The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Over 90% of Google employees are liberal Democrats
“The fact of the matter is the vast, vast majority, well over 90% of the employees at Google are liberal Democrats, and the Google search does rely on manual actions, and the people performing those actions are, again, overwhelmingly from one side of the politi…”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 1:20:06 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tim Walz at a minimum exaggerated his military service and rank
“It's pretty clear that he, at a minimum, exaggerated his service and he exaggerated his rank.”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 1:37:41 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: The United States is currently in an economic recession
“I think we're in a recession”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 34:23 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Israel destroying Hamas in Gaza is impossible
“If Israel could actually destroy Hamas and achieve its military objective in Gaza, that'd be one thing, but I think we've seen that that's impossible. I mean, Hamas basically bleeds in with the population. It's indistinguishable, and the leadership is hidden d…”
David Sacks Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 56:17 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: A major board denied a Jewish candidate chairmanship over geopolitical climate
“There was a, an individual on the board who was supposed to be elected chairman. They went in for the vote. And in that board meeting, this individual who happens to be Jewish, there was a conversation that ensued about, you can't be the chairman at this time,…”
David Friedberg Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 1:03:16 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Parker Conrad was the only person fined in Zenefits SEC probe
“There was only one person who was named as being aware of the misconduct, and there was only one person who was fined and held accountable by regulators. In fact, he was fined more than the company.”
David Sacks Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 1:12:18 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman's political advisor claimed Trump shooting was staged
“Some people like Reid Hoffman's political hack was actually claiming that it was all staged, which is just unbelievably ridiculous.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 11:54 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden said days before shooting to put Trump in bullseye
“However, Biden himself, days before the shooting, said that it was time to put Trump in the bullseye.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 17:38 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Chuck Todd revealed a cabinet official called Biden incapacitated two years ago
“Chuck Todd just said it on a podcast that a cabinet official, okay, in the Biden White House told him two years ago that he could not get a meeting with the president because the president was effectively incapacitated and his inner circle was keeping him shie…”
David Sacks Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 1:12:08 Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haidt: Progressive revolutions have an almost perfect record of disaster
“Progressive revolutions have an almost perfect record of disaster. I mean, it always descends into, Chaos and economic chaos and cruelty.”
Jonathan Haidt Jul 10, 2024 ▶ 50:29 Jonathan Haidt: How to Help the Anxious Generation | The All-In Interview
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims American cluster bombs killed Russian civilians in Crimea
“American cluster bombs were used to kill Russian civilians sunbathing on the beach in Crimea.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 21:05 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Biden approved US private contractors fighting in Ukraine
“Biden actually approved Private contractors now going into Ukraine and starting to fight. Americans will be on the battlefield as of, I think this was just a few days ago.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 22:23 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social media companies to remove user speech
“And basically what that case was about was the Biden administration was engaged in attempts To influence or pressure social media companies to take down speech. It's a practice known as jawboning.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 38:56 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DOJ heavily prosecuted hundreds of nonviolent January 6 participants
“They took hundreds of people who did not engage in any violence on January six. Many of them just wandered through an open door in the capital, and they were prosecuted to the hilt.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:18:39 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Zoom has 90% of its R&D and OpEx in China
“The Zoom example is a terrible, the Zoom example is a terrible one, and the reason is that P&L would have a hole blown on the side of it if they did not have 90% of their R&D and OpEx in China.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 1:17:11 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Assertion Partly supported
Trump claims Paris Accord required $1T from US while China paid nothing
“The Paris Accord was a disaster for us. We were going to pay a trillion dollars, and other countries were paying nothing. Russia was paying nothing. China was paying nothing. It didn't even kick in for China until 2030, whereas with us it kicked in immediately…”
Donald J. Trump Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 38:37 In conversation with President Trump
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: U.S. economy is currently in stagflation
“We have stagflation right now. Definitely.”
