Jul 10, 2026 · 1h 3m · allin

Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese’s AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs

Jason Calacanis · 24m spoken Andrew Feldman · 19m spoken Robin Rombach · 11m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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In this episode of the All-In Podcast, host Jason Calacanis interviews Cerebras CEO Andrew Feldman and Black Forest Labs CEO Robin Rombach to explore the massive global AI infrastructure buildout, the emergence of AGI and reasoning models, and the evolution of multimodal visual AI into robotics.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 43.8% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 4.7 Guest teaching 4.8 Guest disagreement 1.2 The hosts pushing back 1.4
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:00:001:49–4:22 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Physical Scale of Data Centers and Cerebras's $25B Backlog Jason introduces the massive scale of AI infrastructure buildout, prompting Feldman to explain the physical footprint and power requirements of modern data centers. Feldman reveals Cerebras's $25B backlog, highlighting unprecedented demand that outstrips hardware capacity.4:22–8:10 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Token Maxing, Costco Analogy, and Enterprise Cost Control Jason questions whether token maxing generates real enterprise value or wasteful experimentation. Feldman reframes enterprise AI adoption using a Costco shopping analogy, showing how chaotic initial usage evolves into strategic cost management.8:10–10:13 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Reasoning Models in Action: BitTensor Autonomous Trend Hunting Jason shares his personal testing of autonomous agents via BitTensor that debated trend hunting internally. Feldman identifies this behavior as a reasoning model actively evaluating intent in real time.10:13–12:50 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine Hardware and Long-Horizon Thinking Jason highlights that reasoning requires high inference compute, leading Feldman to showcase physical wafer-scale silicon. Feldman emphasizes how high-speed compute makes long-horizon reasoning tractable.12:50–16:10 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Crushing Moore's Law and Custom Hyperscaler Silicon Jason probes whether hyperscalers building custom chips are just flexing for lower Nvidia pricing or genuinely competing. Feldman explains historical platform dependencies on Intel and GPUs that drive tech giants to control their own destiny.16:10–20:29 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Open Source AI Progress, Data Sovereignty, and National Security Jason advocates for open source models while Feldman draws a distinction between daily routine tasks and frontier model tasks. Feldman interrupts Jason's points about Nvidia to argue that America needs domestic open source champions to counter foreign models.20:29–25:11 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Frontier Model Governance, Political Polarization, and Red Teaming Jason asks whether government red teaming and delayed model releases are political gamesmanship or necessary safety measures. Feldman defends government red teaming by comparing AI safety checks to pharmaceutical trials.25:11–29:16 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities, Black Swans, and AI-Driven Inquiries Jason cites Palo Alto Networks discovering unrecorded vulnerabilities using AI reasoning. Feldman warns of inevitable black swan data breaches that the industry must steel itself for in advance.29:16–33:20 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Reaching AGI, Passing the Turing Test, and Exponential Loops Jason argues that AGI has effectively been achieved by definitions established decades ago. Feldman agrees, noting the Turing test has been surpassed and explaining how recursive loop maxing drives exponential model performance.33:20–37:46 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Organizational Friction, World Models, and Generational Learning Speeds Jason explores future limits of AI problem solving while Feldman points out that human organizational friction remains the primary bottleneck. Feldman explains how AI iteration operates at Drosophila fruit-fly speeds compared to human generational timeframes.37:46–40:22 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Technological Abundance, Curing Cancer, and Personal AI Tutors Jason contrasts doom-laden AI narratives with Feldman's optimistic outlook. Feldman argues AI offers concrete opportunities to eradicate cancer deaths and provide Socratic tutors to every child.40:22–43:52 · The hosts as informed peer 2/10 Sponsor Read: Nasdaq Global Marketplace Platform Jason reads a sponsor message for Nasdaq before introducing Robin Rombach of Black Forest Labs. Rombach explains his background inventing latent diffusion and neural compression algorithms during his PhD.43:52–46:29 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Intuitive