgrade opportunity.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 17:37 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Link: Apple targets manufacturing one in four iPhones in India
“Tim Cook makes one iPhone for every seven in India, and his goal is to get from one iPhone to every four in India”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 18:16 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ives: Current fiscal year will be Apple's strongest iPhone unit year ever
“So regardless of what you want to say about Apple intelligence, if it's going to be rolled out in October, November, January, February, in the next, for this fiscal year, this will, unless some black swan event happens, be the strongest iPhone unit year ever h…”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 2:00 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ives: Apple upgrade cycle will drive stock regardless of AI
“This upgrade cycle in itself without AI, the stock's going to work. The AI piece is ultimately the start of how most consumers in the world are going to eventually interact with AI.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 14:43 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Ives: Apple-Baidu AI deal is Apple's biggest potential catalyst
“Does Baidu and Apple strike a deal where Baidu becomes ultimately the AI partner? If that, like if you said to me the biggest catalyst that could happen on the name, it's that.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 17:51 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ives: Apple's China sales will grow 15% to 20% next year
“But Alex, if you look at comps, the next year, China's gonna be up 15, 20%, and that's why, like, the bears, when they come out of hibernation mood with iPhone mathematical gymnastics trying to scare people, the reason the stock's not doing anything, because i…”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 4:32 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ives: Apple's services business will reach a $2 trillion valuation
“That services piece that at one point was valued, five hundred billion, I think it's going to be closer to two trillion in terms of the valuation as that reaches 125 hundred fifty billion per year.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 3:03 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Nov 13, 2024 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Söderström: Apple held roughly 98% of podcast market without investing
“Apple hadn't invested in it and they had like nine to eight percent Of the market.”
Gustav Söderström Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 44:38 Spotify Co-President Gustav Söderström on their future with Generative AI
Nov 15, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2027
Kantrowitz: Apple will soon release Siri-powered smart glasses to rival Meta's offering
“And I think it's not going to be too long until we see Apple build a product like this of their own, if not one with an enhanced Siri to hit one of your most favorite things.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 50:48 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Nov 15, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Apple Intelligence is completely useless and the Vision Pro flopped entirely
“Apple intelligence, maybe it'll come around, but it is so, so far from anything we have seen even remotely close to useful. The vision pro flop.”
Ranjan Roy Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 52:06 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Nov 24, 2024 negative
Opinion
Roy: Apple Intelligence is among the most half-baked hyped AI products
“Apple intelligence At least what we have seen so far remains one of the most half-baked of all AI, like hyped AI products out there.”
Ranjan Roy Nov 24, 2024 ▶ 26:23 OpenAI Builds A Browser, Microsoft Copilot’s Struggles, Jaguar Rebrand
Jan 5, 2025 positive
Opinion
Newton: Acquiring Snap could advance Apple's AR hardware project by years
“Apple could sort of immediately put their sort of AR tech into practice, and maybe advance their you know, AR hardware project by a few years.”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 44:41 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Newton: Apple Intelligence is built for users two years behind cutting-edge AI
“If you're, like, a tech nerd, like we are, and you want to live in the future, and you want to, like, use tools to improve your life, you would not be using any of the Apple intelligence stuff, because it, like, it truly is aimed at somebody who is two years b…”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 15:27 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
Newton: Apple Intelligence is the flop of the year
“What I would say is Apple intelligence flop of the year.”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 13:32 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Newton: Apple's strained developer relations prevented a Netflix Vision Pro app
“Their relationships with developers are, like, really bad right now. They can't even get frickin' Netflix to make an App for this thing.”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 19:41 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Winarski: Apple repurposed Siri in 2010 to serve Apple Calendar and Mail
“Apple purchased Siri Steve Jobs, and they, in 2010, they took Siri as it was and reinvented it for the Apple purposes, so that would access Apple Calendar, Apple Mail, All of those things.”
Norman Winarski Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 13:23 The Future of AI and Entrepreneurship, According Two Leading Innovators
Jan 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Apple has failed to successfully implement its Apple Intelligence features
“Apple intelligence is almost the perfect example of the problem that I'm pointing toward, which is that we have this technology that's so promising, and yet even Apple cannot implement it successfully. And that might, I mean, obviously it says something about …”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 37:17 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Enjeti: Apple Intelligence is a complete bust and its summaries are garbage
“But Apple intelligence has been a complete bust. I'm an idiot for buying this phone. It's really, it's not different at all. AI, Apple AI summaries for my text messages are garbage. Literally less than useful.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 45:54 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple Intelligence is tech's biggest presentation-to-reality failure
“Look, I've been doing this for a very long time, and I can tell you I've never seen an instance where you have such a high stakes presentation from such a prominent company that undelivers to this, under delivers to this magnitude. It is astonishing how bad it…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 46:29 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Enjeti: Apple has largely abandoned software development for the Vision Pro
“They haven't updated this thing at all guys. Like, for anybody out there, I can't even tell you how much they've just abandoned this thing completely, so if you don't like any of the day one stuff on it, do not get it, because they haven't, they've barely done…”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 51:30 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Panos Panay: No competitor comes close to Alexa's home understanding
“I don't think there's anyone close to be able to understand your home as Amazon, as Alexa.”
Panos Panay Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 27:59 How Amazon Rebuilt Alexa From The Ground Up
Mar 12, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Roblox refuses to rely on Apple and Google for user age verification
“We've taken the posture that we can't wait for mobile providers or OS, and we have to be fully capable of doing it on our own, whether it's in age estimation, how we filter all text, how we filter all voice, all of that.”