David Friedberg Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:11:21 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: US job growth is driven by public sector, not private
“The government is creating jobs like crazy, not in the private sector, but in the public sector, because it is an election year.”
David Sacks Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:23:06 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Assertion Supported
Sacks confronts Khosla over his legal fight to block public beach access
“You are the one who is fighting a legal battle to kick some of those people, the public. Kick the public off of the public beach in front of your beach house.”
David Sacks Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 5:51 DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg states high probability COVID-19 originated from a lab leak
“I think that from my point of view, there's a very high probability that there was some leak. That meant that the work that was going on to try and get in front of the next pandemic and understand what we could do to prepare ourselves and what vaccines can be …”
David Friedberg May 31, 2024 ▶ 21:46 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Assertion Contradicted
Furin cleavage site proves SARS-CoV-2 was engineered in a lab
“The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and cleavage sites were engineered.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 23:15 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Assertion Contradicted
Fauci personally reversed Obama-era gain-of-function research ban
“Moreover, Fauci was personally responsible for reversing an Obama-era decision To prohibit gain of function research because it was so risky.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 27:21 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Assertion Supported
Internal NIH emails suggest COVID-19 leaked from a BSL-2 facility
“There are internal NIH emails that suggest that COVID leaked from a level two facility. They call it BSL two, which does not operate with the top level biohazard safeguards.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 38:10 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sachs: OpenAI's equity clawback clause was an intentional business decision, not an accident
“This didn't happen as an accident. Somebody made a strategic business decision to do this because they thought it'd be in the company's interest.”
David Sacks May 24, 2024 ▶ 17:46 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Contradicted
Sachs claims real U.S. household net worth has declined under Biden
“If you adjust for inflation, in other words, you look at the real household net worth, you can see that household net worth during the Biden term has been flat. Actually, it's down.”
David Sacks May 24, 2024 ▶ 46:47 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Reserve currency status alone prevents US bankruptcy and hyperinflation
“The only reason we haven't gone broke or experienced hyperinflation is because we're the world's reserve currency.”
David Sacks May 17, 2024 ▶ 1:05:29 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Assertion Partly supported
Sandberg: Dozens of October 7 victims suffered sexual assault
“There were 1200 people killed. And at least dozens of them were sexually brutalized, assaulted.”
Sheryl Sandberg May 3, 2024 ▶ 22:11 Sheryl Sandberg, plus open-source AI gene editing explained
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath claims foundational AI models hold no economic value
“There is no value in foundational models economically.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 10:22 Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Russian electronic warfare and mass production outweigh Ukrainian drone usage
“It turns out that as many drones as Ukrainians have been able to put on the battlefield, the Russians have even more because they're able to mass produce them in factories. They've got Bigger drones, better drones. And I think the most important variable in th…”
David Sacks Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 1:08:11 E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Only one 2024 U.S. presidential candidate supports confrontation with Russia
“Of the three presidential candidates, to be very clear, one is supportive, then, of some kind of confrontation, because by proxy they're supportive of admitting Ukraine into NATO, which would create a war, and two are pretty clearly anti-war.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 1:20:20 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Over 100M Americans directly work for or get paid by federal government
“So when you add this all up, there's over a hundred, hundred and twenty million people in the U.S. That are directly working for or getting paid by the federal government in the U.S.”
