Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 100% certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

John Cohen: Trump will lose the popular vote in 2020

John Cohen · E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more! · Nov 4, 2020 · at 29:15

John Cohen, Chief Research Officer at SurveyMonkey, discusses 2020 U.S. presidential election vote tallies on All-In.

0:00 / 0:10exact quote · 10.6s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“He is going to lose the popular vote. There's still far more Americans and American voters who voted today and, you know, kind of over the past several weeks who would prefer Joe Biden to be president.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from John Cohen

Disclosure
John Cohen: SurveyMonkey eliminated 1.5 points of polling error by separating post-grads
“We broke apart post grads and grads into two distinct categories, and that released kind of about a point and a half of unforced error in our polling for 2016.”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 27:27 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Contradicted
John Cohen: Trump maintains a durable 44% to 46% approval floor
“We've had a 44 to 46% approving of his job performance for many years now. Like, he has a completely durable, solid floor.”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 29:51 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Supported
John Cohen: Trump performs better among Black and Hispanic men than women
“Trump does much better among Black men and Hispanic men than he does among Black women and Latinas”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 34:20 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Supported
Cohen: Trump supporters overwhelmingly view COVID-19 as an economic crisis
“More people on average say it's a health issue than an economic one. Trump with Trump supporters overwhelmingly say the crisis is one that's financial, not health related.”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 39:31 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 460 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.