The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Wisk CEO: Joby and Archer will launch commercial operations before Wisk
“Joe Ben and Adam are going to be operating before us, there's no doubt, because piloted aircraft are coming before these uncrewed aircraft.”
Brian Yutko Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 16:49 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wisk CEO: Large commercial aircraft will remain human-piloted for foreseeable future
“Large aircraft are going to be piloted for probably as far as the eye can see.”
Brian Yutko Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 18:19 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Assertion Supported
Wisk Aero flew the first electric VTOL aircraft in Los Angeles in 2023
“Here in Los Angeles last year, we flew the first electric VTOL aircraft in the Los Angeles area, and we showed what's possible with these aircraft and how people can engage with them.”
Brian Yutko Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 6:45 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
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