The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: Gavin Newsom signed a bill making California election audits virtually impossible
“Gavin Newsom just signed a law making it virtually impossible to audit any of this stuff.”
Chamath: Statistical odds of LA primary outcome were one in a trillion
“I can tell you the statistical odds that this would have happened, and it's one in a trillion.”
Fetterman: Opposition to US AI progress is funded by CCP-aligned groups
“A lot of the people that oppose that, now a lot of that opposition is funded by a lot of these groups that are aligned with CCP.”
Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds
“Top decile performance of DPI funds smaller than seven hundred and fifty million average return of 4.76 X and funds larger than a billion 2.42 X. Funds below seven hundred and fifty million across that time period represented 95% of top decile performers with …”
Arora: AI found five years of software vulnerabilities in six weeks
“In six weeks we found vulnerabilities which would have normally taken us five to seven years to find.”
Baker: A CCP-funded campaign may be targeting US AI and data centers
“It is starting to feel or seem like there may be a CCP funded campaign against AI and data centers in America.”
Gavin Baker: Older GPUs have a useful life of 10 to 15 years
“All GPUs use Grok or Cerebrus for decode, and then those older GPUs, they have a useful life for 10 or 15 years, and this means that you can finance GPUs.”
Pratt: LADWP drained Palisades Reservoir in June 2024
“Janice Quinonez, the LADW, Drain that reservoir in June of twenty-twenty-four.”
Pratt: LA City never requested fixed-wing air support during wildfire
“So L.A. City never even called in fixed air wing support to drop water.”
Pratt: 90% of unhoused people in Los Angeles are drug addicts
“90% of these people are drug addicts.”
Pratt: LA gave Weingart $28M+ for $11M property
“So the building goes on the market for eleven million dollars. Six days later, the city with our tax money gives Weingart 29,000,028 million dollars to buy this same building that was eleven million dollars.”
Spencer Pratt states Mayor Karen Bass visited Cuba 20 times
“She, she's a Venser Ramos brigade member. She spent 20 times going to Cuba.”
Pratt: LADWP CEO Janisse Quiñones was paid $750,000 annually
“Janice Quinonez, who is the CEO of LADWP, who drained two reservoirs leading into a known year of the driest fire weather season, took out the water with no plan, no backups, no tankers. She was getting paid 750,000 dollars a year, plus her benefits.”
Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026
“First, we find out that from January first to March 31st, they grew from Roughly ten billion of ARR to thirty billion, so it tripled. And then in April, if anything, the rate of increase seemed to accelerate. They went from 30 to forty-four billion of ARR.”
Palihapitiya: No evidence AI has lifted S&P 500 operating margins
“There is literally not a scintilla of evidence that AI has helped lift the operating margins of the S&P.”
Hilton: CA solar fund gave $928M to non-profits, only $72M to solar
“Of that one billion total in 10 years, the actual amount spent on the purported benefit here Solar panel installation was seventy two million. Nine hundred and twenty eight million actually went to non-profits doing all, all the usual Democrat associated bulls…”
Hilton: California wastes $80B annually, 20% of state budget
“Well, our number over the last five years total, our estimate was four hundred and twenty-five billion. So averaged over the years, it's about eighty billion a year. So that's, so it's around, you know, 20% or so.”
Hilton: Labor unions file most CEQA lawsuits blocking housing
“Most of those lawsuits are filed by unions.”
Hilton: Gavin Newsom's top campaign donors are unions and trial lawyers
“Gavin Newsom's political donations over the 16 years he's been running statewide, just as a proxy for Democrat politicians, by category. The number one category, government unions. Number two, trial lawyers. Number three, non-government unions.”
Hilton: CARB only counts imported oil emissions within 12 miles offshore
“CARB, the California Air Resources Board, which is obsessed with having all other businesses account for their carbon emissions right down the supply chain. Miraculously, the carbon emissions for the oil imports are only counted from when they're 12 miles off …”
Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising
“They increased the amount of money that they were able to fundraise by eighty one million dollars. So that 270,000 dollar investment led to an eighty one million dollar return.”
Sacks claims Anthropic withheld Mythos AI model due to serving costs
“It's looking more and more like Anthropic could not have offered that model commercially anyway, because it was just too big and expensive and they needed to create space for Opus 4.7.”
Sacks asserts Anthropic lobbied against US-backed Gulf AI data center projects
“In the case of the GCC data centers, Anthropic was adamantly opposed to that, and they were lobbying against it, and they were, again, salting the earth against Those projects.”
Sacks claims Nancy Pelosi personally forced Eric Swalwell out of race
“But there's no way That that button gets pushed without going to Pelosi for the sign off. Right. I mean, she's like the boss of this operation.”