Intelligence, Controllable Generative Media, and Real-World Physics Jason asks if video generation proves models understand physical world dynamics. Rombach distinguishes between intuitive visual intelligence and deep reasoning, showing how multimodal pre-training yields implicit physics models.46:29–49:25 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 AI Tools in Filmmaking and Collaborating with Martin Scorsese Jason asks how close AI video generation is to creating full feature films like Goodfellas rather than five-second clips. Rombach shares details of sitting with Martin Scorsese to turn mental concepts into visual storyboards.49:25–52:22 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Human-in-the-Loop Workflows and Historical Pre-Production Analogies Jason connects generative AI workflows to classic movie pre-production methods used by Ridley Scott and George Lucas. Rombach agrees that human-in-the-loop creative iteration yields the most compelling results.52:22–54:40 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 AI in Movie Production and Physical AI Robot Integration Jason shares an insider account from Gal Gadot using generative backgrounds instead of green screens to cut movie budgets by $120M. Rombach notes how rapidly quality scaled from 64x64 pixel images to multi-minute video models.54:40–58:01 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 World Action Models and Data Strategies for Robotics Training Jason asks whether robotics training relies on synthetic generation or real-world video recording with sensory gloves. Rombach explains fine-tuning visual models for action prediction and striving for in-context physical prompting.58:01–1:02:03 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Open Source Strategy, Corporate IP Rights, and Fan Content Jason asks how IP holders like Disney should navigate open source versus proprietary models. Jason proposes licensing frameworks for fan-created content like Star Wars Untold Stories while Rombach highlights IP filtering safeguards.1:49–4:22 · Guest teaching 5/10 Physical Scale of Data Centers and Cerebras's $25B Backlog Jason introduces the massive scale of AI infrastructure buildout, prompting Feldman to explain the physical footprint and power requirements of modern data centers. Feldman reveals Cerebras's $25B backlog, highlighting unprecedented demand that outstrips hardware capacity.4:22–8:10 · Guest teaching 5/10 Token Maxing, Costco Analogy, and Enterprise Cost Control Jason questions whether token maxing generates real enterprise value or wasteful experimentation. Feldman reframes enterprise AI adoption using a Costco shopping analogy, showing how chaotic initial usage evolves into strategic cost management.8:10–10:13 · Guest teaching 4/10 Reasoning Models in Action: BitTensor Autonomous Trend Hunting Jason shares his personal testing of autonomous agents via BitTensor that debated trend hunting internally. Feldman identifies this behavior as a reasoning model actively evaluating intent in real time.10:13–12:50 · Guest teaching 4/10 Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine Hardware and Long-Horizon Thinking Jason highlights that reasoning requires high inference compute, leading Feldman to showcase physical wafer-scale silicon. Feldman emphasizes how high-speed compute makes long-horizon reasoning tractable.12:50–16:10 · Guest teaching 5/10 Crushing Moore's Law and Custom Hyperscaler Silicon Jason probes whether hyperscalers building custom chips are just flexing for lower Nvidia pricing or genuinely competing. Feldman explains historical platform dependencies on Intel and GPUs that drive tech giants to control their own destiny.16:10–20:29 · Guest teaching 5/10 Open Source AI Progress, Data Sovereignty, and National Security Jason advocates for open source models while Feldman draws a distinction between daily routine tasks and frontier model tasks. Feldman interrupts Jason's points about Nvidia to argue that America needs domestic open source champions to counter foreign models.20:29–25:11 · Guest teaching 5/10 Frontier Model Governance, Political Polarization, and Red Teaming Jason asks whether government red teaming and delayed model releases are political gamesmanship or necessary safety measures. Feldman defends government red teaming by comparing AI safety checks to pharmaceutical trials.25:11–29:16 · Guest teaching 4/10 Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities, Black Swans, and AI-Driven Inquiries Jason cites Palo Alto Networks discovering unrecorded vulnerabilities using AI reasoning. Feldman warns of inevitable black swan data breaches that the industry must steel itself for in advance.29:16–33:20 · Guest teaching 4/10 Reaching AGI, Passing the Turing Test, and Exponential Loops Jason argues that AGI has effectively been achieved by definitions established decades ago. Feldman agrees, noting the Turing test has been surpassed and explaining how recursive loop maxing drives exponential model performance.33:20–37:46 · Guest teaching 6/10 Organizational Friction, World Models, and