| 20T | “20 trillion” | Evans: Having a good e-commerce website is a retail issue | Benedict Evans | Nov 8, 2021 | — |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Evans: Apple remains detached from short-term tech hype and panics | Benedict Evans | Sep 20, 2021 | — |
| 500B | “a four hundred billion” | Evans: Apple's 2021 R&D budget equaled its total revenue at iPhone launch | Benedict Evans | Jul 25, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Evans: Zoom is a feature, not a $200B enterprise platform | Benedict Evans | Sep 19, 2022 | Open |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Evans: Dozens of massive tech companies do not compete with Google or Amazon | Benedict Evans | Feb 18, 2022 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Evans: Zoom is a feature, not a $200B enterprise platform | Benedict Evans | Sep 19, 2022 | Open |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Kevins: Shopify succeeded by unbundling complex workflows from WordPress | Bernadette Kevins | Dec 7, 2020 | — |
| 56B | “a fifty-five billion” | Evans: Amazon generates $55 billion in annual advertising revenue | Benedict Evans | Dec 8, 2024 | Supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Evans: Modern tech company returns occur mostly in private markets pre-IPO | Benedict Evans | Aug 23, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Kevins: Shopify succeeded by unbundling complex workflows from WordPress | Bernadette Kevins | Dec 7, 2020 | — |
| 45B | “forty five billion” | Brown: Roblox is valued at $45B compared to Epic Games at $17B | Toni Cowan-Brown | Aug 26, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Evans: European telcos spent €120B on 3G spectrum in spring 2000 | Benedict Evans | May 16, 2022 | Supported |
| 11.8B | “11.8 billion” | Two modern iPads contain more transistors than every 1984 Mac combined | Benedict Evans | Oct 19, 2020 | Supported |
| 11B | “eleven billion” | Cameron: TikTok Generated Roughly $11 Billion in Ad Revenue in 2022 | Toni Cowan-Brown | Mar 12, 2023 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Evans: Amazon spends ~$10 billion on TV content to retain Prime subscribers | Benedict Evans | Jul 25, 2022 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Evans: Broadened software TAM will spawn multi-billion-dollar companies globally | Benedict Evans | Oct 11, 2020 | — |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Evans: Statista is search spam that Google should remove from its index | Benedict Evans | Jan 30, 2023 | — |
| 6B | “a five billion” | Evans: Twitter's ad product struggles because user data lacks commercial purchase intent | Benedict Evans | Jun 6, 2022 | — |
| 5.3B | “5.3 billion” | Evans: 'Shein Haul' hashtag has 5.3 billion views on TikTok | Benedict Evans | May 26, 2022 | Supported |
| 5B | “a four billion” | Evans: Accenture reached nearly $4B run rate in generative AI work | Benedict Evans | Jul 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Benedict Evans: Vision Pro's absolute upside is iPad scale, not smartphone scale | Benedict Evans | Jun 18, 2023 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Devins: Console gaming base is only 500M versus 5B smartphone users | Benedict Evans | Feb 8, 2024 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Smartphone adoption grew from 100M PCs in 1994 to over 5B users | Benedict Evans | Nov 9, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Broadened software TAM will spawn multi-billion-dollar companies globally | Benedict Evans | Oct 11, 2020 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Content moderation is unscalable without architectural constraints | Benedict Evans | Nov 9, 2020 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Big internet platforms operate as Mechanical Turks powered by human biases | Benedict Evans | Nov 9, 2020 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Evans: Twitter is a failure compared to Meta's multi-billion user apps | Benedict Evans | Jul 21, 2023 | — |
| 2B | “Two billion” | Evans: The EU Issued Apple a €2 Billion Fine Over Spotify | Benedict Evans | Mar 13, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 1.6B | “1.6 billion” | Evans: UK weekly online retail spending stepped up from £1.6B to £1.9B | Benedict Evans | Nov 23, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Evans: Private equity holds $500B in debt from software buyouts | Benedict Evans | Feb 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Evans: Uber has a $500M advertising business | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2023 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Evans: DTC brands lack software margins and network effects at scale | Benedict Evans | Aug 23, 2022 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | 4.5 Billion Adults Globally Now Own a Smartphone | Benedict Evans | Dec 22, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | 1994 PC Base Was 100M vs. 4.5B Smartphones Today | Benedict Evans | Dec 22, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Evans: Apple has sold half a billion iPads | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Evans: Global smartphone users outnumber consumer PCs roughly five to one | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | The bear case for VR is becoming a 150-million-user console subset | Benedict Evans | Oct 19, 2020 | — |
