The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips predicts Biden is the only Democrat who will lose to Trump
“And I have to say, I think it's fair to say too he's probably the only Democrat who could and will lose to Donald Trump in 2024.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:25 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: US national health insurance program would not require tax increase
“The money's in the system. Would not require a tax increase. I think we could actually save substantial money.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:05:16 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Partly held up
Phillips: Biden will likely match Trump's $7 trillion deficit addition
“That's why Trump added seven trillion dollars to the deficit. And that's why Biden will probably end, you know, add about that much as well.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 58:07 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Campaign needs $5 million just to get on primary ballots
“And we would need it, we would need a, well, we're going to have to raise probably six, maybe, I'm sorry, maybe, maybe, maybe less than that, maybe five million dollars. We have a staff of three people right now, and legal counsel, just to get my name on a pri…”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 27:08 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Marianne Williamson will fail to get on state primary ballots
“Marianne Williamson? You know, she, she's not gonna be able to.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 27:25 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: China faces an economic bubble that will dwarf US bubbles
“China, you all know, has significant, they have a bubble they're facing that will make ours in look like a gumball by comparison. And that is coming down the pipe.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 41:03 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Held up
Phillips: Social Security faces ~25% benefit cuts by 2033
“Social Security, the trust fund, will face probably reductions in 25, about 25% cut levels by twenty-thirty-three, based on the current path.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:00:49 In conversation with Dean Phillips
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