The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Collison: Stripe data shows remote work harms early-career employee productivity
“It is not good for early career people. We can actually measure it in our productivity data before the whole discussion about remote work happened during COVID, and it's bad from a work point of view.”
John Collison: Remote work hurts early-career productivity, according to Stripe data
“The thing that we have seen, and interestingly, we measured this before COVID, because we were doing a lot of remote hiring, and we wanted to see how much we should lean into it, is that it is not good for early career people. We can actually measure it in our…”
Sacks: USAID disburses $50B annually as a left-wing slush fund
“Every left-wing organization in the world seems to be getting paid by this slush fund at USAID, which disburses about fifty billion a year.”
Sacks: SEC under Gensler used meetings as honeypots to investigate founders
“Crypto companies would tell me they would go see the SEC. The SEC would tell them nothing about what the rules were, but they would have enforcement people in those meetings just writing down everything they would say. And the next day they would get sent a We…”
Chamath: Biden set records for deficits, immigration, and wage suppression
“If you look at what happened under Biden, You had record high stock markets, so it was purely in favor of asset owners. Record high deficits, record high illegal immigration, record high wage suppression.”
Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion
“You add up the cost of a compute cluster with 50,000 plus hoppers, and it's going to be over a billion dollars. So this idea that you've got this scrappy company that did it for only six million, just not true. They have a substantial compute cluster that they…”
Cruz: Federal tax revenues increased every year following 2017 Trump tax cuts
“Tax revenue went up every single year. After we cut the taxes, the revenue from the federal government went up.”
Jason Calacanis: LA Mayor Karen Bass traveled to Ghana as wildfires approached
“Karen Bass was in Ghana partying, taking meetings. I don't know what the connection between Los Angeles and their citizens and what they need to get done in Ghana after she promised she would not do this global, you know globetrotting, which she apparently has…”
Raboy: TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew lied to Congress about data access
“There are people in China monitoring what certain people in the United States are doing, and the CEO lied under oath to congressional committees about this, and the evidence is now in the public domain.”
Chamath: Chinese AI models train faster because they ignore copyright and guardrails
“When they do their training runs, the Chinese models have no guardrails in the sense that there's no copyright checks. There's just none of these things that otherwise slow down an American company to make a useful model.”
Lonsdale: Coinbase and Winklevosses refuse to hire Gensler's SEC staff
“They won't even hire anyone who worked with Gary on any of this stuff they were doing.”
Chamath: Hairdressers face more regulation than most tech portfolio companies
“I think to be honest with you, being a hairdresser requires more regulation than being any one of most of my companies.”
Sacks: Russia only had two explicit red lines in Ukraine conflict
“If you actually listen to what the Russians have said, there's only been two red lines. The first red line was they said they would not accept NATO expanding to Ukraine, and they proved their seriousness on that issue by invading Ukraine in February of 2022. T…”
Calacanis: Media bias is driven by self-censorship rather than direct network orders
“You're not going to have somebody at NBC or CNN or Fox come down and tell Tucker Carlson or Rachel Maddow or Anderson Cooper. Hey, you can't cover the story, but there is a bunch of self censorship that occurs.”
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
Don Jr.: Only 4 of 100,000 Republicans surveyed named Ukraine top issue
“And since the Ukraine war broke out, I've surveyed Republicans when I speak. If it's 500 people here, 5000 people there you know, I've surveyed over a 100,000 people live in real time where I'll give them the mic. And so far of about a 100,000, maybe a little …”
Sacks: Joe Rogan's Trump interview was suppressed in YouTube search
“There's no question that just as a factual matter, this episode was suppressed in YouTube search.”
Calacanis: Statistically impossible to swing a presidential election with voter fraud
“It is impossible right now. Absolutely. Statistically impossible to swing the presidential election with fraud.”
Chamath: Small modular reactors (SMRs) do not work yet in practice
“These SMRs, they don't work. Oh, that's, just to be clear, SMRs don't work yet. We have theoretical ways in which we can profile and model that they work. But we don't have a functional one that people can look at and inspect.”
Friedberg: Coastal Commission cited Musk's tweets to block SpaceX launches
“I will comment on the California Coastal Commission ruling that was based on Elon's political tweets, which is why they stopped additional launches out of Vandenberg.”
Uytdehaage: Only Adyen and Stripe globally invest in fintech infrastructure
“Because I think we are the only two companies globally that are investing in technology, in financial technology.”
Cuban: More people died during riots under Trump than under Biden
“We had more people die during riots during his term than Biden by a long shot”
Sacks: Tim Walz rejected Donald Trump's offer to deploy National Guard
“He wanted to send in the National Guard to Minnesota. It was actually Waltz who rejected the National Guard.”