| 1.4B | “1.4 billion” | Evans: Accenture Booked $1.4B From Generative AI Over Past Year | Benedict Evans | Apr 1, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 1.1B | “1.1 billion” | Evans: Accenture Booked $1.4B From Generative AI Over Past Year | Benedict Evans | Apr 1, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: 90% of metaverse hype was dumb, but AR and Web3 matter | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2023 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: Generative AI Infers Patterns Rather Than Storing Training Data | Benedict Evans | Mar 3, 2024 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: New non-software brands will likely yield 3x returns, not 30x | Benedict Evans | Aug 23, 2022 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: Sideloading apps with file access would be a catastrophe for users | Benedict Evans | Sep 20, 2021 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: iOS attack surface dwarfs Mac with one billion active devices | Benedict Evans | Jun 14, 2021 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: One billion people currently own an iPhone | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | Supported |
| 900M | “nine hundred million” | Evans: Amazon cannot provide true recommendation due to massive catalog size | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2026 | — |
| 900M | “nine hundred million” | Evans: China's Market Has 800 to 900 Million Smartphone Users | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | Supported |
| 800M | “eight hundred million” | Evans: Global smartphone users outnumber consumer PCs roughly five to one | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | Supported |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | Evans: Uber Reaches a $500M Advertising Revenue Run Rate | Benedict Evans | Mar 12, 2023 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Devins: Console gaming base is only 500M versus 5B smartphone users | Benedict Evans | Feb 8, 2024 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Evans: iOS attack surface dwarfs Mac with one billion active devices | Benedict Evans | Jun 14, 2021 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Evans: India has 500M smartphone users but only 100-150M active spenders | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | — |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Evans: Hardcore gaming is limited to 300-400 million players globally | Benedict Evans | Dec 11, 2022 | — |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Evans: More people use Snapchat than own a gaming console | Benedict Evans | Oct 18, 2021 | Contradicted |
| 250M | “two hundred fifty million” | Evans: Twitter is a failure compared to Meta's multi-billion user apps | Benedict Evans | Jul 21, 2023 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Evans: Gaming consoles capped at around 200 million active devices globally | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Devins: Console gaming base is only 500M versus 5B smartphone users | Benedict Evans | Feb 8, 2024 | Supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Evans: Gaming Console Install Base Is Only 175M to 200M Units | Benedict Evans | Oct 31, 2022 | Supported |
| 111M | “a 110 Million” | Catton-Brown: New US F1 rights deal will likely close at $100M–$110M | Toni Cowan-Brown | Aug 21, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: High inference costs prevent free 100-million-user consumer AI apps | Benedict Evans | Jul 1, 2024 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Devins: Bull case for Apple Vision headsets is 200 million users | Benedict Evans | Feb 8, 2024 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: iOS attack surface dwarfs Mac with one billion active devices | Benedict Evans | Jun 14, 2021 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: In 1994, only 25 million consumer PCs existed globally | Benedict Evans | Jan 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | 1994 PC Base Was 100M vs. 4.5B Smartphones Today | Benedict Evans | Dec 22, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: Approximately 100 million people own an Apple Watch | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: Only 50 to 100 million global workers need heavy PC software | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2020 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: Smartphone adoption grew from 100M PCs in 1994 to over 5B users | Benedict Evans | Nov 9, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Evans: Only 100 million PCs existed globally when Netscape launched | Benedict Evans | Nov 2, 2020 | Supported |
| 95M | “ninety-five million” | Catton-Brown: ESPN pays $85M–$95M annually for US F1 rights through 2025 | Toni Cowan-Brown | Aug 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 79M | “seventy-nine million” | White: Future generated £79M from affiliate revenue in 2020 | Jeremy White | Jun 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 75M | “seventy-five million” | Evans: Gaming Console Install Base Is Only 175M to 200M Units | Benedict Evans | Oct 31, 2022 | Supported |
| 52M | “two fifty million” | Catering to power users kept Twitter capped at 250 million users | Benedict Evans | Jul 21, 2023 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: Threads reached 150 million signups within two weeks | Benedict Evans | Jul 21, 2023 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: Apple will sell 200,000 Vision Pro units in 2024 | Benedict Evans | Jun 5, 2023 | Held up |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: Amazon has 350M to 450M SKUs, many made-to-order | Benedict Evans | Mar 12, 2023 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Sequoia Invested $150M in FTX Without a Board Seat | Benedict Evans | Nov 18, 2022 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: Content model, not software, gave Netflix scale over Hulu | Benedict Evans | Sep 5, 2022 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: More people use Snapchat than own a gaming console | Benedict Evans | Oct 18, 2021 | Contradicted |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Evans: India has 500M smartphone users but only 100-150M active spenders | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | The bear case for VR is becoming a 150-million-user console subset | Benedict Evans | Oct 19, 2020 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | No company besides Apple has sold 250 million $600 machined steel devices | Benedict Evans | Oct 19, 2020 | Supported |
