The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Google's Gemini AI refused to generate images of white people
“But earlier this week, users on X started noticing that Gemini would not generate images of white people, even when prompted.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 23, 2024 ▶ 50:27 E167: Google's Woke AI disaster, Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Grok 3 has eclipsed Gemini, DeepSeek, Claude, and ChatGPT-4o
“Grok III has now eclipsed Gemini, which is Google's LLM, and DeepSeq from China, Quad, and ChatGPT-IVO.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 22, 2025 ▶ 1:28:14 The Stablecoin Future, Milei's Memecoin, DOGE for the DoD, Grok 3, Why Stripe Stays Private
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Gemini surpassed 950 million MAUs in Q2
“In Q two, Gemini had over 950 monthly active users tripling year over year.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 13:34 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Gemini reached 15 percent AI traffic as OpenAI share dropped
“A little over a year ago, they were at 90% plus market share in generative AI traffic. And today Gemini is at 14, 15%.”
David Friedberg Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 6:08 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg claims users abandoned Google Gemini over historically inaccurate, biased outputs
“When Gemini put out saying George Washington was black, people stopped using it. They're like, this thing's a joke.”
David Friedberg Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 1:12:30 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Prediction Partly held up
Baker: Next-gen AI models will be trained on Blackwell GPUs
“The next models we see, you know, Grok five, you know, O five from open AI, whatever they're going to call Jim, the next Gemini. They will be trained on Blackwell, and I think that will be a really big step function.”
Gavin Baker Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 21:16 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Assertion Supported
Hassabis says billions of people now interact with Google Gemini models
“So, you know, billions of people now interact with Gemini models, whether that's through AI overview, AI mode, or the Gemini app.”
Demis Hassabis Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 3:25 Inside Google DeepMind: AGI, Robotics, & World Models Explained - Demis Hassabis
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