why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Goldstein: Commercial eVTOL launches will begin internationally before the US
“I think it's, to me, super clear this does not start in the U.S. I really think it starts internationally.”
Prediction Held up
Goldstein: Archer's Georgia manufacturing facility will open later in 2024
“Our high-volume manufacturing facility in Georgia will open up later this year”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Archer Aviation will launch international passenger flights in 2025
“I think pretty clearly there's a route to do this internationally next year. And so I think we'll launch with passengers next year.”
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: A Trump executive order is fast-tracking the eVTOL regulatory framework
“President Trump issued an executive order that was fast tracking the program through the regulators and really starting to create a platform for us to launch.”
Assertion Supported
Archer Aviation spent around $170M on Hawthorne Airport acquisition
“It's around one hundred and seventy million dollars for everything, including the FBO and all the real estate around it.”
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: Archer Aviation has raised around $4 billion
“So we've raised around four billion dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: Stellantis has invested nearly $300M in Archer Aviation
“Stellantis, the owner of Jeep, Ram, and Maserati, has invested nearly three hundred million dollars to date.”
Assertion Supported
United Airlines ordered up to $1.5B of Archer Midnight aircraft
“United Airlines has ordered up to one and a half billion dollars of midnight aircraft”
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: China has already certified two eVTOL companies
“There's two groups that are already certified there.”
Assertion Supported
Former FAA chief joined Archer; current chief came from an eVTOL startup
“Former FAA administrator Billy Nolan stepped down from his role, joined Archer. The new one, Mike Whitaker, came from an eVTOL company.”
Assertion Partly supported
Goldstein: Archer's aircraft uses 24 redundant motors for 12 rotors
“Yeah, there's actually redundant motors. There's actually 24, but we, for simplicity, call it 12.”
Assertion Partly supported
Goldstein: Archer's eVTOL aircraft can glide up to 10 miles
“We have a big fifty-foot wing, you can glide, the glide ratio is huge, you can get up to max 10 miles of glide, so you can do a lot of things here.”
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: New York City is the largest US helicopter market
“It's already the biggest helicopter market in the US.”