The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Vance predicts US will see net negative immigration in 2025
“I think in 2025, we will have the first net negative immigration number in about 50 or 60 years in the United States”
JD Vance Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 2:46 Winning the AI Race Part 2: Vice President JD Vance
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vance: Massively reducing regulation could add 1.5 to 3 points to US GDP growth
“I don't know that it's, I don't know how easy it is to get another 300 bips of growth, but I think you could get a lot more growth, whether it's 300 or one 50, just by massively reducing the amount of regulatory burden in the real economy.”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 40:12 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vance: AI will drive a food revolution yielding more food on less land
“I think it's going to lead to a new food revolution where we can grow a lot more food. On a lot less land.”
JD Vance Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 8:51 Winning the AI Race Part 2: Vice President JD Vance
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