David Baszucki Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 40:17 Roblox CEO: We Want AI To Generate Full Games
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Albergotti: Rival AI demand is surging while Apple's AI remains terrible
“These other companies now can't even keep up with demand for their AI products. And meanwhile, Apple's is terrible.”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 6:47 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Albergotti: Apple is considering using Amazon's custom Trainium AI chips
“And they've got some other, you know, some other customers as well, like Databricks, Apple is considering it you know, poolside, which is like a kind of hot AI company.”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 56:29 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Insight
Albergotti: Tech monopolies like Apple are disrupted by new technology, not antitrust
“This, and I had this thought at the time, like, this is never going to disrupt Apple. What's going to disrupt them is new technology. That's how you know, create sort of creative destruction, disruption, and it's sort of why, like, to bring it to, like, what's…”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 14:36 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Insight
Kantrowitz: Apple's closed, deterministic product culture cannot adapt to open-ended AI
“It's an excellence that makes products work very well with their custom silicon and the fact that their operating system is closed and they control it. That's a great innovation and it works well with their operating system. But that type of excellence is not …”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 12:45 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple Intelligence failure costs Apple more public credibility than Maps
“What they said was taken as gospel. They rarely fair, rarely failed in public. When they did, it was non-consequential, like Apple Maps. I mean, Apple Maps is nothing compared to Apple Intelligence. Now they're failing in public, and they're losing credibility…”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 6:07 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Albergotti: Apple's heavy marketing focus on privacy crippled its AI development
“And also, you know, another, another BS thing that Apple pitched, which this is privacy thing, which honestly, like, I cannot believe how much mileage they got out of that. They kind of just painted themselves into a corner because, you know, all these other c…”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 11:03 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Albergotti: Apple scaled back innovation for years and fell behind in AI
“This has been a gradual thing that's been going on for many years as the company has sort of scaled back on innovation, really leaned on the fact that it's walled garden. Some might call it a monopoly. And it really, I think used that marketing power, that goo…”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 4:10 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: Apple's Q1 iPhone sales fell 3.5 percent compared to 2023
“Their iPhone sales in Q one this year were, I think, three and a half percent less than they were two years ago.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 12:01 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Albergotti: Apple is fundamentally just an iPhone company unlike its diversified peers
“All the other big tech companies are kind of like doing everything now, right? They're like, you know, Meta is, is doing their own AI chip and spending billions of dollars to roll out these data centers. Sure. Apple, Apple is going to do that too, but I think …”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 10:27 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Europe Represents Nearly a Quarter of Big Tech Revenue
“Apple sales in Europe 26% of total revenue. Meta's ad sales in Europe, 23% total revenue. Amazon's international sales 23% of total revenue.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 48:15 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Mar 29, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple's China revenue share dropped from 18 to 15 percent
“Apple is still, 15% of its revenue in Q-IV was coming from China, but that wasn't the 18%. And that has dogged Apple revenue for quarters.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 55:32 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Apr 2, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: Apple's Blunder Was Promising Everything at Once With AI
“So I think Apple, the biggest letdown, and again, going back to the gap between promise and reality, is they essentially promised everything all at once to everyone. Rather, rather than being like, okay, let's solve the, go to your inbox and answer all of your…”
Ranjan Roy Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 45:46 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Apr 8, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Parker: Tariffs will delay any improvement in Apple's product cycle
“I think this tariff thing is just bad for their growth rate and it definitely is going to cause like a delay to any cycle improvement.”
Adam Parker Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 18:35 Tariffs Impact on Tech Stocks: A Black Swan Event? — With Adam Parker of Trivariate Research
Apr 8, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Parker: Apple is more impaired by tariffs than Nvidia
“I think Apple is more impaired than some of the other business models are. I certainly think it's more impaired than Nvidia.”
Adam Parker Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 14:42 Tariffs Impact on Tech Stocks: A Black Swan Event? — With Adam Parker of Trivariate Research
May 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Roy: Cook backed CFO over Schiller on 27% App Store fee
“So in 2023, after the initial decision, Phil Schiller had actually said that maybe we move to a model where Apple takes no commission, but apparently Apple's finance chief had come up with the idea around 27%. Tim Cook sided with the finance chief, Luca Maestr…”
Ranjan Roy May 5, 2025 ▶ 39:20 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Roy: Apple generates an estimated $30B from App Store payment fees
“Thirty billion. Thirty billion. That's the estimated revenue from the, directly from the payment side of it.”
Ranjan Roy May 5, 2025 ▶ 45:48 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Half of iPhones sold in the US were made in India
“Half the iPhone sold in the U S were made in India.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2025 ▶ 31:41 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 5, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: App Store dark pattern revelations won't hurt Apple with consumers
“Apple has been able to weather so many storms like this and nothing seems to stick. And I think it's just because people love iPhones so much that like, this is not going to resonate with the individual user. So I think that that is not going to be a big deal.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2025 ▶ 41:27 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Apple expects a $900 million tariff cost increase in June quarter
“Apple said there was no tariff impact in the March quarter. It cannot precisely estimate for June quarter, which is the current one, but estimates nine hundred million dollars in cost increases in the period. This is with an exception for iPhone.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2025 ▶ 32:06 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Apple remains the most vulnerable Big Tech firm to tariffs
“Apple still is the most vulnerable, but the most promising part of that was the 50% in India.”
Ranjan Roy May 5, 2025 ▶ 33:26 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 27, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Apple acquiring Anthropic is the most logical move
“More than ever, Apple needs to buy Anthropic. It's the most logical thing imaginable. They're having trouble on the consumer side. They have to fix the underlying.”
Ranjan Roy May 27, 2025 ▶ 26:47 OpenAI's Jony Ive Moment, Anthropic's Big New Model, Google In AI Mode
May 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Roy: Apple aims to release smart glasses by late 2026
“Apple, they're aiming to release new smart glasses end of next year.”
