The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 38 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 14:40 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:16:31 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed 80 FBI agents sending platform takedown requests
“Once that censorship power was created, It attracted powerful entities from our government who wanted to co-opt and use that power. That's what we saw in the Twitter files with the 80 FBI agents sending takedown requests.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:05:52 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter Files confirm secret blacklists tagged conservative voices
“We now have confirmation that what the right thought was happening all along, which is a secret silencing system built into the software. Of blacklists was tagging right-wing conservative voices in the system.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 4:35 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter execs maintained hack framing despite internal pushback
“Jim Baker and Vijaya Gotti said, okay, that there were a lot of internal questions about whether that, that Hunter Biden story could be justified under the hacked policy. And there were many legitimate questions raised internally about whether they could maint…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 46:51 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files prove executives lied about shadowbanning political viewpoints
“You had statement after statement by Twitter executives like Jack Dorsey, like Vijaya, Gadi, like, you know, Yoel and others saying we do not shadow ban. And then they also said, we certainly, this is their emphasis, do not shadow ban on the basis of political…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 7:15 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter placed Jay Bhattacharya on a trends blacklist
“And then there were people who were banned from the trends blacklist, including a Stanford professor, Jay Bhattacharya.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 5:28 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Prediction Held up
Rabois: A flipped Congress will subpoena Twitter over foreign government influence
“But the government, if the U.S. Congress is turned over, there's gonna be a lot of subpoenas flying over to Twitter, because there are absolutely foreign governments influencing some of those decisions at Twitter.”
Keith Rabois May 26, 2022 ▶ 37:26 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
Prediction Held up
Palihapitiya: Trump will likely be allowed back on Twitter after three years
“I think all roads will probably lead to a conclusion that after three years, it's probably okay to let this guy back and be able to tweet.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 58:51 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Assertion Supported
Shellenberger: Twitter found minimal foreign influence from FBI-flagged accounts
“You'll repeatedly, you'll Roth would respond to FBI that, yeah, we looked into these accounts that you mentioned, and they were all very low follower accounts with very little activity. So they just weren't finding very much foreign influence on the Twitter pl…”
Michael Shellenberger Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 1:30:04 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter and Facebook did not know if laptop story was hacked
“Twitter and Facebook did not know.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 46:39 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Musk did not change Twitter content moderation rules post-acquisition
“The truth is Elon hasn't even had a chance To change anything about the content moderation policies. He's posted that, like, guys, I haven't even, I haven't changed anything about content moderation. Whatever the rules are, they're the same rules that existed …”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 3:49 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will probably close within weeks
“And so I think this deal is going to close. It's probably going to close in the next few weeks.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 7, 2022 ▶ 21:58 E99: Cheating scandals, Twitter updates, rapid AI advancements, Biden's pardon, Section 230 & more
Prediction Held up
Rabois: Elon Musk acquiring Twitter will be a bad financial investment
“Yes, Elon should buy Twitter to save the world, but it's not going to be a good financial investment.”
Keith Rabois May 26, 2022 ▶ 36:11 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Agrawal will be ousted immediately if Musk buys Twitter
“If Elon wins this battle, Parag is going to have the shortest executive career since that Pope who got poisoned.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 14:29 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
Assertion Supported
Nate Silver: 80% of voters agreed Joe Biden was too old
“Saying, Biden is obviously too old, Democrats, you're gonna lose unless you replace him. Like, that, even though it's a stance that, like, literally 80% of voters agreed with, will make you, like, seem like a heretic on Twitter.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 46:49 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter executives knew Hamilton 68 tracked American, not Russian, accounts
“Hamilton's 68 claimed that it was tracking 500 Russian accounts on social media Who were engaged in manipulation of online discourse? Well, as it turns out, executives inside of Twitter knew who these accounts were, and they were just American accounts, some C…”
David Sacks Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 23:32 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Alex Jones's final Twitter ban strike was for insulting a reporter
“And the third strike he received that That caused him to be banned from the Twitter platform by the former management was he actually insulted a reporter, which was a very borderline case.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:10:40 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Elon Musk leads companies with female top executives across Tesla, Twitter, SpaceX
“He has a female chairman at Tesla, a female CEO at Twitter, and a female president at SpaceX.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 19, 2023 ▶ 46:35 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Mastodon does not have nearly the distribution of Twitter
“And anybody who's thinking about going to like some knockoff like Mastodon or something is gonna have to contend with the fact that it doesn't have nearly the distribution.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 48:26 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims his tweets get 10-20x more reach than the NYT
“I didn't know that, but I just went over to the New York Times profile and my tweets are routinely getting 10 to 20 times more reach, more views than theirs.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 48:53 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter tagged Charlie Kirk with 'Do Not Amplify'
“Charlie Kirk, who is a conservative commentator, he was tagged with do not amplify.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 5:18 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter placed Dan Bongino on a search blacklist
“He was tagged with being on a search blacklist.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 4:57 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter loses a few hundred million dollars a quarter
“I think Twitter's losing, you know, a few hundred million dollars a quarter.”
