Altimeter Capital founder Brad Gerstner shares his economic outlook with Joe Lonsdale in October 2023.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: ByteDance expects 90% content moderator reduction via AI in next year
“They suspect that they'll see a 90% reduction in content moderators over the course of the next year because that work can be more efficiently and better done by AI.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Next five years will be the most disruptive labor moment in modern capitalism
“I think this is gonna be the most, ah, disruptive moment in labor markets in the history of modern capitalism. Over the course of the next five years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Twitter cut headcount 80% while boosting product releases 70%
“Elon, with the work that he's done at Twitter, right, they reduced headcount by 70, 80%. And the product release cycle is probably gone up by at least 70%, right? It's incredible what they have in the pipeline there, and the fact that they're doing this with, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: AI will be bigger and more important than internet, mobile, and cloud
“I think AI, or I like to talk about augmented intelligence, will be more important to humanity. Then the first three super cycles I've lived through, which are internet, mobile, and cloud. I think it'll be bigger, and so I don't buy that thesis.”
Prediction Held up
Gerstner: More compute will be deployed in 2024 than all previous history
“We're gonna deploy more compute in twenty-twenty-four than in all previous years combined.”
Opinion
Gerstner: Microsoft Copilot is the fastest-growing product in company history
“Co-pilot, which has 30,000 beta customers at Microsoft, I think is the fastest growing product in the history of Microsoft.”