The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Vance: Media fabricated claim that Trump called white supremacists fine people
“Donald Trump never called white supremacists very fine people after Charlottesville, a total fabrication of the American media”
Vance predicts US will see net negative immigration in 2025
“I think in 2025, we will have the first net negative immigration number in about 50 or 60 years in the United States”
Vance: Joint Chiefs disobeyed Trump on Syria troop redeployments
“The Joint Chiefs of Staff Didn't obey the president of the United States on troop redeployments in Syria, which actually happened during Trump's administration.”
Vance: Biden and Harris opened southern border via executive orders
“One of the ways that, that that Biden and Harris opened up the American Southern border was through executive orders, right? It was an executive order that submitted deportations, an executive order that ended the remain in Mexico policy.”
Vance claims there are 25 million illegal immigrants in the US
“Because you have twenty-five million illegal aliens in this country, and you like, you can't fix what I would call the minor or sort of less important immigration question until you fix the real problem.”
JD Vance: US employment rate for college-educated STEM graduates is declining
“The college-educated employment rate for STEM graduates in this country seems to be declining.”
Vance: Worker wage growth outpaced corporate profits and government under Trump
“For pretty much my entire life, the wages of workers were stagnant, corporate profits were going up, and the size of government was going up. And there was a four-year period where the wages of workers outpaced the size of government and corporate profits. It'…”
Vance: Wealth distribution flipped from 80% Republican to 70% Democratic counties
“You go back even 30 years ago, and approximately 80% of the counties That represented, sorry, 80% of the wealth in American counties went in places that voted Republican, and about 20% of the wealth went to places that voted Democrat. Now it's 70% of the wealt…”
Vance: Wall Street shifted from 3-to-1 Republican to 9-to-1 Democrat
“I believe that in 2012, Wall Street, which I think Wall Street fundamentally has been the main beneficiary of globalization, of a lot of the policies that I pushed back against and criticized over the last 30 years, Wall Street went three to one for Romney ove…”
Vance: Massively reducing regulation could add 1.5 to 3 points to US GDP growth
“I don't know that it's, I don't know how easy it is to get another 300 bips of growth, but I think you could get a lot more growth, whether it's 300 or one 50, just by massively reducing the amount of regulatory burden in the real economy.”
Vance: US labor productivity is flatlining, challenging AI job-loss fears
“If the robots were coming to take all of our jobs, you would see labor productivity skyrocketing in this country, but you actually see labor productivity flatlining.”
Vance: US innovation is concentrated in software while regulated sectors stagnate
“If you look at the real innovation of the American economy, it's been in the world of software. If you look at where the economy has been most stagnant, it's been in basically the heavily regulated parts of the economy”
Vance: Zillow data shows US housing costs rose 0.8% over past year
“I think according to Zillow, over the past 12 months, housing costs have gone up .8%.”