Federal Reserve

7 statements across 3 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement May 11, 2023 by Balaji Srinivasan · said 31 times in 7 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Whitney Baker (8), Jacob "Jake" Miller (7), Balaji Srinivasan (7), Brad Gerstner (6), Joe Lonsdale (2), Iyinoluwa Aboyeji (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Federal Reserve, oldest first

May 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Balaji: Widespread bank failures are the central bank's fault, not the banks'
“When it's all the banks that are dying, that's a central bank problem. Right. It's like all your passengers are being thrown around and turned into paste on the walls of the plane. That's the pilot's fault. That's not the passenger's fault for not fasting thei…”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 10:06 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
May 11, 2023 bearish
Insight
Balaji: Banks cannot hedge when the Fed hikes rates to 5% in a year
“You can hedge if it's like a one percent, you know, if you expect a one percent interest rate and it turns out to be 1.2% or something like that. Fine. You can hedge that. That's when the normal envelope, if you are told and everybody's told that it's going to…”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 9:26 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
May 11, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Stanford and Fed studies reveal $2.2T in unrealized bank losses
“722 banks have these problems. Amit Saru at Stanford has a study saying It's 2.2 trillion dollars in losses.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 12:49 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
May 11, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivasan: US financial regulators are simultaneously attacking crypto
“The Fed is denying licenses to crypto banks and Treasuries making negative statements about crypto and then SCC is attacking and all these CFTC is attacking, all these guys are attacking at the same time.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 32:19 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
May 11, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Balaji: 2023 bank runs were caused by Fed policies, not social media
“The bank runs started before anybody tweeted, right? And the reason that they happened is because the Fed fundamentally undermined these portfolios.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 38:43 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
Oct 25, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gerstner: 10-year yields are peaking and rate cuts are coming in 2024
“We're nearing the top of tenure, if not at the top. We're gonna see rate cuts next year, and importantly, we're at the beginning of what may be the most important super cycle, accelerant, to our economy in a long time.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 34:26 Ep 67: Brad Gerstner on the AI Supercycle & Restoring Faith in Capitalism · Joe Lonsdale
Nov 2, 2023 bearish
Disclosure
Lonsdale abandoned an East Austin development because cash yields six percent
“I was gonna build a bunch of buildings near East Austin, where I was gonna try to make an investment there, and the paper return, we mapped it out, was about 3.8% yield. Money sitting in the bank makes six percent yield. This is what the Fed's doing. They're s…”
Joe Lonsdale Nov 2, 2023 ▶ 7:01 Ep 68: Are High Interest Rates & Inflation Here to Stay? How to Generate Alpha with Jacob Miller · Joe Lonsdale
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