| 75% | “75%” | Lonsdale: 75% of homeless have mental health and drug conditions | Joe Lonsdale | Mar 24, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Glock: Roughly 40% of subsidized housing spending goes to soft costs | Judge Glock | Mar 24, 2022 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Glock: 70% to 80% of Americans oppose unconditional free housing without sobriety mandates | Judge Glock | Mar 24, 2022 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Glock: Housing First's 80% retention rate is a miserable policy failure | Judge Glock | Mar 24, 2022 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Glock: Housing First's 80% retention rate is a miserable policy failure | Judge Glock | Mar 24, 2022 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Meyer: State polling shows over 70% support reforming failed homelessness policies | Jared Meyer | Mar 10, 2022 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lonsdale: Texas vocational school salaries grew over 100% via performance funding | Joe Lonsdale | Mar 10, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 37% | “37%” | Meyer: Republican negative perception of universities rose from 37% to 73% | Jared Meyer | Mar 10, 2022 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 73% | “73%” | Meyer: Republican negative perception of universities rose from 37% to 73% | Jared Meyer | Mar 10, 2022 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 40% | “40%” | Barnard: SolarCity grew to 17,000 employees and 40% US market share | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Barnard: 40% of US Carbon Emissions Come From Homes | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Barnard: Residential Battery Attachment Rate Jumped to 25% | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Barnard: Residential Battery Attachment Rate Jumped to 25% | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Barnard: US Roofing Is a $50B Market Versus $12B for Residential Solar | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Supported |
| 13B | “a twelve billion” | Barnard: US Roofing Is a $50B Market Versus $12B for Residential Solar | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Barnard: Residential Solar Market Is Growing at 25% Annually | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Barnard: HVAC Accounts for 50% of Residential Energy Load | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Supported |
| 3B | “Three billion” | Barnard: Three billion people worldwide lack access to electricity | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Barnard: Only 3% of US homes have residential solar installed | Hayes Barnard | Feb 23, 2022 | Supported |
| 21M | “twenty-one million” | Lonsdale: Charles Koch's empire required his father's $21 million starting revenue | Joe Lonsdale | Feb 16, 2022 | — |
| 10,000× | “10,000 times” | Lonsdale: Charles Koch's empire required his father's $21 million starting revenue | Joe Lonsdale | Feb 16, 2022 | — |
| $15M | “fifteen million dollars” | Lonsdale: Training frontier AI models costs $14 million to $15 million | Joe Lonsdale | Feb 16, 2022 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 x” | Cowen: Fast Grants funded Yale's COVID test after its bureaucracy failed | Tyler Cowen | Feb 16, 2022 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Cowen: Antidepressant Fluvoxamine Reduces COVID Hospitalizations by 30% | Tyler Cowen | Feb 16, 2022 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Cowen: Emergent Ventures operates at two percent overhead without losing money | Tyler Cowen | Feb 16, 2022 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Craft: USMCA mandates 40-45% auto content made by workers earning $16+/hr | Ambassador Kelly Craft | Feb 3, 2022 | Supported |
| 45% | “45%” | Craft: USMCA mandates 40-45% auto content made by workers earning $16+/hr | Ambassador Kelly Craft | Feb 3, 2022 | Supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Koch Industries invested over $30 billion in tech in six years | Charles Koch | Jan 26, 2022 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Sprowls: Florida School Choice Bill Added 1.5M Eligible Students | Chris Sprowls | Jan 20, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 14% | “14%” | Sprowls: Only 14% of Florida State Prison Inmates Are There for Drugs | Chris Sprowls | Jan 20, 2022 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Sprowls Opposes Repealing Florida's 85% Truth-in-Sentencing Law | Chris Sprowls | Jan 20, 2022 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Sprowls Opposes Repealing Florida's 85% Truth-in-Sentencing Law | Chris Sprowls | Jan 20, 2022 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Sprowls: Florida passed a $1B resiliency bill for coastal infrastructure | Chris Sprowls | Jan 20, 2022 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Khanna: There Will Be 25 Million Digital Jobs by 2025 | Rep. Ro Khanna | Jan 14, 2022 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Khanna: Fleeing Silicon Valley over a wealth tax is a dumb bet | Rep. Ro Khanna | Jan 14, 2022 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Rep. Khanna: Broad school choice will further deteriorate public schools | Rep. Ro Khanna | Jan 14, 2022 | — |