Ranjan Roy May 27, 2025 ▶ 25:22 OpenAI's Jony Ive Moment, Anthropic's Big New Model, Google In AI Mode
Jun 4, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scaramucci: Reshoring iPhone production would make iPhones cost $3,500
“I want Apple explaining that you want to bring the iPhone back, great, it's going to cost 3500 dollars on iPhone.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 53:51 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple Intelligence cross-app contextual features failed to ship in 2025
“I mean, if you think back to last year's event, we were promised effectively a contextually aware assistant, Apple intelligence that could combine signals from your apps and make your life easier by doing things like searching your Gmail and telling you when y…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 4:35 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025
Assertion Supported
Roy: Apple Spent $410B on Buybacks Over Past Five Years
“Four hundred ten billion dollars spent in share buybacks over the last five years. Expected ninety billion this year.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 32:55 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple iPhone Shipments Fell from 234M to 232M in 2024
“IPhone shipments down. Twenty-twenty-four, according to IDC, 232 million? Is it million? Yeah, million iPhone shipments. Twenty-twenty-three, 234. So actually, iPhone shipments are down. Market share, 20% in twenty-twenty-three, 18.7%. In 2024. The only reason…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 19:20 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: An Apple Acquisition of Perplexity Would Clear Antitrust Review
“Apple has a negligible share of the search market, and perplexity has a negligible share of the search market. Deal will sail through.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 33:27 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: Apple's on-device AI doesn't matter because latency isn't the issue
“I don't think it matters at all, because latency is not the problem. Privacy, maybe some could argue, and we're going to get into OpenAI and chat retention in a little bit, but like, that's not the issue Apple's having right now. Just making a barely functiona…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 6:51 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google-Apple Search Deal Threat Is Big Tech's Most Underrated Liability
“I think it's one of the most underrated liabilities for big tech companies. It's a company, it's one of the most underrated liabilities for a big tech company today, if not the biggest.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 32:32 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: Vision Pro Is Incredible Technology, Unlike Apple Intelligence
“Vision Pro, maybe DUD, but Amazing piece of technology. I actually think that was very different than Apple Intelligence. That was almost like too forward looking a piece of technology or too niche, but still an incredible piece of technology. Apple Intelligen…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 18:27 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple should outsource Siri to ChatGPT while rebuilding it
“OpenAI already did it, and so either Apple just, you know, fully, more fully bakes it in, which I still think, by the way, they should probably do with Siri while they rebuild Siri, right? Just totally outsource it to ChatGPT.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 25:20 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Acquiring Perplexity would be Apple's largest acquisition by far
“This is why I've been jumping up and down on the table for them to acquire perplexity would be the biggest acquisition in their history by far.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 36:18 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Apple cannot acquire Anthropic due to Amazon and Google stakes
“I don't think that Apple can buy anthropic just because of like the weird ownership now of Amazon and Google owning so much of that company, I think it would be very hard to see how they could possibly do that. And it would just cost, you know, a hundred billi…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 37:53 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Siegler: Apple May Release a Foldable Device Around 2026
“Obviously Apple's going to go down the path. It sounds like maybe next year. And they'll have something like that”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 30:01 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 bearish
Insight
Siegler: Retrofitting Old Voice Assistants With GenAI Is Harder Than Expected
“It's just a lot harder to sort of go back and try to shove this new technology into that old technology, even though on a surface level, they seem like they're similar. It seems like, you know, behind the scenes, they're not similar at all. And in fact, there'…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 13:47 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Android Currently Lacks an AI Killer App Over iOS
“I don't think that that's necessarily the case right now for exactly the reasons that we're talking about, because I don't think that there's exactly the killer app that, that makes Android that much better than iOS right now.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 29:38 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's On-Device Models Are Far Behind State-of-the-Art
“Are they really going to be as powerful as some of the other state of the art models out there? Obviously not”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 5:37 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's Retail Moat Beats Google and Meta in Hardware
“They have a retail presence, which no one else can match and for consumer goods. And so if, and when they can find sort of either that next device or that product for the current devices, they can move units and sell these things in a way that, that Google can…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 40:20 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Apple Skips John Gruber's Talk Show for First Time in Decade
“They apparently are not sending an Apple exec to John Gruber's talk show you know, event this year for the first time in a decade”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 49:49 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Apple Spent as Much Time on Phone App as AI
“Apple spent three minutes talking about a phone, the phone app, like who uses the phone app anymore? Like, yeah, there's some nice little cute upgrades, but we didn't need to talk about that for three minutes when we talked about Apple intelligence for roughly…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 4:54 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple must rethink Siri and AI almost from scratch
“They're just sort of not talking about it because they literally can't right now because they had to rejigger the whole team. They have to sort of, if not completely start over from scratch, at least sort of look at everything from, you know, starting over fro…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 10:03 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's WWDC Only Merited Two of Five Stars
“When I say two out of five stars, I'm giving Apple, you know, a little bit of benefit of the doubt here, just because, like, it easily, I really think, could have been a zero out of five stars, given how little they had to talk about AI.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 2:01 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will not have AI fully solved by 2026
“I would say that I don't think that they'll have everything solved by 2026 by any means, but I do think I. I've heard enough sort of and done enough triangulating where I feel like they're at least now have the appropriate fires lit under their asses to get, y…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 39:03 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Siri's 15-year record shows Apple's AI is far behind competitors
“I think that's actually a fine strategy, but only if your AI works really well. And well, the state of Siri the actual ship stuff over the past 15 or so years suggests that it doesn't. They have to get their AI house in order and catch up”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 42:19 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Perplexity CBO Confirms No M&A Discussions with Apple
“He told me that Apple and perplexity haven't had no MNA discussions.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 23, 2025 ▶ 42:55 OpenAI and Microsoft Tension Boils, Amazon’s Job Automation, Zuck’s Spending Spree
Jun 25, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lee: Apple may lag early AI before taking market lead
“Apple might Do what they did in, oh, two and seven. They weren't cutting edge and making the first mobile phone, but they, in 2007, after the bubble burst, introduced the iPhone, and so, maybe they'll wait for AI valuations to come down, or the, you know, the …”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 51:03 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
Jul 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple must replace Siri with an external large language model
“They've got to replace Siri with something else, whether it be ChatGPT, or Claude, or Google Gemini, or one of the other products, because this is just really table stakes stuff that they should, you know, they've been working on Siri for 15 plus years”
M.G. Siegler Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 2:35 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple lacks the internal mentality and cadence for AI
“One of the reasons that I would worry about Apple going forward is they don't have the right internal mentality about doing this stuff, and you can see it in the sort of products that they've shipped to date, specifically, obviously, with Siri, Where they're c…”
M.G. Siegler Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 10:34 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 9, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Apple risks losing phone sales without deep AI integration
“And if you wait for let's say a Samsung or some other Android to deeply integrate with a competitor and provide this experience while you're just standing still and you don't have this integrated into your operating system, I think you could really end up losi…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 9:19 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 9, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple's largest corporate acquisition ever was only $3 billion
“Now, Apple's biggest acquisition in history was three billion dollars. So it's not exactly a company that is sort of ready to spend two billion a year or more on a integration partner.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 18:54 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 9, 2025 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Anthropic's safety branding fits Apple better than OpenAI's 'chaos'
“I think they probably, if they've met with both leadership teams, I think they probably are a company that would absolutely go for Dario's safety branding. Like it's the safety company with the privacy company versus open AI, which is kind of like the chaos pr…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 18:20 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Levie: Big Tech will avoid tens-of-billions-dollar AI mega-acquisitions
“So I would more bet not on one of these very large multi-tens of billions of dollar deals, simply because there's other paths to get there that are not as complicated.”
Aaron Levie Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 45:06 OpenAI’s Windsurf Crash, Grok’s Wild Week, Replace Tim Cook? — With Aaron Levie
Jul 14, 2025 bullish
Insight
Levie: Apple needs only a 'good enough' AI model given its distribution
“Apple's ultimately advantage is, is they have a distribution model that nobody else has, and they have a form factor of where AI could show up that nobody has, so they don't need, they don't necessarily need to have the best model relative to, you know, one or…”
Aaron Levie Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 45:58 OpenAI’s Windsurf Crash, Grok’s Wild Week, Replace Tim Cook? — With Aaron Levie
Jul 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Morris: Google Will Lose Exclusive Safari Search Deal from Antitrust Remedies
“They're going to have to share more data with rivals. They're going to lose the right to be Apple's exclusive search engine provider on Safari across its devices.”
