Prediction Didn’t hold up AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 3/5 debate potential 2/5

Archer Aviation will launch international passenger flights in 2025

Adam Goldstein · Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024 · Oct 9, 2024 · at 33:45

Adam Goldstein is CEO of Archer Aviation. He was responding to questions about when paying commercial passengers will fly in eVTOL aircraft.

0:00 / 0:07exact quote · 7.3s
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“I think pretty clearly there's a route to do this internationally next year. And so I think we'll launch with passengers next year.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Adam Goldstein

Prediction Held up
Goldstein: Commercial eVTOL launches will begin internationally before the US
“I think it's, to me, super clear this does not start in the U.S. I really think it starts internationally.”
Adam Goldstein Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 13:48 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Disclosure
Goldstein: Going public via SPAC was definitely right for Archer
“And this was the right avenue for us for sure.”
Adam Goldstein Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:26:24 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldstein: Archer eVTOLs are safer, quieter, and cheaper than helicopters
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Adam Goldstein Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:26:59 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Disclosure
Goldstein: Archer Aviation partnered with Anduril to build autonomous military aircraft
“We do have a really strong partnership with Anderil. And so we've been building the new kind of autonomous, attributable aircrafts.”
Adam Goldstein Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:36:46 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
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“I could not get a meeting with the former Secretary of Transportation.”
Adam Goldstein Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:38:47 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Prediction Held up
Goldstein: Archer's Georgia manufacturing facility will open later in 2024
“Our high-volume manufacturing facility in Georgia will open up later this year”
Adam Goldstein Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 3:24 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
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