| $11T | “11 trillion dollars” | Khanna: Silicon Valley's market cap rose 40% to $11T in two years | Rep. Ro Khanna | Jan 14, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Khanna: Silicon Valley's market cap rose 40% to $11T in two years | Rep. Ro Khanna | Jan 14, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Momand: US state regulations total hundreds of thousands, federal exceeds one million | Maleka Momand | Dec 22, 2021 | Supported |
| 8% | “8%” | Momand: Mercatus Center estimated regulations slow annual economic growth by 0.8% | Maleka Momand | Dec 22, 2021 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Marr: Epirus achieves 90% to 95% power efficiency improvements | Bo Marmon | Dec 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 95% | “95%” | Marr: Epirus achieves 90% to 95% power efficiency improvements | Bo Marmon | Dec 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 90% | “90%” | Lubetzky: Over 90% of Americans Believe Things Can Change for the Better | Daniel Lubetzky | Dec 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 5M | “five million” | Hillenmeyer: Only 0.1% of estimated fungal species have been sequenced | Maureen Hillenmeyer | Sep 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Hillenmeyer: Lipitor originated from fungal compounds | Maureen Hillenmeyer | Sep 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “1%” | Hillenmeyer: 99.9% of wild fungi cannot be cultured in laboratories | Maureen Hillenmeyer | Sep 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Hillenmeyer: 99.9% of wild fungi cannot be cultured in laboratories | Maureen Hillenmeyer | Sep 24, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Hillenmeyer: Hexagon Bio Has Raised Over $50 Million | Maureen Hillenmeyer | Sep 24, 2021 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Mackey: Whole Foods sold 34% of the company for $4.5M | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | — |
| 34% | “34%” | Mackey: Whole Foods sold 34% of the company for $4.5M | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Mackey: Over 70% of American Adults Are Overweight and 42.5% Obese | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Mackey: Over 70% of American Adults Are Overweight and 42.5% Obese | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Mackey: 80% of US Healthcare Spending Goes to Lifestyle-Related Chronic Diseases | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Mackey: Bulk Foods Dropped to Under 1% of Whole Foods Sales | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 30% | “30%” | Mackey: Bulk Foods Dropped to Under 1% of Whole Foods Sales | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 10% | “10%” | Mackey: Bulk Foods Dropped to Under 1% of Whole Foods Sales | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1% | “one percent” | Mackey: Bulk Foods Dropped to Under 1% of Whole Foods Sales | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 41× | “41 times” | Mackey: Socialism has failed in all 41 attempts over 100 years | John Mackey | Sep 15, 2021 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Kloberdanz: OneHope will sell over 2.5 million wine bottles this year | Jake Kloberdanz | Sep 9, 2021 | Didn’t hold up |
| 99% | “99%” | Kloberdanz: Over 10,000 people sell ONEHOPE Wine, 99% women | Jake Kloberdanz | Sep 9, 2021 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Kloberdanz: Grapes represent only 10% to 15% of wine production costs | Jake Kloberdanz | Sep 9, 2021 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | ONEHOPE Wine operates asset-light, owning only about 1% of its vineyards | Jake Kloberdanz | Sep 9, 2021 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Churi: 2.5B People Globally Lack Access to Eye Exams | Sal Churi | Sep 3, 2021 | Supported |
| 24% | “24%” | Churi: 2.5B People Globally Lack Access to Eye Exams | Sal Churi | Sep 3, 2021 | Supported |
