The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4,474 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising
“They increased the amount of money that they were able to fundraise by eighty one million dollars. So that 270,000 dollar investment led to an eighty one million dollar return.”
Sacks asserts Anthropic lobbied against US-backed Gulf AI data center projects
“In the case of the GCC data centers, Anthropic was adamantly opposed to that, and they were lobbying against it, and they were, again, salting the earth against Those projects.”
Chamath notes Warren Buffett's returns dropped significantly after Regulation Fair Disclosure
“His returns are bimodally distributed pre and post Reg FD. When you have to follow the rules of disclosure, everybody's returns got kneecapped. When there was no disclosure rules. His returns were off the charts.”
Sacks: Anthropic has the fastest growing revenue run rate ever seen
“Third, Anthropix revenue run rate is based on what I can tell and what's been publicly released is the fastest growing revenue run rate at scale that I think we've ever seen.”
Stephens: Investigations found under 12 unauthorized data access cases post-Snowden
“There were like less than 12 documented cases where someone got access to data that they shouldn't have. And it was because of like technology errors, not because of the policies that were implemented.”
Mahan: California state regulations drove out most oil refineries over ten years
“The state has lost most of its refineries over the last decade because we have intentionally regulated them out of existence.”
Mahan: Mississippi and Louisiana beat California in reading proficiency for low-income kids
“Mississippi and Louisiana are doing a better job of helping low-income kids get on grade level for reading than we are in the very well-resourced, very progressive state of California.”
Jensen Huang: Nvidia's market share in China fell from 95% to 0%
“At the current moment as we speak, NVIDIA gave up a 95% market share in the second largest market in the world, and we're at zero percent.”
Fetterman says he is the only Democrat advocating to destroy Iran's regime
“I am literally the only Democrat in America in Congress that I've come across that saying, I think it's a great thing to break and destroy the Iranian regime.”
Fetterman claims he is the only Democrat refusing to shut down DHS
“I'm also the only Democrat that refuses to shut down The Department of Homeland Security.”
Fetterman: Gavin Newsom released a video smearing investigator Nick Shirley
“Governor Newsom put out a disgusting video implying that he's, you know, a pedophile or he's that, that like, Why? You know, like, I mean, like, that's, like, kind of a smear.”
Fetterman claims he was the only Democrat supporting Netanyahu's military actions
“I was the only Democrat that's absolutely Netanyahu just done the right thing to break the that access there Hezbollah and Hamas, you know, attacking also Houthis as well.”
Fetterman notes Pennsylvania identified only six 2020 voter fraud cases, all Republicans
“There was no fraud. And they, we identified, I think, believe it was six, six or seven. In fact, and now, coincidentally, they all happened to be Republicans that were voting for President Trump, and mostly they used a dead relative to try to devote that, and …”
Fetterman: Heritage Foundation database found 77 non-citizen votes over 24 years
“You know, they said that at their database between 1999 to 2023, they identified 77 instances of non-citizens voting between 1999 and 2023.”
Chamath: Agent-written code caused three or four SEV-1 outages at AWS
“Why does Amazon issue an edict that says you cannot use this stuff inside of AWS unless a human now reviews and approves it? Because what happened? They had three or four SEV-ONE faults from a bunch of code that was written by agents that brought down AWS.”
Gerstner: Anthropic generating $5B to $6B in a single month
“We're seeing companies like Anthropic at five or six billion dollars of revenue in a single month, which is extraordinary.”
Sacks asserts Iran's army, navy, and air force are destroyed
“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called Donald Trump a 'wannabe dictator'
“You called president Trump and your 5000 word essay on Friday, a wannabe dictator. You're gonna have to apologize to more people than just me.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic follows its own constitution, not the US Constitution
“Anthropic has its own constitution. It has its own soul. It's not the U S constitution.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic will be excluded from Pentagon AI contracts under current posture
“And Throbic's not going to be one of them if they continue sort of with their sort of posture.”
Tracey: No evidence Bill Clinton ever visited Jeffrey Epstein's island
“No evidence that Bill Clinton was ever on the island. He did fly around in Epstein's private jet in 2002 and 2003, but no evidence he ever went to the island.”
Tracey: Virginia Roberts Giuffre recanted sexual misconduct allegations against Dershowitz
“Dershowitz, she ended up recanting her allegations and bear in mind, it wasn't just that she, you know, happened to level some accusation at some point, maybe in like casual banter. It's that she made allegations of herself having been victimized by Dershowitz…”
Tracey: Epstein was never accused of sex crimes against minors post-2005
“Jeffrey Epstein was never even accused of committing any illicit sexual acts against any person under the age of 18 after the year 2005.”