David Friedberg Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 55:06 E172: SBF gets 25 years, Trump's meme stock, RFK Jr picks VP, Biden's 2025 budget & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Sam Altman was sole owner of OpenAI Venture Fund
“He started a venture fund to invest in companies called the OpenAI Ventures Fund, and he was the sole owner of it, which they're saying now it's a clerical mistake or something, but he's invested in a bunch of startups that have unique access to the OpenAI, yo…”
Jason Calacanis Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 21:15 E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Facebook, Google, Apple, and TikTok are all infiltrated by foreign intelligence
“Facebook is infiltrated. Google is infiltrated. Apple is infiltrated. TikTok is infiltrated. So on that dimension, I think that it should be considered a hundred percent certainty that this data is getting back to not just the Chinese, but multiple state spons…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 1:11:12 E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: 51 former intel officials published bogus letter suppressing Hunter Biden story
“Because 51 former intelligence officials who still maintain close relationships with the intelligence community published a bogus letter saying that it was Russian disinformation, which it wasn't, and then that caused our social media sites to suppress it.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 1:20:03 E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Google's Gemini AI refused to generate images of white people
“But earlier this week, users on X started noticing that Gemini would not generate images of white people, even when prompted.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 23, 2024 ▶ 50:27 E167: Google's Woke AI disaster, Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Pilots unions block automated cockpit technology to protect jobs
“The reason we don't is because of how certain lobbies are able to affect rules inside the federal transportation infrastructure. And we know this because our friend has been trying to, our friend Sky Dayton, wonderful pilot, Has been trying to improve airline …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 1:21:48 E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
Assertion Supported
Chamath: US excess deaths in 2023 spiked 20-26% among young adults
“158,000 more Americans died than expected, which is more than all the wars combined in Vietnam, and when you look at where those death rates are, those death rates were coming from 35 to 44 year olds, which was up 26%, and 25 to 34 year olds, which was up 20% …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 29, 2023 ▶ 1:04:27 E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
Assertion Supported
Chamath: VC funds often return less than the S&P 500
“Why take on 15 year illiquidity for oftentimes funds that return less than the S and P, which is the dirty little secret of Silicon Valley.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 23, 2023 ▶ 47:53 E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed 80 FBI agents sending platform takedown requests
“Once that censorship power was created, It attracted powerful entities from our government who wanted to co-opt and use that power. That's what we saw in the Twitter files with the 80 FBI agents sending takedown requests.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:05:52 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Tech DEI consultants ran a grift charging attacked firms for allyship
“I tweeted today about the absolute, ah, grift that was going on in tech not long ago, ah, which was call out a company, venture firm, whatever it is, for their DEI stats. Then quietly contact them after you've done this brigadooning of them and say, hey, we ca…”
Jason Calacanis Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:32:09 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims pharmaceutical TV ads are bought to shape news coverage
“Pharma's the biggest advertiser in television, as I know you know, and so, for sure, I mean, if, you know, Pfizer's sponsoring your show, you're not going to question the vax. I mean, it's kind of that simple. So absolutely, and of course, that's why they're t…”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 4:00 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Partly supported
Four Fox News staff resigned in protest over Carlson's January 6 coverage
“A number of people, including on-air people, four that I can think of, resigned in protest over my, over me suggesting that actually it was more complicated than it looked, and there were a bunch of federal agents in the crowd.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 5:50 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Social media platforms were riddled with salaried intel officers
“They were all locked down, and they were all riddled with intel, in some cases, actual salaried intel officers. Matt Taibbi's amazing reporting has shown this. Not just American, either, from foreign countries.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:12:28 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk: Tesla has done more for environment than all companies combined
“Tesla has done more to help the environment than all other companies combined.”
Elon Musk Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:29:52 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Supported
Phillips: 75% of Americans agree Biden cannot continue leading the country
“But do I think that he will be in a position to continue leading this country in the future? I do not. I think I'm joined by about 75% of the country, in saying that.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:49 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips: Most in Congress expected Biden not to run in 2024
“Most members of Congress thought he was going to stand down. That's why Newsom and Pritzker and Whitmer and so many others were kind of making their plans.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 22:47 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed and was a fiasco
“The Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed. It's been a fiasco.”
David Sacks Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 30:31 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Iran received $150 billion in cash from Obama administration JCPOA deal
“Iran was on a glide path to a nuclear weapon, having just been given a hundred and fifty billion dollars in cash through the disastrous JCPOA deal that that Kerry and Obama negotiated.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 34:25 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
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