| 11% | “11%” | Findley: DeFi protocols offer 9% to 11% yields on Ethereum lending | Keri Findley | Sep 3, 2021 | Contradicted |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Fenty: MaC Venture Capital closed oversubscribed inaugural fund at $110M | Adrian Fenty | Aug 24, 2021 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 950M | “nine hundred fifty million” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 x” | Balaji Srinivasan: India's internet adoption grew tenfold to over 50% in a decade | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | Supported |
| 51% | “51%” | Balaji: Society must transition from 51% democracy to 100% consent | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Balaji: Society must transition from 51% democracy to 100% consent | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Balaji: Edge-case harm is exaggerated to control 99% of users | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 11, 2021 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Balaji Srinivasan: Decentralized versions of services are worth 10x centralized versions | Balaji Sr i n i v a s a n | Aug 11, 2021 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Balaji Srinivasan: Bitcoin will be 10x PayPal and may be 10x gold | Balaji Sr i n i v a s a n | Aug 11, 2021 | Held up |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Lonsdale: Stripe could reach a $1 trillion valuation | Joe Lonsdale | Aug 11, 2021 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Lonsdale: US Out-of-Wedlock Births Exceed 30% for Whites and 70% for Blacks | Joe Lonsdale | Aug 3, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Lonsdale: US Out-of-Wedlock Births Exceed 30% for Whites and 70% for Blacks | Joe Lonsdale | Aug 3, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Lonsdale: US Out-of-Wedlock Births Exceed 30% for Whites and 70% for Blacks | Joe Lonsdale | Aug 3, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Lonsdale: US Out-of-Wedlock Births Exceed 30% for Whites and 70% for Blacks | Joe Lonsdale | Aug 3, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Harper: Canada's 2020 deficit exceeded his entire final federal budget | Stephen Harper | Jul 27, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Jaswa: Privacy and security problems will grow 100x in a decade | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Jaswa: Privacy and security problems will grow 100x in a decade | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Jaswa: 95% of California private schools opened while public schools remained closed | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | Contradicted |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Lonsdale: US Subsidizes Higher Education Cartel With $110B in Title IV Funding | Joe Lonsdale | Jul 22, 2021 | Supported |
| $4M | “4005 thousand dollars” | Jaswa: Zoom Maintained a 10x Engineer Cost Advantage via Beijing Office | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Jaswa: Zoom Maintained a 10x Engineer Cost Advantage via Beijing Office | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Jaswa: 95% single-party university faculty harms broad critical thinking | Sujay Jaswa | Jul 22, 2021 | — |
| $20T | “20 trillion dollars” | Brooks: US poverty rate stayed at 10-15% despite $20T spent | Arthur Brooks | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Brooks: US poverty rate stayed at 10-15% despite $20T spent | Arthur Brooks | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Lonsdale: Pell Grants tripled to $30B with no outcome improvements | Joe Lonsdale | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Lonsdale: Pell Grants tripled to $30B with no outcome improvements | Joe Lonsdale | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 61% | “61%” | Lonsdale: Texas technical school salaries rose 61% under performance pay | Joe Lonsdale | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Brooks: 50% of Individual Happiness Is Determined by Genetics | Arthur Brooks | Jul 13, 2021 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Kimbal Musk: Founders should choose VCs based on partners, not firms | Kimbal Musk | Jun 29, 2021 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Kimbal Musk: Zip2 sold to Compaq for $300M in pure cash | Kimbal Musk | Jun 29, 2021 | Supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Kimbal Musk predicts Tesla Austin factory will produce cars by late 2021 | Kimbal Musk | Jun 29, 2021 | Partly held up |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Kimbal Musk predicts SpaceX will achieve 100% rocket landing success soon | Kimbal Musk | Jun 29, 2021 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Klausner: GRAIL required $1.5B+ in private capital over four years | Dr. Rick Klausner | Jun 29, 2021 | Supported |
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