The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 128 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Disclosure
Mensch: Mistral AI will train next-gen frontier models with NVIDIA
“Well, we are announcing that we are going to be training the next generation of Frontier models with NVIDIA.”
Arthur Mensch Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 1:07:38 Four CEOs on the Future of AI: CoreWeave, Perplexity, Mistral, and IREN
Disclosure
Huang: Nvidia is exploring space data center architectures, which will take years
“We're going to explore what is the architecture of data centers look like in space, and it'll take years.”
Jensen Huang Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 48:42 Jensen Huang: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
Assertion Partly supported
Loosararian: NVIDIA invested $1B into Skild AI at $14B valuation
“NVIDIA, I think, just put a billion dollars into skilled AI, which is creating the brain for robots. Actually at a fourteen billion dollar evaluation”
Jake Loosararian Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 1:33:12 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
Opinion
Sorkin: RCA was the Nvidia of the 1920s technological boom
“So RCA was like the Nvidia of its time.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 5:56 1929 vs 2025: Andrew Ross Sorkin on Crashes, Bubbles & Lessons Learned
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Nvidia trades at lower P/E ratio than at $200 share price
“The reality today is NVIDIA trades at a lower price to earnings multiple than it did when it was 200 dollars a share.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 57:12 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Assertion Supported
Haas: Nvidia is an Arm customer rather than a direct competitor
“NVIDIA is a customer of ours, so I'm not gonna say Jensen is my competitor today.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:12 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pichai: Everyone in the AI industry will attempt custom silicon alongside GPUs
“And I do think, look, I do think everyone in the industry is going to try and do something like that, but, you know, it's you know, NVIDIA's R&D and their ability to,”
Sundar Pichai May 16, 2025 ▶ 20:40 Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet | The All-In Interview
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Nvidia SEC filings show 47% of revenue in China, Singapore, Taiwan
“When you look at the SEC filings for Nvidia and you add up all the revenue, it says that about 47% of the revenue goes to China, Singapore, Taiwan, I think it was.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 54:33 Trump Rally or Bessent Put? Elon Back at Tesla, Google's Gemini Problem, China's Thorium Discovery
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Nvidia H20 chip has 20% more memory bandwidth than H100
“And if you look at the memory bandwidth on the H-Twenty, it actually has 20% more memory bandwidth than the H-One-Hundred.”
David Sacks Apr 19, 2025 ▶ 9:59 Trump vs Harvard, Nvidia export controls, how DEI killed Hollywood with Tim Dillon
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Lower revenue concentration among cloud hyperscalers strengthens Nvidia's pricing leverage
“Their incremental share of revenue went down and that was nothing but good for NVIDIA because they now have kind of a more fragmented base of buyers who have less power over them.”
Gavin Baker Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 4:00 The AI Cold War, Signalgate, CoreWeave IPO, Tariff Endgames, El Salvador Deportations
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Broadcom is a $1.12T business that receives little attention
“Is that it is the only trillion dollar company that nobody talks about. Everybody knows Nvidia. Everybody knows Amazon Meta, but Broadcom is a 1.12 trillion dollar business.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:45:13 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Assertion Supported
Laffont: Nvidia's Jensen Huang is Silicon Valley's longest-tenured founder CEO
“And you get to back a founder like Jensen at NVIDIA, who many people don't know, but is the longest tenured founder CEO in Silicon Valley.”
Thomas Laffont Sep 26, 2024 ▶ 13:53 Thomas Laffont | All-In Summit 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Nvidia Q1 revenue reached $26 billion, up 260% year-over-year
“NVIDIA reported earnings for the fiscal Q one revenue was twenty six billion up 18% quarter of a quarter, 260% year over year.”
Jason Calacanis May 24, 2024 ▶ 25:44 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: $22B of Nvidia's $26B Q1 revenue came from data centers
“If you look at NVIDIA's revenue, they did twenty six billion dollars of total revenue in the quarter, twenty two billion of which was data center, and about 40% of that Was from the top four hyperscalers.”