Stephen Morris Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 49:08 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Sep 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Judge Mehta Rules Google Keeps Chrome and Android in Remedy
“And the judge who brought the ruling on Tuesday, Amit Mehta, basically ruled across the board, none of that needs to happen. It can keep Chrome, it can keep Android, it can continue to pay for distribution within Apple devices, and the partnerships can continu…”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 9:29 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google Barred From Paying for Safari Search Exclusivity
“I mean, now one of the interesting things in the ruling was that Google can no longer pay for the exclusive position Within things like Safari. So it can, can't be paid Apple to be the only thing, but it's allowed to pay for distribution.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 15:09 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple Leans Toward Google Gemini for Siri Summarizer and Planner
“Apple has been leaning towards using a custom built Google Gemini model for the summarizer. And it's also considering using a Google model for the planner function as well.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 4:49 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Apple and Google Agree to Test Gemini Model for Siri
“The company's reached a formal agreement this week for Apple to evaluate and test a Google developed AI model to help power the voice assistant.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 2:41 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anthropic Likely Lost Apple Siri Partnership Over High Pricing
“And the other one is Anthropic, which, you know, was going to charge so much money that it seems like it potentially lost this deal based off of, The cash.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 8:00 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 16, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Pixel's system-level Gemini integration is vastly superior to Siri
“Having Gemini integrated into the like system layer of the phone is so different Than trying to use Siri.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 13:56 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 16, 2025 positive
Opinion
Ranjan Roy believes Apple under-promotes its nearly unbreakable iPhone models
“I genuinely think Apple somehow did invent a somewhat unbreakable iPhone a couple years ago, and for some reason does not actually tout this very much.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 4:55 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 16, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Kantrowitz: Apple will release a folding iPhone next year and curved glass after
“This is the first of three consecutive years of new model releases. It's going to start with the iPhone. Air this year, next year, they're going to move to the fold in the year after the curved glass”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 6:09 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: iPhone 17 Pro gets 39-hour battery and 20-minute 50% charge
“There is going to be 39 hours in a single charge on the iPhone, 17 pro, and you can also charge it up to 50% of the battery in just 20 minutes of improvement from the prior 30 minutes.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 3:25 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 16, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Ranjan Roy refuses to believe Apple's AI translation works until proven
“Apple I will admit, they, I have lost faith. Like, the demos they did with Siri two, a year and a half ago now, or two, a year ago, like, I don't, until I actually see the live translation in action working well, I just don't believe that it's real.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 15:48 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 18, 2025 positive
Opinion
Levie: Apple and Amazon Can Still Catch Up in AI
“The companies just mentioned, like, I don't think the, those spaces have been so utterly disrupted that, that that they can't catch up once they land on a final architecture.”
Aaron Levie Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 26:49 Are 95% of Businesses Really Getting No Return on AI Investment? — With Aaron Levie
Sep 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Roy: Meta's Flawed Live Demo Builds More Developer Credibility Than Apple
“I actually think it's going to give a lot more credibility among developers that this is real and it's wonky and it didn't work on stage right now, but they're at least showing what is real rather than Apple.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 45:49 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Oct 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Apple's iOS ecosystem positions it to beat Meta in smart glasses
“Apple is in a much better position to win here. I mean, they can connect it to iMessage. They can connect it to all the apps on your phone. So I'm not sure what claim Meta really has besides being first to market here.”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 46:16 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Zuckerberg is deeply frustrated by Meta's dependency on Apple and Android
“The thing that I saw him the most frustrated about in our conversations was the fact that he has to go through Apple and Android in order to deliver his services. He hates just being an app on the phone”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 49:45 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will not release a screenless AI hardware device
“I don't think you'll see Apple do like, yeah, like a screen lists AI device.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 41:17 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple went all-in on Vision Pro and timed the market completely wrong
“The device itself is just way too bulky, way too heavy. Everything about it is just inconvenient to use. And it's just the time, the market completely wrong. And obviously they couldn't have known AI was coming as in as hot as it did, but like, you know, they …”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 53:31 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: A $1,000 Apple Vision headset still would not be a hit
“Even if they did a quote unquote vision or vision air and say, it was like even a thousand dollars, do you think it's going to be a massive scale, you know, hit device? I don't think that it would be.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 52:15 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Luxottica retail partnership was Meta's smartest smart glasses move
“I do think the smartest thing that they did was partner with Exeter Luxottica because the biggest strength that Apple obviously has beyond all their in-house expertise is also the retail channels, right? Like they can move product because they have stores arou…”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 49:16 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Next Vision Pro update will only bring chip and headband upgrades
“They're obviously about to release a new version with just an upgraded chip. It's apparently going to have a slightly better headband, which is nice because the current one is not any good, but beyond that, it will just be a chip upgrade.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 51:39 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 13, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Ranjan Roy: Apple should acquire Snapchat and make Evan Spiegel CEO
“They should buy Snapchat and make Evan Spiegel CEO. I said it, and I said it. I want some product vision at the company again.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 55:29 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Oct 20, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Is Poaching Apple AI Talent Simply to Kneecap Them
“I think what Mark Zuckerberg is trying to do is just rate Apple of all of its top AI talent. Even though they haven't produced great results, He is, in my opinion, potentially just trying to completely kneecap its ability to execute on AI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 40:49 Erotic ChatGPT, Zuck’s Apple Assault, AI’s Sameness Problem
Oct 20, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Close to a dozen Apple AI leaders have left for Meta
“I think this is, what, close to a dozen. Folks from Apple's AI division that have left to Meta, including a large percentage of, it seems like a large percentage of its leadership.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 39:47 Erotic ChatGPT, Zuck’s Apple Assault, AI’s Sameness Problem
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI Is Least Trusted on Security Versus Microsoft, Google, Apple
“And I think open AI is probably the least trusted in terms of like working on security relative to like. Whether it's a Microsoft or a Google or even an Apple or whoever else, I think OpenAI is gonna lose that battle any day of the week.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 17:14 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Nov 6, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: iPhone 17 is driving double-digit growth expectations for Apple's Q4
“The iPhone 17 is proving to be a hit. It has, it led Apple to a strong quarter in the most recent quarter that they just spoke about last week, and there's expectations that it is gonna have a powerhouse quarter in Q four, double digit iPhone growth.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 44:13 OpenAI’s IPO Plan, Deconstructing The AI Bet, Apple’s iPhone 17 Revival
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Apple didn't need an AI narrative to spur an iPhone supercycle
“Apple was so focused on that. They need the AI narrative to like, Spur a new super cycle or something of iPhone sales, and it turns out they didn't need that after all, it looks like.”
