why aren't all 1,264 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
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Chamath: Heavily leaning towards launching a new SPAC
“So I don't know if I'm gonna do it, but I'm, Heavily leaning towards doing it.”
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Sen. Johnson: Donald Trump cannot pressure me to support the budget bill
“There's no, there's nothing that President Trump can do to pressure me, other than, start work with me, acknowledge the numbers.”
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Rollins: Taxpayer funds should not buy sugary drinks and junk food
“Taxpayer dollars be spent on sugary drinks and junk food that's making our kids sick? Absolutely not.”
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Chamath: Trump administration only gathered information without making demands
“I have never seen a single iota of any form of anything other than just gathering information from the Trump administration. They've never asked me for anything. They've never tried to direct me to do anything. They just want to know what's going on.”
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Bessent: Treasury brought in Hunter Biden whistleblowers to reform IRS audits
“We had a big announcement on Tuesday, and we brought in the two Hunter Biden whistleblowers, who, they have a lot to say about who gets audited, who doesn't. They're gonna be sitting in this building, working on IRS matters, and understanding exactly how these…”
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Travis Kalanick reveals he rejected Masa Son's money for funding competitors
“I did not take money from Masa. So he begged me to take money for years, and we did not take it because he is a, he's a, what's the word I'm looking for? He's a promiscuous investor. So once he invests in you should probably count on him and using your informa…”
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Sacks: David Sacks to chair White House crypto working group
“The members of this working group are going to be, there's me, there's the head of the SEC, the secretary of the treasury, and all the agencies and departments that have an interest in crypto. So we formed this working group. I'm actually chairing it, or I wil…”
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Keith Raboy: Avoids investing in startup founders with prior domain expertise
“I always mentioned that I don't like people with expertise typically as founders.”
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Don Jr. says his transition role is blocking anti-agenda personnel
“When it comes to transition you know, I'm going to be very involved. That's the only thing I wanted to do. And it wasn't about actually placing someone in a position. It was really just blocking the guys that were going to be the guys that were going to slow r…”
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Mawakana: Waymo has 'conviction' it requires LiDAR, radar, and cameras
“So obviously we have conviction that we need LIDAR, radar, and cameras.”
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Dave Portnoy says he will vote for Donald Trump in the presidential election
“I'll vote for Trump in the presidency because I want the country to get along.”
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Thiel calls Founders Fund's European venture investments vacation junkets
“We've probably tried to do too much investing in Europe. Over the years, it's always sort of a junket, sort of, it's a nice place to go on vacation as an investor.”
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Thiel: Founders Fund hasn't invested heavily in AI due to dot-com bubble parallels
“My model is AI feels like it does feel uncomfortably close to the bubble of 1999. So I'm, we haven't invested that much in it.”
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Sergey Brin: Google Cloud turns away customers due to compute shortages
“For us, we're kind of building out compute as quickly as we can, and we just have a huge amount of demand. I mean, for example, our cloud customers just want a huge amount of TPUs, GPUs, you name it. You know, we just can't, we have to turn down customers beca…”
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Hoffman funded ads highlighting RFK Jr.'s anti-vax stance to hurt Trump
“My thing was actually, in fact, making people aware of RFK's anti-vax, you know, statement, his anti-science stuff, because I thought that would be relevant in the polls in November. That, that was the actual strategy that, that I believe, and I think that wou…”
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Reid Hoffman funded E. Jean Carroll's civil lawsuit against Donald Trump
“What I funded was an ability to have, you know, kind of a woman who doesn't have power, who's being threatened by a rich man with a lot of money and power to try to silence her, to have her day in court where 12 everyday Americans, right, can come to a judgmen…”
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Friedberg: Executives are passed over for leadership roles for being Jewish
“All I know is that there have been other conversations I've been privy to behind closed doors where senior people have been passed over because they are Jewish and because of the concerns of someone Jewish being viewed to be in a leadership position in an orga…”
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Haidt: The political left is beyond hope after years of trying to advise them
“I spent so many years trying to help the left using moral psychology so that they would stop losing elections, and I finally decided they're beyond hope.”
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Sacks and Chamath are hosting a fundraising event for Donald Trump
“We're hosting an event for president Trump... Yeah, we're hosting an event for the once, once and future president.”
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Druckenmiller bought five Argentine ADRs after using Perplexity AI search
“I wasn't at Davos, but I saw the speech in Davos, and it was about one o'clock in the afternoon in my office. I dialed up perplexity, and I said, give me the five most liquid ADRs in Argentina. It gave me enough of a description That I followed the old Soros r…”
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Sandberg: Advocacy leaders privately cite staff pushback for staying silent
“A bunch of them have said to me privately, I know you're right. Of course, sexual violence isn't okay. And of course this happened, but I can't speak out because all my employees are going to get upset. I can't speak out because the young people, and that make…”
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Palihapitiya: I eliminated HR departments across all majority-controlled portfolio companies
“I, there is no company where I have majority control where I have an HR department.”
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Chamath: I can no longer vote for Joe Biden
“This was sort of the straw that broke the camel's back, and why I just absolutely cannot vote for Biden anymore.”
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Phillips: Would deploy U.S. Special Forces to rescue American hostages
“I would, absolutely. It is the, it is incumbent on the president of the United States to extract Americans being held against their will by any foreign entity.”