| 40M | “forty million” | Evans: Only 20M to 40M consumer PCs existed before mid-90s internet boom | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2023 | Supported |
| 38M | “thirty eight million” | Evans: Twitter has 217M DAUs and $5B revenue, trailing Snap | Benedict Evans | Apr 18, 2022 | Supported |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Evans: In 1994, only 25 million consumer PCs existed globally | Benedict Evans | Jan 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Evans: Meituan and Ele.me daily orders dwarf Western delivery apps | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Benedict Evans: Meta Quest has only single-digit millions of regular users | Benedict Evans | Jun 18, 2023 | Supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Evans: 20M VR headsets sold, only 5M-10M active users | Benedict Evans | Dec 11, 2022 | Supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Brown: Travis Scott made $20M from his Fortnite concert | Toni Cowan-Brown | Aug 26, 2021 | Supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Evans: Meta has sold roughly 15 million VR headsets | Benedict Evans | Aug 1, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Evans: Meituan and Ele.me daily orders dwarf Western delivery apps | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Evans: 20M VR headsets sold, only 5M-10M active users | Benedict Evans | Dec 11, 2022 | Supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Evans: Meta has sold roughly 15 million VR headsets | Benedict Evans | Aug 1, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | White: Future generated £79M from affiliate revenue in 2020 | Jeremy White | Jun 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 9M | “nine million” | White: Future generated £79M from affiliate revenue in 2020 | Jeremy White | Jun 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 6M | “a five million” | Evans: New non-software brands will likely yield 3x returns, not 30x | Benedict Evans | Aug 23, 2022 | — |
| 5M | “five million” | Evans: Meta's 13 million VR headsets yield only 5 million active users | Benedict Evans | Feb 18, 2022 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Evans: Apple CSAM backlash shows lack of coherent societal privacy consensus | Benedict Evans | Jun 6, 2022 | — |
| 3M | “three million” | White: Future generated £79M from affiliate revenue in 2020 | Jeremy White | Jun 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 1.7M | “1.7 million” | Cowan-Brown: Shopify powers approximately 1.7M storefronts | Toni Cowan-Brown | Feb 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Benedict Evans: Vision Pro mirrors the 1984 Mac's uncertain utility and price | Benedict Evans | Jun 18, 2023 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Evans: Yahoo abandoned its directory around 3.5 million websites | Benedict Evans | May 26, 2022 | Supported |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | White: Future generated £79M from affiliate revenue in 2020 | Jeremy White | Jun 21, 2021 | Supported |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Evans: Vodafone processes 2.5 million paper invoices annually | Benedict Evans | Feb 21, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Evans: Meituan and Ele.me daily orders dwarf Western delivery apps | Benedict Evans | Jan 17, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Evans sends 500,000 monthly emails to his 150,000 newsletter subscribers | Benedict Evans | Jan 3, 2021 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Vodafone Still Processes 2.5 Million Paper Invoices Per Year | Benedict Evans | Dec 22, 2020 | Contradicted |
| 1M | “a 1002 thousand” | Goldberg: True vehicle autonomy requires $1,000 to $2,000 leading-edge chip systems | Jay Goldberg | Dec 19, 2022 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Evans: Waymo is delivering close to 1 million rides per day | Benedict Evans | Nov 16, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1M | “a million” | Brown: Generative AI Cuts Movie Trailer Production to Weeks | Toni Cowan-Brown | Apr 1, 2024 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Evans: Machine Learning Turns Logic Problems Into Statistics Problems | Benedict Evans | Dec 5, 2022 | — |
| 1.5K | “a half thousand” | Evans: 3,000 to 3,500 tech companies are founded in the US each year | Benedict Evans | Dec 11, 2022 | Supported |
| 1.5K | “a half thousand” | Evans: The idea that Big Tech buys up all startups is nonsense | Benedict Evans | Aug 1, 2022 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Twitter needed an 80% to 90% staff reduction and cultural reset | Benedict Evans | Jul 21, 2023 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Evans: Generative AI scaled instantly by inheriting mature cloud infrastructure | Benedict Evans | Apr 16, 2023 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Evans: Facebook's targeted advertising does not sell user data to advertisers | Benedict Evans | Jan 10, 2021 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Evans: Average Facebook users are eligible to see 1,000 items daily | Benedict Evans | Jan 3, 2021 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Evans: Mille Miglia was banned after crash killed nine village spectators | Benedict Evans | Nov 29, 2020 | Supported |
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