Generational Learning Speeds Jason explores future limits of AI problem solving while Feldman points out that human organizational friction remains the primary bottleneck. Feldman explains how AI iteration operates at Drosophila fruit-fly speeds compared to human generational timeframes.37:46–40:22 · Guest teaching 5/10 Technological Abundance, Curing Cancer, and Personal AI Tutors Jason contrasts doom-laden AI narratives with Feldman's optimistic outlook. Feldman argues AI offers concrete opportunities to eradicate cancer deaths and provide Socratic tutors to every child.40:22–43:52 · Guest teaching 5/10 Sponsor Read: Nasdaq Global Marketplace Platform Jason reads a sponsor message for Nasdaq before introducing Robin Rombach of Black Forest Labs. Rombach explains his background inventing latent diffusion and neural compression algorithms during his PhD.43:52–46:29 · Guest teaching 5/10 Intuitive Intelligence, Controllable Generative Media, and Real-World Physics Jason asks if video generation proves models understand physical world dynamics. Rombach distinguishes between intuitive visual intelligence and deep reasoning, showing how multimodal pre-training yields implicit physics models.46:29–49:25 · Guest teaching 5/10 AI Tools in Filmmaking and Collaborating with Martin Scorsese Jason asks how close AI video generation is to creating full feature films like Goodfellas rather than five-second clips. Rombach shares details of sitting with Martin Scorsese to turn mental concepts into visual storyboards.49:25–52:22 · Guest teaching 4/10 Human-in-the-Loop Workflows and Historical Pre-Production Analogies Jason connects generative AI workflows to classic movie pre-production methods used by Ridley Scott and George Lucas. Rombach agrees that human-in-the-loop creative iteration yields the most compelling results.52:22–54:40 · Guest teaching 5/10 AI in Movie Production and Physical AI Robot Integration Jason shares an insider account from Gal Gadot using generative backgrounds instead of green screens to cut movie budgets by $120M. Rombach notes how rapidly quality scaled from 64x64 pixel images to multi-minute video models.54:40–58:01 · Guest teaching 6/10 World Action Models and Data Strategies for Robotics Training Jason asks whether robotics training relies on synthetic generation or real-world video recording with sensory gloves. Rombach explains fine-tuning visual models for action prediction and striving for in-context physical prompting.58:01–1:02:03 · Guest teaching 4/10 Open Source Strategy, Corporate IP Rights, and Fan Content Jason asks how IP holders like Disney should navigate open source versus proprietary models. Jason proposes licensing frameworks for fan-created content like Star Wars Untold Stories while Rombach highlights IP filtering safeguards.1:49–4:22 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Physical Scale of Data Centers and Cerebras's $25B Backlog Jason introduces the massive scale of AI infrastructure buildout, prompting Feldman to explain the physical footprint and power requirements of modern data centers. Feldman reveals Cerebras's $25B backlog, highlighting unprecedented demand that outstrips hardware capacity.4:22–8:10 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Token Maxing, Costco Analogy, and Enterprise Cost Control Jason questions whether token maxing generates real enterprise value or wasteful experimentation. Feldman reframes enterprise AI adoption using a Costco shopping analogy, showing how chaotic initial usage evolves into strategic cost management.8:10–10:13 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Reasoning Models in Action: BitTensor Autonomous Trend Hunting Jason shares his personal testing of autonomous agents via BitTensor that debated trend hunting internally. Feldman identifies this behavior as a reasoning model actively evaluating intent in real time.10:13–12:50 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine Hardware and Long-Horizon Thinking Jason highlights that reasoning requires high inference compute, leading Feldman to showcase physical wafer-scale silicon. Feldman emphasizes how high-speed compute makes long-horizon reasoning tractable.12:50–16:10 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Crushing Moore's Law and Custom Hyperscaler Silicon Jason probes whether hyperscalers building custom chips are just flexing for lower Nvidia pricing or genuinely competing. Feldman explains historical platform dependencies on Intel and GPUs that drive tech giants to control their own destiny.16:10–20:29 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Open Source AI Progress, Data Sovereignty, and National Security Jason advocates for open source models while Feldman draws a distinction between daily routine tasks and frontier model tasks. Feldman interrupts Jason's points about Nvidia to argue that America needs domestic open source champions to counter foreign models.20:29–25:11 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Frontier Model Governance, Political Polarization, and Red Teaming Jason asks whether