Sacks predicts AI will increase demand for knowledge workers
“As you may recall on the prediction show for this year, my most contrarian belief is that AI would increase demand for knowledge workers, not put them out of business.”
Sacks: All recent net job gains went to native-born Americans
“All the job creation has been enjoyed by native born Americans as well. All the job loss has been on non native born Americans, which is pretty Remarkable.”
Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files
“The number one person in the Epstein files from Silicon Valley, which is Reid Hoffman, mentioned 2600 times, had a multi-year relationship with Epstein.”
Sachs: Minnesota released roughly 470 convicted illegal immigrants last year
“Last year, there was something like 470 convicts, ok, illegal aliens, criminals. And I'm not talking about that their crime wasn't breaking into the country. I'm talking about subsequent crimes that were released In Minnesota, so they cannot be rounded up by I…”
Sacks: Roughly $8 billion was stolen by Somali fraudsters in Minnesota
“The eight billion or so that was stolen by Somali fraudsters.”
Kurtz: China directly hands stolen US trade secrets to its domestic companies
“The big thing with China is, there's a commercial aspect to what they do. So if the government breaks in and steals a trade secret from some company in the U.S., they'll just give it to another company in China.”
Dr. Oz: Miami Mayor reduced homelessness 90% via mandatory rehab arrests
“Mayor Suarez in Miami dropped a number by 90% and he did it just by making sure that you got arrested every time you peed publicly and they don't put you in jail. They put you in, in rehab.”
Dr. Oz: Socialized medicine causes six-month to year-long wait times
“So you can get the health care, like you do in socialized medicine countries, you just have to wait six months or a year or longer, or you don't get the care at all.”
Dr. Oz: California undocumented immigrants receive coverage unavailable under Medicare
“If you're on Medicare, you don't get free dental, you don't get free vision. You do if you're an illegal immigrant in California.”
Rogers: Leaked emails show NGO's top priority was killing Musk's X
“We have emails that have leaked from some of these NGOs. So one of them, the Center for Countering Digital Hate, Which is a British NGO whose leader was the target of some of our visa sanctions. There are emails exchanged with Democratic politicians in the Uni…”
Rogers: UK regulator Ofcom fines US websites that don't operate there
“Under the Online Safety Act, we now have active litigation by the relevant regulator Ofcom against several American websites. These are websites that don't reach into the UK. They're not, they're, these aren't websites dedicated to discussing the Queen. They'r…”
Rogers: UK sentenced a mother to 31 months for anti-migration tweet
“There was a thirty-one-month sentence handed down to a suburban mother named Lucy Connolly in the UK because after a man called Axel Rudabanka stabbed, I think it was a seven-year-old girl, an eight-year-old girl, and a nine-year-old girl at a birthday party, …”
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social networks to censor content
“And I would say President Trump, because I do think that that, President Trump's election definitely changed the direction of free speech in the United States, never mind the rest of the world, because I think under the Biden administration, we now know from c…”
Rogers: US House committee and CIA assessed COVID lab leak potential
“And another thing that was suppressed, was the assessment that the virus might have leaked from a lab, and we now know that was the same assessment of a House committee and the CIA.”
Makary claims 14% of all NIH grants went to DEI research
“14% of any NIH grants went to DEI research.”
Makary: The Trump administration has not cut any NIH funding
“In the Trump administration, we have not cut one dollar of NIH funding.”
Makary predicts GLP-1 drug starter pricing will drop to $149
“With the GLP-I example, for example, it's gonna come down to a 149 dollars for the first three months.”
Lutnick: Tariff revenues fund proposed tax exemptions on tips and Social Security
“Who paid for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security. Right? Tariffs.”
Lutnick: Ozempic and Mounjaro added to Medicare and Medicaid for $149
“So, the result is Ozempic and Munjara are on Medicaid and Medicare. For a hundred and 49 dollars instead of not on it.”
Lutnick: Merck agreed to offer top drug free to Medicare and Medicaid
“One of the drug companies, Merck, said they're gonna just give us their number one drug in the world. They're gonna give it to Medicaid and Medicare for zero.”
Lutnick: Japan committed $550B to finance US infrastructure projects
“So what we came up with was Five hundred and fifty billion dollars. That this is not foreign direct investment. This is not Toyota building a factory in America. This is, they literally will finance Any project we want to build in America, as long as it's like…”
Lutnick: TSMC agreed to increase US investment from $60B to $160B
“So instead of building sixty billion, you build a hundred and sixty billion. And we agreed.”
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud
“For example, in California, we have twenty four billion dollars going to quote unquote homeless programs, and yet the number of homeless people keeps rising. And, you know, everyone knows it's called the homeless industrial complex. They can't pass an audit. T…”