why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips predicts Biden is the only Democrat who will lose to Trump
“And I have to say, I think it's fair to say too he's probably the only Democrat who could and will lose to Donald Trump in 2024.”
Assertion Supported
Phillips: 75% of Americans agree Biden cannot continue leading the country
“But do I think that he will be in a position to continue leading this country in the future? I do not. I think I'm joined by about 75% of the country, in saying that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips: Most in Congress expected Biden not to run in 2024
“Most members of Congress thought he was going to stand down. That's why Newsom and Pritzker and Whitmer and so many others were kind of making their plans.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: US national health insurance program would not require tax increase
“The money's in the system. Would not require a tax increase. I think we could actually save substantial money.”
Assertion Contradicted
Phillips: Getting on primary ballots in New York or Virginia costs $500k
“New York, Virginia 450 to 500,000 dollars to pay consulting firms, to pay people 25, 26 dollars per signature to just sit outside and just say, hey, can we get your signature to get this guy on a ballot?”
Prediction Partly held up
Phillips: Biden will likely match Trump's $7 trillion deficit addition
“That's why Trump added seven trillion dollars to the deficit. And that's why Biden will probably end, you know, add about that much as well.”
Assertion Supported
Phillips: 73% of New Hampshire Democratic voters oppose Biden nomination
“And by the way, Joe Biden, 27%. 73% of New Hampshire Democratic voters do not want the sitting President of the United States as their nominee.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips claims US lawmakers spend 10,000 hours weekly on fundraising
“10,000 hours per week is what senators and House members spend raising money.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Campaign needs $5 million just to get on primary ballots
“And we would need it, we would need a, well, we're going to have to raise probably six, maybe, I'm sorry, maybe, maybe, maybe less than that, maybe five million dollars. We have a staff of three people right now, and legal counsel, just to get my name on a pri…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Marianne Williamson will fail to get on state primary ballots
“Marianne Williamson? You know, she, she's not gonna be able to.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: China faces an economic bubble that will dwarf US bubbles
“China, you all know, has significant, they have a bubble they're facing that will make ours in look like a gumball by comparison. And that is coming down the pipe.”
Prediction Held up
Phillips: Social Security faces ~25% benefit cuts by 2033
“Social Security, the trust fund, will face probably reductions in 25, about 25% cut levels by twenty-thirty-three, based on the current path.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips estimates only five members of Congress can read a financial statement
“There's not a, there may be five people that can read a P&L or a balance sheet in the whole damn Congress.”
Assertion Supported
Dean Phillips: US operates 750 bases across 80 countries worldwide
“We have 750 bases and installations around the world in 80 countries.”
Assertion Partly supported
Phillips: 25% of Americans are covered by single-payer healthcare systems
“Between Medicare and the VA, which are single-payer systems, 25% of Americans right now are covered by a single-payer system”
Assertion Partly supported
Phillips: US pays teachers about 81% of per capita GDP
“The United States of America right now, we pay about 81% Of the per capita GDP to teachers for compensation.”
Assertion Supported
Phillips: Polling at 15% in New Hampshire two weeks after launch
“I, by the way, I'm at 15% in New Hampshire after just two weeks.”
Assertion Partly supported
Phillips: Rep. Don Beyer went back to college for an AI degree
“Don Beyer is a former US ambassador, Democrat from Virginia. He must be 70. He went back to college, I think Johns Hopkins, and just received or is pursuing his degree in artificial intelligence.”
Assertion Supported
Phillips: Minnesota's 3rd District had not elected a Democrat since 1958
“The district had not been won by a Democrat since the 1958 election.”