David Sacks Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 13:26 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter had two employees working for Saudi Arabia
“Oh, they had Twitter had it. They had two people from the kingdom working there.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 1:18:32 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter failed to deliver Dorsey's promised algorithmic transparency to Congress
“I think we need some of the transparency that Jack Dorsey repeatedly promised at all the congressional hearings. Remember when he got hauled up there, he promised that they would give more transparency about the way that their algorithms worked. Where is that?…”
David Sacks Dec 17, 2021 ▶ 12:05 E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Incoming Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal rejected First Amendment principles
“Parag, who said last year in 2020, there's an article where he basically said that Twitter Does not need to follow the principles of the first amendment and its content moderation policy.”
David Sacks Dec 4, 2021 ▶ 1:07:57 E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Rachel Maddow's ivermectin tweets went unfact-checked on Twitter
“For some reason, the Rachel Maddow tweets went unfact checked. As far as I know, they're still unfact checked.”
David Sacks Sep 18, 2021 ▶ 1:32:23 E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom wins & more
Assertion Supported
Gracias: Twitter cut 80% of full-time staff following acquisition
“80% of the people gone. That doesn't include all the contractors that were there.”
Antonio Gracias Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 6:27 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Elon Musk fired 85 percent of Twitter's workforce after acquisition
“I saw what Elon did at Twitter. He went in and he fired 85% of the employees.”
David Sacks Feb 23, 2024 ▶ 1:03:55 E167: Google's Woke AI disaster, Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter sent a legal notice to Microsoft
“It's turns out Twitter sent a letter over to Microsoft as well.”
Jason Calacanis May 26, 2023 ▶ 1:07:23 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Linda Yaccarino will run Twitter except product and CTO
“She's gonna take over everything but product and CTO. Elon's gonna stick with that.”
Jason Calacanis May 19, 2023 ▶ 43:48 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Twitter will issue blue checks and affiliation badges to more users
“So more and more people are going to get blue checks, and then people are going to have secondary or even tertiary badges that are basically specific to their affiliations.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 50:50 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: CNBC's Deirdre Bosa publicly apologized for fake Twitter layoff report
“Several of them, including, I think, Deirdre Bosa from CNBC came out and publicly apologized for that report.”
David Friedberg Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 9:32 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Twitter was acquired at $172 per MAU versus Meta's $81
“I just sent you guys this link from this analyst and he said that Twitter was bought at 172 dollars per monthly active user compared to 81 dollars per monthly active user at Meta where they sit today.”
David Friedberg Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 7:23 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter seeks to depose him in Elon Musk lawsuit
“They want to depo me too”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 3:44 E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Social platforms' system integrity tools have eliminated 6 billion fake accounts
“I mean, obviously they have system integrity tools to figure this out. That's, there's no way you could have eliminated six billion accounts if that wasn't true.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 31, 2020 ▶ 1:04:20 E6: Big Tech antitrust aftermath, potential effects of an M&A clampdown on Silicon Valley & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Elon Musk chose single-class stock over dual-class for Twitter
“If you look at Elon's Twitter deal, there is no dual class. Everybody has, there's this one class of security. This is one type of stock. So it's simple majority voting. Elon actually had the choice of doing dual class and he decided not to.”
David Sacks Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 46:53 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
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