The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 107 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 17 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Friedberg notes SpaceX nearly tripled its valuation to $350 billion in 2024
“And SpaceX at like a three hundred fifty billion dollar valuation, like tripling from that level in a year.”
Friedberg: Starlink currently has 4 million subscribers
“Starlink's apparently, I mean, I know everyone here is a shareholder in SpaceX, but Starlink's running at four million subs right now.”
Russian Soyuz was the sole ISS crew transport from 2011 to 2020
“When the space shuttle retired, it left us our only option to continue sending humans up to the space station was a Russian Soyuz rocket. That situation changed in May of 2020. SpaceX made history. They launched NASA astronauts Bob Behnken and Doug Hurley on a…”
Musk: Starship has roughly three times the thrust of Saturn V
“Well, so, I mean, making a rocket that is more than twice the size of a Saturn V you know, it's in fact, with an X-ray of the rocket, it'll have roughly three times the thrust of a Saturn V moon rocket.”
Musk: SpaceX and Starlink have zero business presence in China
“SpaceX and Starlink have no business in China whatsoever. They're not allowed, you know, SpaceX doesn't launch China satellites, and Starlink is abandoned in China. So, to be clear, SpaceX, Starlink, zero business in China.”
Baker: SpaceX made 1,000+ improvements to next Starship before test flight
“The one that's going to launch in three months or two months or four months or five months or whenever it is, they've already made over a thousand discrete improvements to it. And that was before they got all the data for today.”
Baker: Falcon 9 carries 17 metric tons at $15M variable cost
“The Falcon nine. Mass to useful orbit is 17 metric tons, and the variable cost that, you know, I have seen Elon tweet about is somewhere around fifteen million dollars.”
Sacks: SpaceX has FCC permission for 12,000 Starlink satellites
“SpaceX has gotten permission from the FCC to put up about 12,000 Starlink satellites”