why aren't all 1,264 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
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Ramaswamy: U.S. should defend Taiwan only until achieving semiconductor independence
“I would at least until the US has achieved semiconductor independence.”
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Vivek Ramaswamy pledges to pardon Julian Assange and Edward Snowden
“I would pardon Julian Assange. I would pardon Edward Snowden. I've committed to a long list of pardons of people who have taken steps to expose corruption that we otherwise would not have seen in this country.”
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Palihapitiya: Human rights abuses against Uyghurs are below his line of concern
“Nobody cares about what's happening to the weakers. Okay. You bring it up because you really care. The rest of us don't care. I'm just telling you a very hard, I'm telling you a very hard, ugly truth. Okay. Of all the things that I care about. Yes, it is below…”
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Tenev: Robinhood was not pressured by outside forces to halt trading
“This wasn't, you know, a value judgment or some kind of moral stance and we weren't pressured into doing it by anything other than our regulatory deposit requirements.”
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Altman: OpenAI paused training and may pace frontier AI development
“We paused training, or we may have to pace the rate of AI development to give ourselves enough time for society to harden around some of these new capability levels.”
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Fetterman: Calling out antisemitism in Democratic Party has isolated him
“One of their signature view is anti-anti-Israel and borderline Just, you know, raw anti-Semitism, and from a lot of these candidates now, too, and that's exactly where, where we are and now that has isolated me in the party, and just calling that what that is.”
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Shapiro says he withdrew from VP consideration 48 hours before Walz selection
“And about 48 hours before she picked Tim Walz, I pulled out and made clear that that was not something I was interested in doing.”
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Pahlavi declares he is stepping in to lead Iran's political transition
“I've stepped in to lead this transition with the help of many of my compatriots from various sectors.”
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Michael: Pentagon feared Anthropic would shut off military systems during crises
“It was really the, you worry, I worried about them shutting off our system at a moment of need or them messing with our system at a moment of need. Those were, we were scared.”
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Dr. Oz: CMS will withhold Medicaid funds from states failing fraud enforcement
“We're gonna actively and aggressively stop paying Medicaid if we can prove that states are not obliging their fiduciary responsibility to the American people.”
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Bessent reveals U.S. government is taking equity stakes in strategic industries
“If you look at the industries where we are taking stakes and moving forward, we've identified five to eight strategic industries where the U S we have to have endogenous production, or at least adjacent to us in North America or this hemisphere.”
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Manchin opposed Build Back Better for shifting American mindset toward entitlement
“If we pass this piece of legislation you're asking me to vote for, the BBB, you're changing the psychic to the nation of how much more can my country do for me. I wasn't born that way, I wasn't raised that way, I don't believe that way, and I can't do it. You …”
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Manchin reveals he and Mitt Romney discussed running on a third-party ticket
“Mitt Romney and I were talking about running. I said, Mitt, he said, Joe, let's, we have to start a new party.”
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Karp: A Democratic administration asked Palantir to build a Muslim database
“We had a democratic administration come to us and basically ask us to do a Muslim database. Now, you would think, given the way I'm kind of besmirched as like some kind of, I don't know, it's like a Jewish conspiracy, that would be the first thing, according t…”
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Lutnick: Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are building U.S. government software for free
“I go to the heads of Google and Microsoft and Amazon. They're all For America. Building for us. Right. For free. Right. To make America better.”
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RFK Jr. is removing his name from 11 battleground state ballots
“I haven't actually terminated my campaign. I suspended it. We've taken ourselves or we're trying to Take ourselves off the ballot in the, in about 11 states, so we'll remain on the ballot in 39 states”
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Trump guarantees he will not deploy American troops to Ukraine
“I would guarantee it.”
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Trump states he would not support a national abortion ban
“No, I wouldn't support a national ban. No, I would not.”
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Armstrong: SEC settlement offer required delisting all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin
“The settlement option on the table was to essentially delist everything other than Bitcoin, and so that would have been the end of the industry in the US.”
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Ramaswamy pledges to pardon Trump for current and future J6 indictments
“That's why I've come out and been very vocal about the fact that I would pardon Trump of each of the two indictments that have already been brought. And if the J six indictment is brought against him, I would do the same thing.”
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Musk refuses to pay agreed Twitter price if public filings are inaccurate
“So, in, in making the Twitter offer, I was obviously reliant upon the truth and accuracy of their public filings, and if those filings are not accurate. It's simply not, that's, that it's not, you can't pay the same price for something that is much worse than …”
Disclosure
Tenev: Robinhood restricted buying in 13 stocks to meet deposit requirements
“We just had to do what we did to meet our deposit requirements, because if we didn't do that, we would be in violation. And the consequences of that could have been much, much worse than simply halting buying in the 13 stocks.”
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Tenev: Robinhood's $3.4B raise provided liquidity, not a deposit bailout
“We met all of our deposit requirements. The new capital that we raised, the 3.4 billion, wasn't to meet our ongoing deposit requirements. We had met them and in order to relax them and eventually unrestrict them, we needed to raise some more capital and eventu…”
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Ryan Cohen: Committing $500M of personal capital to eBay transaction
“I'm putting five hundred million of my own money into this transaction.”