Chamath notes Warren Buffett's returns dropped significantly after Regulation Fair Disclosure
“His returns are bimodally distributed pre and post Reg FD. When you have to follow the rules of disclosure, everybody's returns got kneecapped. When there was no disclosure rules. His returns were off the charts.”
Sacks: Anthropic has the fastest growing revenue run rate ever seen
“Third, Anthropix revenue run rate is based on what I can tell and what's been publicly released is the fastest growing revenue run rate at scale that I think we've ever seen.”
Stephens: Investigations found under 12 unauthorized data access cases post-Snowden
“There were like less than 12 documented cases where someone got access to data that they shouldn't have. And it was because of like technology errors, not because of the policies that were implemented.”
Sankar: Chinese Communist Party funds organizations protesting Palantir in the US
“Certainly we see it against Palantir where there, there's CCP money flowing to organizations that are protesting us for various domestic issues here.”
Sankar: Chinese Communist Party strategy explicitly requires the United States to fall
“For the CCP, it's not enough for China to prosper. America must fall. That's an explicit part of the strategy.”
Mahan: Mississippi and Louisiana beat California in reading proficiency for low-income kids
“Mississippi and Louisiana are doing a better job of helping low-income kids get on grade level for reading than we are in the very well-resourced, very progressive state of California.”
Mahan: California state regulations drove out most oil refineries over ten years
“The state has lost most of its refineries over the last decade because we have intentionally regulated them out of existence.”
Jensen Huang: Nvidia's market share in China fell from 95% to 0%
“At the current moment as we speak, NVIDIA gave up a 95% market share in the second largest market in the world, and we're at zero percent.”
Fetterman claims he is the only Democrat refusing to shut down DHS
“I'm also the only Democrat that refuses to shut down The Department of Homeland Security.”
Fetterman claims he was the only Democrat supporting Netanyahu's military actions
“I was the only Democrat that's absolutely Netanyahu just done the right thing to break the that access there Hezbollah and Hamas, you know, attacking also Houthis as well.”
Fetterman says he is the only Democrat advocating to destroy Iran's regime
“I am literally the only Democrat in America in Congress that I've come across that saying, I think it's a great thing to break and destroy the Iranian regime.”
Fetterman notes Pennsylvania identified only six 2020 voter fraud cases, all Republicans
“There was no fraud. And they, we identified, I think, believe it was six, six or seven. In fact, and now, coincidentally, they all happened to be Republicans that were voting for President Trump, and mostly they used a dead relative to try to devote that, and …”
Fetterman: Heritage Foundation database found 77 non-citizen votes over 24 years
“You know, they said that at their database between 1999 to 2023, they identified 77 instances of non-citizens voting between 1999 and 2023.”
Fetterman: Gavin Newsom released a video smearing investigator Nick Shirley
“Governor Newsom put out a disgusting video implying that he's, you know, a pedophile or he's that, that like, Why? You know, like, I mean, like, that's, like, kind of a smear.”
Sacks asserts Iran's army, navy, and air force are destroyed
“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”
Sacks: Israel is taking unprecedented damage in current war
“There's a social media blackout, but what you're starting to hear trickle out is that Israel is getting hit harder than they've ever been hit before in their history.”
Chamath: No corporate enterprise shows sustained positive margin expansion from AI
“There's not a single good example that we can find of sustained positive margin expansion and impact of AI inside of a true corporate enterprise that is not right now a small test.”
Chamath: Agent-written code caused three or four SEV-1 outages at AWS
“Why does Amazon issue an edict that says you cannot use this stuff inside of AWS unless a human now reviews and approves it? Because what happened? They had three or four SEV-ONE faults from a bunch of code that was written by agents that brought down AWS.”
Gerstner: Anthropic generating $5B to $6B in a single month
“We're seeing companies like Anthropic at five or six billion dollars of revenue in a single month, which is extraordinary.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic follows its own constitution, not the US Constitution
“Anthropic has its own constitution. It has its own soul. It's not the U S constitution.”
Michael: Trump did not instruct Pentagon to drop Anthropic over donations
“It's a criticism on me because it's not like Trump, President Trump dipped in and he's like, hey, Emil, by the way, those guys didn't get me any money. You can't use them anymore.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called Donald Trump a 'wannabe dictator'
“You called president Trump and your 5000 word essay on Friday, a wannabe dictator. You're gonna have to apologize to more people than just me.”
Tracey: Virginia Roberts Giuffre recanted sexual misconduct allegations against Dershowitz
“Dershowitz, she ended up recanting her allegations and bear in mind, it wasn't just that she, you know, happened to level some accusation at some point, maybe in like casual banter. It's that she made allegations of herself having been victimized by Dershowitz…”