The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Calacanis: SpaceX, xAI, and Cursor will lead AI coding within 12 months
“If you put these two together, I predict that this is going to move Space X, X, X AI and cursor to the front of the coding leaderboard within 12 months.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 7:00 SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Calacanis: Big Tech will make a $50B+ AI acquisition in 2026
“For twenty-twenty-six, I think we're going to see some massive M&A. It doesn't matter to me how it occurs, but I do think we're going to see a fifty billion plus deal, and I think it could be, ah, one of the Mac seven, an Apple, a Meta, a Microsoft, or an Amaz…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 53:48 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Baker: xAI will release Grok 4.7 in a few weeks
“And this is still a relatively small model. It's one .1 trillion parameter models. A larger model, Grok 4.7, that should be significantly more capable, is coming out, you know, in a few short weeks.”
Gavin Baker Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:31:08 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
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