The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
John Cohen: SurveyMonkey eliminated 1.5 points of polling error by separating post-grads
“We broke apart post grads and grads into two distinct categories, and that released kind of about a point and a half of unforced error
in our polling for 2016.”
John Cohen: Trump will lose the popular vote in 2020
“He is going to lose the popular vote. There's still far more Americans and American voters who voted today and, you know, kind of over the past several weeks who would prefer Joe Biden to be president.”
John Cohen: Trump maintains a durable 44% to 46% approval floor
“We've had a 44 to 46% approving of his job performance for many years now. Like, he has a completely durable, solid floor.”