The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 24:01 In conversation with President Trump
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Turkey faces risk of being challenged in NATO in 2024
“I think there's a risk that Turkey gets challenged to leave NATO. That a lot of what's going on right now where Turkey is siding with Hamas, this has obviously been talked about and rumored about for a long time. There's no real mechanism, by the way, for kick…”
David Friedberg Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 47:01 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: White House will confirm Blinken's Ukraine-NATO remarks as official policy
“At the next White House press conference, you will hear the question asked by reporters, is this the White House position? And they will say, yes, it is.”
David Friedberg Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 1:21:50 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: NATO members must spend 2% GDP on approved Western defense contractors
“Because all these countries, when they join NATO, agree to spend two percent of their GDP on defense. And they can only spend that money on defense contractors who are interoperable with the NATO platform, which is basically these approved Western contractors.”
David Sacks Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 1:17:14 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
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