why aren't all 38 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed 80 FBI agents sending platform takedown requests
“Once that censorship power was created, It attracted powerful entities from our government who wanted to co-opt and use that power. That's what we saw in the Twitter files with the 80 FBI agents sending takedown requests.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter Files confirm secret blacklists tagged conservative voices
“We now have confirmation that what the right thought was happening all along, which is a secret silencing system built into the software. Of blacklists was tagging right-wing conservative voices in the system.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter execs maintained hack framing despite internal pushback
“Jim Baker and Vijaya Gotti said, okay, that there were a lot of internal questions about whether that, that Hunter Biden story could be justified under the hacked policy. And there were many legitimate questions raised internally about whether they could maint…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files prove executives lied about shadowbanning political viewpoints
“You had statement after statement by Twitter executives like Jack Dorsey, like Vijaya, Gadi, like, you know, Yoel and others saying we do not shadow ban. And then they also said, we certainly, this is their emphasis, do not shadow ban on the basis of political…”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter placed Jay Bhattacharya on a trends blacklist
“And then there were people who were banned from the trends blacklist, including a Stanford professor, Jay Bhattacharya.”
Prediction Held up
Rabois: A flipped Congress will subpoena Twitter over foreign government influence
“But the government, if the U.S. Congress is turned over, there's gonna be a lot of subpoenas flying over to Twitter, because there are absolutely foreign governments influencing some of those decisions at Twitter.”
Prediction Held up
Palihapitiya: Trump will likely be allowed back on Twitter after three years
“I think all roads will probably lead to a conclusion that after three years, it's probably okay to let this guy back and be able to tweet.”
Assertion Supported
Shellenberger: Twitter found minimal foreign influence from FBI-flagged accounts
“You'll repeatedly, you'll Roth would respond to FBI that, yeah, we looked into these accounts that you mentioned, and they were all very low follower accounts with very little activity. So they just weren't finding very much foreign influence on the Twitter pl…”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter and Facebook did not know if laptop story was hacked
“Twitter and Facebook did not know.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Musk did not change Twitter content moderation rules post-acquisition
“The truth is Elon hasn't even had a chance To change anything about the content moderation policies. He's posted that, like, guys, I haven't even, I haven't changed anything about content moderation. Whatever the rules are, they're the same rules that existed …”
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will probably close within weeks
“And so I think this deal is going to close. It's probably going to close in the next few weeks.”
Prediction Held up
Rabois: Elon Musk acquiring Twitter will be a bad financial investment
“Yes, Elon should buy Twitter to save the world, but it's not going to be a good financial investment.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Agrawal will be ousted immediately if Musk buys Twitter
“If Elon wins this battle, Parag is going to have the shortest executive career since that Pope who got poisoned.”
Assertion Supported
Nate Silver: 80% of voters agreed Joe Biden was too old
“Saying, Biden is obviously too old, Democrats, you're gonna lose unless you replace him. Like, that, even though it's a stance that, like, literally 80% of voters agreed with, will make you, like, seem like a heretic on Twitter.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter executives knew Hamilton 68 tracked American, not Russian, accounts
“Hamilton's 68 claimed that it was tracking 500 Russian accounts on social media Who were engaged in manipulation of online discourse? Well, as it turns out, executives inside of Twitter knew who these accounts were, and they were just American accounts, some C…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Alex Jones's final Twitter ban strike was for insulting a reporter
“And the third strike he received that That caused him to be banned from the Twitter platform by the former management was he actually insulted a reporter, which was a very borderline case.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Elon Musk leads companies with female top executives across Tesla, Twitter, SpaceX
“He has a female chairman at Tesla, a female CEO at Twitter, and a female president at SpaceX.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Mastodon does not have nearly the distribution of Twitter
“And anybody who's thinking about going to like some knockoff like Mastodon or something is gonna have to contend with the fact that it doesn't have nearly the distribution.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims his tweets get 10-20x more reach than the NYT
“I didn't know that, but I just went over to the New York Times profile and my tweets are routinely getting 10 to 20 times more reach, more views than theirs.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter tagged Charlie Kirk with 'Do Not Amplify'
“Charlie Kirk, who is a conservative commentator, he was tagged with do not amplify.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter placed Dan Bongino on a search blacklist
“He was tagged with being on a search blacklist.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter loses a few hundred million dollars a quarter
“I think Twitter's losing, you know, a few hundred million dollars a quarter.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter had two employees working for Saudi Arabia
“Oh, they had Twitter had it. They had two people from the kingdom working there.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter failed to deliver Dorsey's promised algorithmic transparency to Congress
“I think we need some of the transparency that Jack Dorsey repeatedly promised at all the congressional hearings. Remember when he got hauled up there, he promised that they would give more transparency about the way that their algorithms worked. Where is that?…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Incoming Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal rejected First Amendment principles
“Parag, who said last year in 2020, there's an article where he basically said that Twitter Does not need to follow the principles of the first amendment and its content moderation policy.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Rachel Maddow's ivermectin tweets went unfact-checked on Twitter
“For some reason, the Rachel Maddow tweets went unfact checked. As far as I know, they're still unfact checked.”
Assertion Supported
Gracias: Twitter cut 80% of full-time staff following acquisition
“80% of the people gone. That doesn't include all the contractors that were there.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Elon Musk fired 85 percent of Twitter's workforce after acquisition
“I saw what Elon did at Twitter. He went in and he fired 85% of the employees.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Twitter sent a legal notice to Microsoft
“It's turns out Twitter sent a letter over to Microsoft as well.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Linda Yaccarino will run Twitter except product and CTO
“She's gonna take over everything but product and CTO. Elon's gonna stick with that.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Twitter will issue blue checks and affiliation badges to more users
“So more and more people are going to get blue checks, and then people are going to have secondary or even tertiary badges that are basically specific to their affiliations.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: CNBC's Deirdre Bosa publicly apologized for fake Twitter layoff report
“Several of them, including, I think, Deirdre Bosa from CNBC came out and publicly apologized for that report.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Twitter was acquired at $172 per MAU versus Meta's $81
“I just sent you guys this link from this analyst and he said that Twitter was bought at 172 dollars per monthly active user compared to 81 dollars per monthly active user at Meta where they sit today.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter seeks to depose him in Elon Musk lawsuit
“They want to depo me too”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Social platforms' system integrity tools have eliminated 6 billion fake accounts
“I mean, obviously they have system integrity tools to figure this out. That's, there's no way you could have eliminated six billion accounts if that wasn't true.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Elon Musk chose single-class stock over dual-class for Twitter
“If you look at Elon's Twitter deal, there is no dual class. Everybody has, there's this one class of security. This is one type of stock. So it's simple majority voting. Elon actually had the choice of doing dual class and he decided not to.”