M.G. Siegler Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 47:32 OpenAI’s IPO Plan, Deconstructing The AI Bet, Apple’s iPhone 17 Revival
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Apple would prioritize a second iteration if iPhone Air succeeded
“I view it as this like awkward in between device right now. And you know, whether or not it was actually delayed, I think that there's no question that if it was a major hit that apple would be moving heaven and earth, try to get a second iteration out there, …”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 28:59 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Siegler: Tim Cook will become Apple chairman instead of fully retiring
“I don't think Tim Cook is actually going to leave leave. I think he would become, yeah, like chairman.”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 5:18 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kantrowitz: Tim Cook could step down as Apple CEO in early 2026
“But between that departure and this mega byline story in the FT I could see Tim Cook realistically leaving in Q one in 20, 26. I think that's a real thing.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 7:20 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple dramatically cut iPhone Air production after it massively flopped
“We also know that the iPhone Air is basically a massive flop there. They cut back production dramatically. It doesn't seem like They're working on a next edition.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 26:03 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple AI chief John Giannandrea will likely step down soon
“Like he will probably not be there for very much longer unless he were to fully step into just a full on research thing, which is what LeCun did right for a long time before he stepped back.”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 20:47 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Gemini Deal Buys Apple Time to Gradually Swap In In-House AI Models
“I do think that they'll continue to work on their own models internally, and then, you know, they can, but this Gemini potential partnership allows them, buys them a lot of time to basically be able to swap in their models, and they don't have to do it in even…”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 25:08 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Siegler: Apple services will overtake the iPhone within a decade
“I think at some point in the next decade, services will pass the iPhone as the largest business for Apple.”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 16:40 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Meta is becoming Apple's biggest hardware competitor
“Meta is now going to be Apple's biggest competitor in the hardware space. And I never thought that that could be the possible or the case, but I really think that will be the case”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 5:11 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: Apple targets smart glasses launch by end of 2026
“Apple is going to release its smart glasses targeted at the end of next year.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 19:03 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta poaches Apple UI design chief Alan Dye
“Apple's head of user interface design, Alan Dye, along with the deputy and maybe some other team members, went over to Meta. Meta poached them.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 2:39 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cramer: Smart glasses displacing the iPhone is far off
“I'm using the iPhone, but I still think that it's a long way off as,”
Jim Cramer Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 2:44 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 23, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Cramer: Apple outsmarted everyone by moving slowly on AI
“You know, I think that they outsmarted everyone.”
Jim Cramer Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 0:53 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 24, 2025 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kantrowitz: Tim Cook will announce departure on Apple Q1 earnings call
“Tim Cook announces on first quarter conference call that he's leaving the company at the end of the year.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 24:02 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: 2026 Will Be Apple's Best Year Ever
“Without a doubt, I think, twenty-twenty-six will be Apple's best year ever.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 5:29 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Dec 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Kantrowitz: Apple Is on Schedule to Release a Foldable Phone in 2026
“Apple is on schedule to release one this upcoming year, so why not wait?”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 4:16 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Jan 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Siegler: Apple will not acquire Perplexity AI after kicking tires
“I don't think it'll be apple for the reasons that we've talked about. I think that apple kicked those tires and decided not to go down that path.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 50:40 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will not acquire Safe Superintelligence for tens of billions
“I don't think that they're going to do a deal. That's like, you know, the thirty billion dollar, 3040, fifty billion dollars that it would take to buy safe, super intelligence just to do that.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 48:49 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: Tim Cook will likely step down as Apple CEO in 2026
“This is the last year, I think, for Tim Cook. Just, you know, not based off of any, anything more than reading the reports, but I think he's done.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 46:16 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Siegler: Apple's next CEO will be John Ternus or Craig Federighi
“It has to be sort of between those two, between Ternus and Federighi. But everyone, you know, all the reporting points to Ternus. And so you have to believe that that's the thing.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 47:52 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will eventually develop in-house AI rather than rely on Google
“They now have the sort of bandaid stopgap. If you want to call it that a very good bandaid in the Google deal, but eventually Apple's going to want to own this and do this themselves. And so they need the right person. That they now have a years of runway than…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 49:05 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta lack standout AI products
“What standout product does AI product does Microsoft have outside of selling AI services from Azure? What standout product does Amazon, AI product does Amazon have outside of selling some AI with AWS. What standout AI product does Apple have? We both know that…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 36:08 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple's folding iPhone will be a big hit
“I think so. I mean, again, this is a little bit going against the grain because it does feel like that people are maybe not skeptical of it, but I know you and I've talked about it, right?”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 43:58 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 19, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Consumers will not let AI book travel tickets for a long time
“No one is gonna book a ticket, let AI book the ticket for them for a long time.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 23:22 Is Google's Gemini Winning?, Thinking Machines Drama, Claude Cowork’s Potential
Jan 26, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Apple's planned AI pin could succeed despite 20 million unit target
“Twenty million is high, but I think it could be, I think it could be a winning device.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 40:17 OpenAI’s $50 Billion Fundraise, AI Advertising Game Theory, Apple’s AI Wearable Pin
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple wanted Anthropic Claude before choosing Google as Plan B
“Actually Apple wanted to go with Anthropic first, and they wanted to use Claude. This is according to Mark Gurman, said it this week. Turns out Anthropic, you know, was basically trying to chart and a lot of money, and then they eventually went with Plan B, wh…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 39:27 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Siegler: Meta spends $130B on CapEx while Apple spends around $18B-$20B
“We have Meta over here that's spending a hundred and thirty billion dollars in CapEx, whereas Apple is spending much closer to zero. You know, it's something around, like, it's like 18 or twenty billion dollars in CapEx. Because they're not building out obviou…”
M.G. Siegler Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 45:52 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Mar 4, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: AI AirPods will likely be Apple's most successful wearable