David Friedberg May 24, 2024 ▶ 35:35 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Supported
Nvidia reports $22.1B Q4 revenue and 9x net income growth
“Q four revenue, 22.1 billion. That's up 22% quarter over quarter, up 265% year over year. The net income was 12.3 billion, nine X year over year.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 23, 2024 ▶ 3:19 E167: Google's Woke AI disaster, Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Nvidia's best decades lie ahead and will benefit America
“It's best years, it's best decades are in front of it, obviously. This is going to be a massive boon for not only NVIDIA, but for America, or as I say, America.”
Jason Calacanis May 26, 2023 ▶ 1:00:32 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Nvidia is currently trading at 70 times next twelve months EBITDA
“When you look at the valuation of the business, they are currently trading at 70 times The next 12 months EBITDA.”
David Friedberg May 26, 2023 ▶ 1:01:20 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
Assertion Supported
Chamath: 13Fs show hedge funds and family offices long Nvidia and AMD
“And it turns out if you look at their 13 Fs, they're all long NVIDIA and AMD.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 19, 2023 ▶ 9:15 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
Assertion Partly supported
Huang: Nvidia has 43,000 employees, including 38,000 engineers
“We have 43,000 employees, you know, I would say 38,000 are engineers.”
Jensen Huang Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 23:27 Jensen Huang: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
Disclosure
Huang: Nvidia is a large consumer of Anthropic technology
“We are a large consumer of Anthropic technology.”
Jensen Huang Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 18:56 Jensen Huang: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
Assertion Partly supported
Huang: Nvidia has radiation-hardened CUDA hardware deployed in satellites
“We're already radiation-hardened. We have CUDA in satellites around the world.”
Jensen Huang Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 48:20 Jensen Huang: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Nvidia created $4.2 trillion in market value over 36 months
“NVIDIA, four and a half trillion market cap, that's up from 300,000,000,036 months ago. So this is a company that in 36 months created 4.2 trillion dollars of market value.”
David Friedberg Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 1:09:22 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Disclosure
Huang: NVIDIA discloses product roadmaps to partners a year in advance
“We disclose our roadmap to all of our partners a year in advance.”
Jensen Huang Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 48:43 Winning the AI Race Part 3: Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, James Litinsky, Chase Lochmiller
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Nvidia NVL server cabinet stands 8 feet tall and weighs 3,600 pounds
“The NVIDIA data center product, NVL-CVII, is this giant server cabinet. It's eight feet tall. It weighs 3600 pounds.”
David Sacks May 24, 2025 ▶ 1:06:01 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: CoreWeave operates 32 data centers with 250,000 NVIDIA GPUs
“They've got 32 data centers with 250,000 NVIDIA GPUs.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 54:03 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Broadcom grew 8x and Nvidia 20x while Intel dropped 70%
“Well, what's really interesting is that in the last five years, the market cap's grown by eight X, Nvidia's grown by 20 X, but, you know, Intel over the last five years is what, down 70%?”
David Friedberg Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:46:51 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Nvidia briefly surpassed Apple in market capitalization
“Actually today, NVIDIA passed Apple for a moment in time.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 19:35 DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
Assertion Supported
Jason Calacanis: Nvidia Q2 net income rose 843% year-over-year to $6B
“Q two net income. Six billion dollars up 843% year over year.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 10:52 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Assertion Supported
Jason Calacanis: Nvidia Q2 revenue reached $13.5B, up 101% year-over-year
“Q two revenue, 13.5 billion. Up a 101% year over year. That's extraordinary on that large of a number, but up 88% quarter over quarter.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 10:38 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Assertion Supported
JCal: Seven tech stocks drive most of 2023 stock market gains
“Seven stocks make up the mo- most of the gains this year. Meta, Tesla, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 8:33 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Assertion Contradicted
Huang: Nvidia introduced AI factory operating system Dynamo two years ago
“Two and a half years ago, I introduced the operating system of the AI factory, and it's called Dynamo.”
Jensen Huang Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 1:02 Jensen Huang: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
Assertion Contradicted
Feldman: Nvidia's stock price remained flat between 2004 and 2010
“If you look at NVIDIA's stock price from 2004 to 2010, it was flat.”
Andrew Feldman Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 42:13 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
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