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Sacks says he would vote for Dean Phillips over Nikki Haley
“If it came down to a choice between Dean Phillips as the Democratic nominee and someone like Nikki Haley as a Republican nominee, I'd vote for Dean Phillips all day long.”
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Friedberg: Respected public figures privately told him "all Muslims need to go"
“And I've heard friends of mine in the last week Who have said awful things like all Muslims need to go. Well-known, well-respected public people have said this to me in private.”
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Lütke: Shopify will support any legal merchant regardless of political views
“As long as they do something legal, we support them. And in fact, we are just pushing them from behind via tool. Like, your screwdriver is not going to tell you that you can't screw in something into a wall because you're a Republican voter.”
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Christie advocates raising Social Security retirement age and means testing
“On the entitlement side, I think I'm the only person who's been talking about this and saying out loud, we've got to consider raising retirement age and we've got to consider means testing and eligibility for social security.”
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Christie: I would order federal prosecutors to take over local prosecutions
“What I would do would be to instruct the attorney general to instruct the U S attorneys in the cities with these kinds of problems. That we are taking over the prosecution of violent and drug crime in those cities.”
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Ramaswamy pledges to shut down the Nuclear Regulatory Commission
“Laying out the anatomy of how I will shut down the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, which has been a fundamentally hostile administrative agency to the existence of nuclear power in this country.”
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Ramaswamy pledges to abolish the $80B U.S. Department of Education
“So I've said that that department that spends about eighty billion dollars of taxpayer money, I'll shut it down.”
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Ramaswamy: Medical gender transition procedures should be restricted to adults 18+
“Just like you can't get a tattoo before the age of 18 in most, what we say is a decision that you are likely to regret, many, in many cases at least, likely to regret later in life, we let you make that decision as an adult.”
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Ramaswamy pledges he will not sign a federal abortion ban
“Unlike other Republican candidates, I will not be signing a federal abortion ban on constitutional grounds.”
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Sacks says he prefers RFK Jr. over Joe Biden
“I prefer RFK to Biden.”
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Chamath: Tearing down institutions of power gives me glee
“And I personally, I'm so, I've always been, and I have been very anti-establishment. The idea of tearing down all these institutions of power gives me glee.”
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Shellenberger: Hunter Biden laptop turned out to be authentic
“I really didn't think that that laptop was what they said it was, and it turned out that it was.”
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Chamath: FTX provided zero financials when Social Capital evaluated investing
“We were part of the process where they tried to show again, I have to be careful. My lawyers reminded me that we're still under NDA actually with FDX. So, but what I can tell you is we did not get any financials. So we were verbally described what was going on…”
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Musk says he will vote Republican after historically voting for Democrats
“I have voted, voted overwhelmingly for Democrats historically overwhelmingly, like I, I'm not sure. I might never have voted for Republican, just to be clear. Now, now this election, I will.”
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Chamath admits his prior remarks on Uyghurs lacked empathy
“That said, you know, I realized that what I said last week lacked empathy, particularly towards others who are dealing with persecution, in this case the Uyghurs.”
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Chamath: Social Capital marked up a single crypto position by $1B in one quarter
“We own something, which I'm not going to tell you what it is, but it's a crypto thing. And our nav, I had to mark my book up a billion net asset value on that asset. I had to mark it up because, you know, we have to submit to our auditors and just keep an accu…”
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Friedberg: I stayed silent on startup misrepresentation due to investor pressure
“I have with at least two companies in the last year. And, you know, I've kept my mouth shut because And by the way, I don't think that there's necessarily harm going on, but I know of misrepresentation, but the investors are like, look, we'd love to see these …”
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Chamath left $2B to $3B in stock when quitting Facebook
“The minute I realized that I was basically going to become, you know, a billionaire because of my Facebook stock, I fucking quit. And the craziest thing about it is I left so much stock on the table. It's like two, three billion dollars of fucking stock.”
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Sacks: I donated an additional $50,000 to the Chesa Boudin recall
“I donate another 50,000 dollars to the recall chasing campaign.”
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Palihapitiya: Facebook force stack-ranked to fire bottom 5-10% of employees
“When I was at Facebook, we used to convene the senior team. And, you know, I was like, I want, I really want to fire the bottom five or 10% of the company. And we would force stack rank and we did it for about three or four years.”
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Calacanis funds $50,000 grant to investigate San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin
“The GoFundMe page I started, it now has 455 donors and 54,000 dollars in funding. And so I am withdrawing the 54,000 dollars, and I have a meeting with the woman from the Marina Times who's done great coverage of this, and I'm also looking for some data scient…”
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Sacks challenges SF DA Chesa Boudin to a debate on crime
“Chesa, Mr. District Attorney, you don't have to come on the show, but I will challenge you to a debate. Anytime, any place, any format on your policies in San Francisco.”
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Chamath proposes eliminating personal income tax in California, offset by corporate taxes
“The second thing I would probably do is I would actually just cut all taxes to zero on the personal side, but I would introduce a progressive taxation system for corporations.”
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Chamath demands a Democratic Party root cause analysis before donating again
“So if these motherfuckers want a single goddamn dollar from me, what I want first is a root cause analysis to understand what is actually going on.”