“If I had to guess, I would think that the AirPods would probably be the most successful just because you and I are wearing them right now. Everyone's wearing them out and about like they're a known thing as long as they don't look entirely ridiculous and diffe…”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 43:26 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Mar 4, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Siegler: iPhone gives Apple a unique advantage in AI wearables
“Apple has this unique position where they have the iPhone in billions of pockets, and now they're going to have these devices that rely upon that as sort of, at least for the foreseeable future, as basically the, you know, the central processing unit of those …”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 39:36 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Mar 9, 2026 bearish
Insight
Roy: Running AI models locally undermines centralized data center capex narratives
“Small models are gonna run locally on device. And that's actually gonna be how infrastructure gets built out. That throws such a wrench into any of these stories that we've been talking about for the last 30 minutes, like that completely destroys those stories…”
Ranjan Roy Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 22:28 AI Revenue Explodes, Dario’s Memo, McDonalds’ CEO’s Baby Burger Bite
Mar 18, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Sorkin: AI presents Google's best chance to take share from Apple
“I would imagine that this should be the greatest opportunity for Google and Alphabet Effect or Alphabet to truly take share because Gemini, if built the way I think it should be built, should be able to move you around their phone in shocking ways, right? It s…”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 27:48 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Apr 10, 2026 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's plan to power Siri with Gemini and third-party models is right
“They have obviously the deal in place with Google to use Gemini and Gemini is going to underpin You know, the Siri models and now the new reports that they're going to allow other third parties potentially to come in there, including obviously they've already…”
M.G. Siegler Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 42:33 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Apple risks permanently lacking the internal culture needed to compete in AI
“By not sort of competing in that space, while it may make a lot of sense financially, they run the real risk that they just never get the right DNA within the company and the right mentality to really be able to compete in, in AI. And if you believe that it's …”
M.G. Siegler Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 45:46 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Meta lacks a competitive LLM and remains two generations behind in AI
“They don't have a competitive LM. And again, it's the same problem as Apple. They're now, you know, not one, but two generations behind what the cutting edge is.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 52:34 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Anthropic will likely IPO at a $1 trillion valuation
“Anthropic is probably going to go public at a trillion.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 47:47 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Anthropic previews Mythos model to around 50 critical infrastructure organizations
“The company is making a preview model of its new AI model called Mythos, available to about 50 companies and organizations that maintain critical infrastructure, including Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and the Linux Foundation.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Apr 21, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Tim Cook steps down as Apple CEO, John Ternus succeeds him
“Tim Cook has stepped down as the CEO of Apple and John Ternus is going to replace him as of September first.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 0:10 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stern: Apple's Foldable Will Be Expensive and Need Multiple Iterations
“Like, yeah, I think that's going to be a big product, but I think similar to a Vision Pro, it's going to be probably priced out of, you know, the mainstream and take a few iterations to get pretty good.”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 12:38 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 positive
Opinion
Stern: Cook's legacy is the iPhone ecosystem moat and operational execution
“There's like two main things that I think I'd come up with. One, building around the iPhone. Taking that moat and just building so much around it. AirPods, Apple Watch, Just extending that ecosystem to so many things. And then I think the operations and becomi…”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 13:10 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stern: John Ternus's hardware focus will be great for Apple
“Now it kind of flips back. It goes back to someone who's very interested in the hardware, the design, the actual products. Which, you know, can only, I think, be great for Apple as the company that makes the best tech out there.”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 1:56 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Stern: Apple under Tim Cook became an operations company driven by deputies
“Since Cook took over is really an operations company, right? That's how he steered the company post jobs, and he left all of the other hardware and the software stuff to his deputies, right?”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 1:31 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Tim Cook's Defining Legacy Is Successfully Carrying Apple's Narrative
“It's going to be one of his biggest legacies is he kept Apple, whether it was through his showdown with the FBI around privacy The navigating, like, the tough political waters that a company like Apple does. Right. For better or worse, right? Because certainly…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 3:41 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stern: Apple's incremental product strategy succeeded by driving record iPhone sales
“Every couple years sell more iPhones than they've sold in years past. This strategy worked.”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 5:59 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple shifted under Cook into a company that regularly leaks
“The one thing that's been interesting under Cook recently is that Apple's been very leaky. I mean, it went from a company that never leaked to like a company where like you kind of knew what was coming all the time.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 9:07 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Cook failed to build an in-house AI culture at Apple
“Then he will be seen as the person who was so myopically focused on what they did well that he failed to create a culture, because we know the culture is not ready to build AI, failed to create a culture that could do this in house. And I think that's evidence…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 14:25 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 positive
Opinion
Stern: Tim Cook's Apple Silicon Bet Fundamentally Changed Computing
“I don't think enough credit goes to the investment in Silicon and, you know, whatever M chip you have in your laptop right now was a massive shift. I mean, it's like what they're now able to do in laptops and computing because they own that full stack. That's …”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 4:17 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Vision Pro failed and Apple's AI story has been bumpy
“They took a half-hearted swing at the metaverse with Vision Pro that didn't work out and their AI story has obviously been bumpy.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 5:46 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stern: Apple employees immediately report journalist LinkedIn outreach to PR
“As a reporter, I don't know if you've ever had this, but like sometimes I'll reach out, you know, I'll hear, I'll reach out to Apple employees via LinkedIn and immediately I get a phone call from Apple PR because employees really can take it extremely seriousl…”
Joanna Stern Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 9:40 Tim Cook Steps Down. And Who is John Ternus? — With Joanna Stern
Apr 27, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Apple is no longer an exciting company users love
“Apple today and any regular listener will know that as someone fully locked into the Apple ecosystem, it's just not been an exciting company you love any longer. It's a company that you're stuck with, and it's just felt like that for a long time”
Ranjan Roy Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 3:33 Apple After Tim Cook, OpenAI’s New Mojo, Meta’s Internal Tracking Escapade
Apr 27, 2026 negative
Opinion
Roy: Apple Intelligence launch ads were "flat-out lies" about product capabilities
“Those ads were so misleading, just flat out lies about the capabilities that were existing at the time. Took, I mean, Apple, very few companies have ever done any, like, have done something that egregious.”
Ranjan Roy Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 11:37 Apple After Tim Cook, OpenAI’s New Mojo, Meta’s Internal Tracking Escapade
Apr 27, 2026 negative
Insight
Roy: Robots do not need humanoid form factors and should be purpose-built
“I don't understand why robots need a human form factor. I want purpose-built and whatever this tabletop robot is doing on that table, I'm sure it's something very helpful.”