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Fetterman: Defending the Senate filibuster is a hill I would die on
“Oh, that's one of the kinds of hill I would die on now. To defend the filibuster, how important it is to the Senate, but also Senate for the minority rights, whoever that happens to be in that time, you know, that's what's so critical, what the filibuster is t…”
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Hilton proposes assigning grades to every California school and teacher
“And that's one of the proposals I've got in my campaign, which is a grade for every school and a grade for every teacher. So we can reward the good ones and remove the bad ones.”
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Sankar: Palantir does not collect or hold any data itself
“We don't collect data. We don't have any data.”
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Mahan promises to protect law-abiding undocumented residents as governor
“I will absolutely stand up to protect undocumented residents who are playing by the rules, who are doing the most American thing, and I get all the arguments around lawful immigration.”
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Huang: Chinese firms placed purchase orders with Nvidia following license approvals
“We informed the Chinese companies and many of them have given us purchase orders. And so we're gonna, we're in the process of cranking up our supply chain again to go ship.”
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CFTC Chair Selig adopts permissionless regulatory policy for crypto innovations
“Having a regime in place that says, go build, don't ask us for permission, but we need to study that work with the market participants, understand the risks and On our end, we need to set up guardrails.”
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Michael: Defense contractors are banned from using Anthropic for fighter jets
“Boeing wants to use it to build fighter jets. I can't have that because I don't trust what the outputs may be because they're so wedded to their own policy preferences.”
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Armstrong: Undoing the GENIUS Act is a red line for Coinbase
“I think there's the bank trade groups, which I believe are trying to undo the genius act. Got it. It just got passed into law four months ago. And for us, that's a red line.”
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Makary: FDA reduces default drug approval requirement to one pivotal trial
“We announced just last month that we are going to go from a baseline default requirement of two pivotal trials for a drug to one pivotal trial for a drug.”
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Makary: Federal health officials released reduced core vaccine schedule of 38 doses
“So we gave them a list that constitutes about 38 doses from age zero to 18.”
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Chamath took a $400 million loss on his Relativity Space investment
“Like look, like relativity space, you know, I took a four hundred million dollar goose egg.”
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Chamath reverses his stance and now supports student loan forgiveness
“This was the first moment in years Where I have now become sympathetic to this idea of student loan forgiveness. I was never sympathetic to this idea. I am sympathetic to it now.”
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Musk: Refuses to build Tesla robot army without voting control protection
“Let's just say I'm not going to build a robot army if I can be easily kicked out by activist investors.”
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Chamath: Feels safer under Trump presidency than under Biden presidency
“As the only immigrant right now on this podcast who immigrated here legally, I feel much safer and better under a Donald Trump presidency than I ever did under a Biden presidency.”
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Machado: Opposition smuggled Starlink terminals into Venezuela to prove election win
“We smudled Starlink and antennas into the country, generators, Laptops, cell phones, and without the regime noticing it, we installed these a 130 operational places, and in less than 24 hours, we were able to prove our victory with the, you know, the images, o…”
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Karp: I refuse to donate to advocacy groups and hang up on them
“In private, I'm very critical of, like, these advocacy groups, and I'm constantly hanging up on them, and of course I'm not going to give you any money.”
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Adena Friedman: Nasdaq integrating equity tokenization into core public markets
“So this morning we announced that we're going to be bringing tokenization into our markets, so making sure that equities are tokenized and traded on market, in the markets, not in a side sleeve, but actually in the core markets.”
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Wright: Energy policy prioritizes humans first over climate change
“So the administration is humans first. The previous administration, climate change was first, energy was a subset of climate change, human lives were a subset of energy. For this administration, it's the opposite.”
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Chamath: Solar subsidies should be eliminated to force fair market competition
“So as a competitor in the market, the first thing I applauded was get these stupid subsidies away. Let the best companies compete. Let us win.”
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Paul: I would support a 20% tariff to eliminate the income tax
“I don't like tariffs very much, but I'll vote for a 20% tariff. You know, I take a sale. It's a sales tax. I'll take a sales tax over an income tax.”
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Trump claims US will impose 15% to 50% standard tariffs globally
“So we'll have a straight, simple tariff of anywhere between 15 and 50 Percent.”
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Trump bans federal government from procuring politically biased AI technology
“And in just a moment, I will be signing an order banning the federal government from procuring AI technology that has been infused with partisan bias or ideological agendas, such as critical race theory, which is ridiculous.”
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Chris Wright: Administration will eliminate Clean Power Plan 2.0 regulations
“We're going to get rid of Clean Power Act two point O that says you're going to have to have carbon capture and storage, you know, 15 years out on any natural gas”
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Vance: Trump administration will not offer legal amnesty to undocumented immigrants
“What the president has said is, number one, we're not going to do amnesty in this country.”