Cuban ties 2022 inflation peak directly to Trump's 2020 oil deal
“And you know what matches up perfectly? What matches up perfectly is that 9.1% in 2022 and the day that that agreement ended. Where MBS and Russia limited production, that agreement ended it like this.”
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
Cuban: PBMs skim 10% of drug manufacturer rebates through subsidiaries
“Now, they say they're going to pass on a hundred percent of that rebate. They don't. They create all these subsidiaries and everything that skim 10% or whatever off the top”
Belmonte: Metformin increases cognitive abilities and lifespan in monkeys
“For instance, I just finished, it's not, I think I can say that tomorrow, there will be just one of these molecules that diabetic people take, metformin, to lower down their glucose. They can reprogram the cells so that all the cognitive functions are not just…”
Sinema: Most Gaza aid is siphoned off by Hamas
“We know that the majority of it is being siphoned off by Hamas and used as a weapon of war.”
Sacks: ABC News coverage was 100% positive for Harris, 93% negative for Trump
“And if you look at like, for example, ABC news, 100% of the coverage by ABC news is positive. Whereas something like 93% of their coverage on Trump is negative.”
Portnoy: Business Insider sexual misconduct allegations against him were garbage
“The heavy accusations, like Business Insider, when, like, sexual misconduct type stuff, like, all garbage”
Sachs: U.S. is close to nuclear war due to an escalatory foreign policy mindset
“I deeply believe we're close to nuclear war because we have a mindset that leads us in that direction. We have a mindset that everything is a challenge for survival and that escalation is therefore always the right approach.”
Sachs: U.S. restrictions on China have created zero manufacturing jobs
“Is it leading to, ah, is it, by the way, recuperating American manufacturing jobs? Zero.”
Agentforce resolves over 90% of Kaiser Permanente's patient inquiries
“They've got twenty million patients. They have a super complex data set. They have all of the data. From Epic, they are the largest Epic customer in the world, and more than 90% of all patient inquiries, and scheduling requests, and schedule my doctor, schedul…”
Thiel: No talented founders started semiconductor companies after 1993
“No, no talented people started semiconductor companies after 1993 because they all went into, you know, into software.”
Megyn Kelly notes that primary voters did not elect Kamala Harris
“Literally nobody's voted for her to be the nominee.”
Kalanick: Major Uber Investor Ran 6-Month PR Opposition Campaign Against Him
“If an investor is running a political oppo campaign against you for six months, sort of generating a crisis every week for six months straight, it's going to wear you down.”
Vance: Joint Chiefs disobeyed Trump on Syria troop redeployments
“The Joint Chiefs of Staff Didn't obey the president of the United States on troop redeployments in Syria, which actually happened during Trump's administration.”
Vance: Biden and Harris opened southern border via executive orders
“One of the ways that, that that Biden and Harris opened up the American Southern border was through executive orders, right? It was an executive order that submitted deportations, an executive order that ended the remain in Mexico policy.”
Vance claims there are 25 million illegal immigrants in the US
“Because you have twenty-five million illegal aliens in this country, and you like, you can't fix what I would call the minor or sort of less important immigration question until you fix the real problem.”
Chamath: Adyen is the only company with AI in production at scale
“He may be the first, I mean, Adyen, I think, is the first and really only company that's implemented AI in production at scale.”
Sacks: Vladimir Putin publicly announced an endorsement of Kamala Harris
“Putin just came out today and announced his endorsement of Kamala Harris.”
Sacks: DOJ memo concluded Trump did not meet legal bar for January 6 incitement
“In the wake of January six, Merrick Garland's Justice Department did an analysis of whether Trump could be prosecuted for incitement, whether he incited that mob, and the legal memo came back, and they said, no, we don't have a case here. It does not meet the …”
RFK Jr.: EU Commissioner Thierry Breton ordered Elon Musk not to interview Trump
“Two weeks before that, you had this crazy European commissioner, Thierry Breton, saying that he ordering, ordering Elon Musk to not interview Donald Trump, a former president of the United States, the nominee of a, of one of the two major political parties”
RFK Jr.: Coca-Cola is the biggest financial supporter of NAACP
“I think Coca-Cola is the biggest supporter of NAACP”
Sacks: Media coverage was 84% positive for Harris, 89% negative for Trump
“The media's coverage of the Harris campaign was 84% positive, whereas the coverage of the Trump campaign was 89% negative.”
Sacks: Inflation stems from money printing and government spending, not corporate greed
“What causes inflation is the printing of too much money. It's government spending too much. It is not corporate greed because corporate greed is a constant. It's not price gouging.”
Friedberg: Food inflation stems from government spending, not corporate price gouging
“The real cause of price inflation in food is not the supposed price gouging by corporate players in the ag and food industry, all of whom are deeply competitive with one another, but rather is the result of the inflation associated with government spending and…”