Ranjan Roy Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 16:09 Apple After Tim Cook, OpenAI’s New Mojo, Meta’s Internal Tracking Escapade
Apr 29, 2026 positive
Opinion
Cuban: Apple's plug-and-play model strategy will let it monetize consumer AI
“Apple's got it right in some respect in that everybody with an iPhone, it's going to be plug and play to plug in whichever model you want, and they'll have the ability at some point just to swap those out for their own if they choose or just Like they've done …”
Mark Cuban Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 34:56 Mark Cuban: AI Hype vs. Reality, OpenAI's Wasting $1 Trillion, Lebron vs. Jordan
May 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Apple grew iPhone sales 21 percent to $111 billion without AI
“They, let me just say they had iPhone sales grow 21.7%. They don't have AI on the iPhone. Siri sucks. It's just the counterpoint to what we've been saying. They had quarterly sales of a 101 hundred and eleven billion.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 4, 2026 ▶ 47:53 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
May 5, 2026 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple Made the Right Bet Partnering on Search Over Building Bing
“Apple decided they didn't need to build a search engine, and that's worked out great for them, right? Microsoft famously has spent billions and billions building up Bing, and what have they gotten out of it? I mean, it makes money now, but it's not Google, and…”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 10:58 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Kantrowitz: Apple Will Make Big Acquisitions in John Ternus's First Year
“I think Apple's gonna make some big acquisitions in Ternus' first year for him to set the tone that it's gonna be different, and I think that's good.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2026 ▶ 28:28 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple currently has a terrible AI product
“Right now, we're saying maybe Apple's making the right move but even still, they have a terrible AI product.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2026 ▶ 28:40 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple Could Win AI Era Through iPhone Hardware Advantage
“I do still think that there is a very good chance that Apple ends up a quote unquote winner of the AI movement simply because of the iPhone, because it's the best device out there to run models potentially and to run these applications.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 16:49 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Siegler: Apple will likely increase CapEx spending for AI inference
“I think that it's a reasonable assumption to make that they're going to start spending more on capex too. Even if they're not going to train models, they're not going to train an LLM inference and doing other things that you need to do.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 27:26 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Hardware will matter more as software faces commoditization pressure
“Apple's always been an incredible hardware company, and I think, ah, this is, you know, an era where hardware will matter even more because software is gonna face waves of commoditization pressure.”
Dmitry Shevelenko May 7, 2026 ▶ 2:38 AI Agents: Mirage Or Real Revolution? — With Dmitry Shevelenko
May 7, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Shevelenko: Perplexity has a blossoming partnership with Apple using Mac minis
“We have a great blossoming partnership with Apple. They actually are really excited about what we're doing with personal computer and how it uses Mac minis.”
Dmitry Shevelenko May 7, 2026 ▶ 1:04 AI Agents: Mirage Or Real Revolution? — With Dmitry Shevelenko
May 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Roy: Apple's ChatGPT Siri integration was an embarrassingly bad product experience
“The ChatGPT integration into Siri was one of the single worst product experiences I have ever seen. It was so clunky bad that, like, if a Series A startup put out something like that, I would be ashamed of it.”
Ranjan Roy May 18, 2026 ▶ 29:32 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 27, 2026 negative
Opinion
Costolo: Small AI startups like Granola vastly outperform Apple Siri
“It's surprising how Siri for, Siri or iMessage, for example, have been so impossibly slow to keep pace with what appear to be things that AI startups with 10 or 12 people have been extraordinarily successful at, like text to speech or speech to text. Granola, …”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 35:11 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Jun 8, 2026 negative
Insight
Siegler: Annual keynote release cycles do not work in AI
“In the age of AI, it just seems like these announcements don't roll with that cadence, right? Everyone sort of followed the Apple model of, you know, always doing these big yearly events and having something and holding something back for a little bit to be re…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 4:33 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Siegler: Apple will not show glasses, foldables, or AirPods at WWDC
“They're not going to show off the new glasses. They're not going to show off the fold. The AirPods like are maybe the closest, you know, thing that we have to an AI device. It's likely ready, more ready to roll. I just be shocked if they do that.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 50:25 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple remains safe from AI shortcomings until dedicated AI devices matter
“AI doesn't matter as much to Apple as, you know, the narrative makes it seems like, at least in the short term. We're really gonna have to wait for a AI device to really matter for Apple. To start to say that their failures on AI are gonna really stack up and …”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 21:56 Did Apple (Finally) Get AI Right At WWDC?, Anthropic’s Worry, Microsoft vs. OpenAI
Jun 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple's rigid Jobs-era culture prevents it from trying new AI models
“The culture of Apple is very high on its own supply and they believe that the culture that they've built is responsible for the creation of the iPhone and While it was, that also came from Steve Jobs, and so they've remained this refined jobs idea culture, eve…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 24:39 Did Apple (Finally) Get AI Right At WWDC?, Anthropic’s Worry, Microsoft vs. OpenAI
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Apple will fail to execute its Siri AI vision
“I just hope, I want them to, I don't think they can.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 16:42 Did Apple (Finally) Get AI Right At WWDC?, Anthropic’s Worry, Microsoft vs. OpenAI
Jun 15, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Apple's revamped Siri will clear low consumer expectations bar
“I think it's gonna work. I think that the bar was also so low that they have to just show a little incremental progress, and everyone's gonna be like, wow, they did it, and I think that's absolutely what's gonna happen. They will clear the bar.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 50:29 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta is the biggest loser if Apple's Siri AI succeeds
“And it really is like biggest loser. If this thing works is meta, right? Because their personal super intelligence becomes that much harder for people to access. If they have a working intelligence on their phone, even if it's not super just intelligence”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 51:40 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 22, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Apple AR glasses could succeed by offloading heavy compute to iPhones
“It makes me think Apple still has a good chance in this space because the iPhone can do all of the heavy lifting versus this thing on that is really heavy on your head.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 10:45 Are AI Glasses Over? + Big Technology AI Summit Audience Questions
Jun 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: Apple exclusively marketed the Vision Pro as an isolated, solo device
“Apple never advertised that as a social device. All the marketing was just You're sitting alone at home, and all you're doing is the Vision Pro. Nobody else exists.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 11:56 Are AI Glasses Over? + Big Technology AI Summit Audience Questions
Jun 26, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple reassigned Vision Pro lead Mike Rockwell to fix Siri
“They put the person on Vision Pro on Siri and he fixed it. Wait, Mike Rockwell.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:32:28 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jun 29, 2026 negative
Opinion
Memory Cost Increases Do Not Justify Apple's 20% Device Price Hikes
“The increase in DRAM price does not account for a 20% increase in the entire device price. It's crazy. Like, they're gonna make margin off that.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 46:06 Mythos is Back, OpenAI Releases GPT 5.6, Apple’s Price Increases
Jun 29, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Premium iPhone Prices Increased 65% Over the Past Seven Years
“The price of the premium iPhone model in the last seven years is up 65%. So it went from nine 69”
Ranjan Roy Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 47:42 Mythos is Back, OpenAI Releases GPT 5.6, Apple’s Price Increases
Jun 29, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Micron Achieved 84.9% Gross Margin Compared to Apple's 49.3%
“Micron's gross margin was 84.9% last quarter, and Apple's was 49.3%.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 43:13 Mythos is Back, OpenAI Releases GPT 5.6, Apple’s Price Increases
Jul 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Competitors like Apple, Google, and OpenAI lack complete stacks
“And I think it is the collection of all four of those things that we see as our superpower relative to the competitors, most of whom, whether it's Apple or Anthropic OpenAI or Google, only have one of those things.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 11:40 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 20, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple sent document preservation letters to dozens of OpenAI employees
“So the latest is that Apple has now sent dozens of OpenAI employees legal letters asking them to preserve their documents, and Apple has also said that this, they only found the tip of the iceberg.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 51:20 Kimi K3 & AI’s Price War, What’s Happening To Google?, OpenAI’s Partner Trouble
Jul 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: An OpenAI failure would harm tech industry momentum
“I think it would be bad for them to fail, right? If you think about all the energy in AI, a lot of it has been sparked by open AI, right? Like, Google, Google missed you know, the chat bot moment, and only entered because of You know, ChatGPT, and sort of, you…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 44:47 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Aug 3, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Albergati: Bearish on Apple Because New Siri Fails to Create Ecosystem Lock-In
“I don't think the new Siri is going to be that. So I'm just like not a believer in Apple for that reason.”
Reed Albergotti Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 1:00:44 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 5, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Cahn: Apple could emerge as a genius if AI models commoditize
“Apple is the one, by the way, with the do nothing strategy. Like you gotta look at Apple and say, wow, like there's some chance that Apple just comes out looking like a genius on this. Like if it does commoditize, Apple's not spending money on CapEx.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 53:54 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Apple Will Likely Raise iPhone Prices to Fund Its AI Buildout
“They're probably going to raise prices on iPhone, and it would be much better to do so and increase your margin because of you know, the AI build out then potentially, you know, you just having a hunger for more margins and more money.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 15:09 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Siegler: Apple will raise upcoming iPhone prices by $100 to $200
“My best guess, and I've written about this is sort of, I I'm sort of angling towards the 100 to 200 dollar price raise for all the devices, obviously depending on what the device is and how much RAM and if it's a pro model or whatnot.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 18:20 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Siegler: Apple's Klarna subscription program will expand to Europe and worldwide
“It's us only right now, but given that their partner here is Klarna, which is a European company, you would expect that probably this goes at least to Europe, if not worldwide, you know, eventually sooner rather than later.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 29:15 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Apple's CapEx spending is down year-on-year relative to peers
“Apple is still going down relative, like they're down year on year in CapEx spend relative to their peer group.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 14:10 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Siegler: Apple's upcoming Ultra/foldable iPhone will start at at least $2,000
“It looks like that's going to start at least at 2000 dollars. And so that will be by far the highest starting point of an iPhone yet.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 16:24 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Siegler: Apple will eventually merge hardware subscriptions into Apple One
“It's not baked into apple one right now, but you can see them eventually merging it. And you being like in this whole ecosystem of just paying apple a monthly fee for all of your different services, like. Cloud and the iPhone itself.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 31:57 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Apple's smart home hub push signals confidence in its AI
“You know, to me, that's just a sign of confidence that they have in their artificial intelligence that, like, they're willing to push, make this push again. Obviously, AI is going to be central to any device like this, and Apple must feel good about it.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 36:18 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple foldable will fit pockets better than iPhone Pro Max
“I think the iPhone, I think what Apple will hit on here is I think the slightly more passport like shape in when I'm envisioning it, I think about like right now with the current, I have a pro max, so it's obviously the massive one and it's very tall. It's obv…”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 10:32 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's upgraded Siri will satisfy the masses but not power AI users
“Siri is not gonna blow anyone away who's been day-to-day living with OpenAI and Anthropa and Claude but it's certainly gonna be good enough for the masses, and I think that they're gonna get some new experiences that those are not as versed in AI that they'll …”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 23:02 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple postponed smart home hub and devices because Siri wasn't ready
“Well, and this is one of those devices that's apparently been on hold forever because AI wasn't ready, right? Siri was so bad that they had to postpone the release of this and maybe a few other devices, including new versions of the HomePod and Apple TV.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 36:31 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Cook takes Apple executive chairman role with CEO-level pay
“Even though he's taking the step back out of the CEO role as executive chairman. He's getting paid CEO-level money”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 21:38 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Cook and Ternus comp packages look more like co-CEOs
“That feels more like co-CEOs to me than it does. Like one person's the CEO and the other person's the executive chairman.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 25:12 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Cook will stay very active on Apple campus as chairman
“It does seem like cook will actually be very active. He's getting a new office. He's going to be on campus. It's not like the typical sort of executive chair.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 26:59 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Adapting macOS for touch input is Apple's primary MacBook challenge
“I think the bigger issue is how they do Mac OS to deal with this touch element, because that's been part of the talking point, right? Of like why they weren't going to do a touch screen Mac in the past. It's like, it's just a different beast. There's different…”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 34:34 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Apple is adding seamless cross-device phone number switching to iOS
“They have a new software feature coming in iOS where you can basically transfer your phone number from one device to the next super easily. So you could just say like, I'm using this device now, and it will take your phone number and put it over.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 30:10 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Siegler: Apple will undoubtedly face class action lawsuits over foldable iPhones
“There will be, of course, people who bend it the other way to prove that it could bend, you know, it's not invincible and there'll be all sorts of fun class action lawsuits undoubtedly that, that arise as these new form factors come into play.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 18:32 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Marketing a touchscreen Mac will challenge Apple after years of denials
“I think it'll be a marketing challenge after years and years, but Apple's done that historically, of course, said that they weren't doing something until they come out to do it.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 34:27 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will pitch foldable iPhone for both productivity and media
“I wouldn't be shocked if they play that up, obviously they'll want to still talk about the productivity gains you can get from unfolding and having a bigger screen, but I do think a lot of it, you're exactly right, is going to be, yeah, just like watching YouT…”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 14:15 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple's foldable iPhone will be a huge hit despite high price
“Like, I think that Apple set this up well. I think it's going to be a huge hit for them, even though, as you noted, it's insane. It's going to be insanely expensive.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 3:59 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 positive
Prediction Held up
Siegler: iPhone Pro will retain a better camera system than foldable iPhone
“The pro will continue to have the best camera system. Largely, it seems like simply because of laws of physics, right? And the way that the foldable is gonna be more space constrained you know, by the, by its nature.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 29:06 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: A $2,000 foldable iPhone will sharply raise Apple's ASP
“And so that, of course, what's it going to do? The average selling price. It's going to jack it way up. If this thing is over 2000 dollars now, maybe their margins, you know, again, their margins are obviously impacted by all the components stuff that we just …”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 7:51 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Kantrowitz expects foldable iPhone AppleCare will cost $300 to $400
“It's a 2000 dollar plus phone. I'm sure it'll be 300 dollars maybe 300 dollars for two years or 400 for two years to get the care package on it and then services revenue grow right with it.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 17:14 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 300 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.