government red teaming and delayed model releases are political gamesmanship or necessary safety measures. Feldman defends government red teaming by comparing AI safety checks to pharmaceutical trials.25:11–29:16 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities, Black Swans, and AI-Driven Inquiries Jason cites Palo Alto Networks discovering unrecorded vulnerabilities using AI reasoning. Feldman warns of inevitable black swan data breaches that the industry must steel itself for in advance.29:16–33:20 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Reaching AGI, Passing the Turing Test, and Exponential Loops Jason argues that AGI has effectively been achieved by definitions established decades ago. Feldman agrees, noting the Turing test has been surpassed and explaining how recursive loop maxing drives exponential model performance.33:20–37:46 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Organizational Friction, World Models, and Generational Learning Speeds Jason explores future limits of AI problem solving while Feldman points out that human organizational friction remains the primary bottleneck. Feldman explains how AI iteration operates at Drosophila fruit-fly speeds compared to human generational timeframes.37:46–40:22 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Technological Abundance, Curing Cancer, and Personal AI Tutors Jason contrasts doom-laden AI narratives with Feldman's optimistic outlook. Feldman argues AI offers concrete opportunities to eradicate cancer deaths and provide Socratic tutors to every child.40:22–43:52 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Sponsor Read: Nasdaq Global Marketplace Platform Jason reads a sponsor message for Nasdaq before introducing Robin Rombach of Black Forest Labs. Rombach explains his background inventing latent diffusion and neural compression algorithms during his PhD.43:52–46:29 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Intuitive Intelligence, Controllable Generative Media, and Real-World Physics Jason asks if video generation proves models understand physical world dynamics. Rombach distinguishes between intuitive visual intelligence and deep reasoning, showing how multimodal pre-training yields implicit physics models.46:29–49:25 · Guest disagreement 1/10 AI Tools in Filmmaking and Collaborating with Martin Scorsese Jason asks how close AI video generation is to creating full feature films like Goodfellas rather than five-second clips. Rombach shares details of sitting with Martin Scorsese to turn mental concepts into visual storyboards.49:25–52:22 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Human-in-the-Loop Workflows and Historical Pre-Production Analogies Jason connects generative AI workflows to classic movie pre-production methods used by Ridley Scott and George Lucas. Rombach agrees that human-in-the-loop creative iteration yields the most compelling results.52:22–54:40 · Guest disagreement 1/10 AI in Movie Production and Physical AI Robot Integration Jason shares an insider account from Gal Gadot using generative backgrounds instead of green screens to cut movie budgets by $120M. Rombach notes how rapidly quality scaled from 64x64 pixel images to multi-minute video models.54:40–58:01 · Guest disagreement 1/10 World Action Models and Data Strategies for Robotics Training Jason asks whether robotics training relies on synthetic generation or real-world video recording with sensory gloves. Rombach explains fine-tuning visual models for action prediction and striving for in-context physical prompting.58:01–1:02:03 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Open Source Strategy, Corporate IP Rights, and Fan Content Jason asks how IP holders like Disney should navigate open source versus proprietary models. Jason proposes licensing frameworks for fan-created content like Star Wars Untold Stories while Rombach highlights IP filtering safeguards.1:49–4:22 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Physical Scale of Data Centers and Cerebras's $25B Backlog Jason introduces the massive scale of AI infrastructure buildout, prompting Feldman to explain the physical footprint and power requirements of modern data centers. Feldman reveals Cerebras's $25B backlog, highlighting unprecedented demand that outstrips hardware capacity.4:22–8:10 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Token Maxing, Costco Analogy, and Enterprise Cost Control Jason questions whether token maxing generates real enterprise value or wasteful experimentation. Feldman reframes enterprise AI adoption using a Costco shopping analogy, showing how chaotic initial usage evolves into strategic cost management.8:10–10:13 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Reasoning Models in Action: BitTensor Autonomous Trend Hunting Jason shares his personal testing of autonomous agents via BitTensor that debated trend hunting internally. Feldman identifies this behavior as a reasoning model actively evaluating intent in real time.10:13–12:50 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine Hardware and Long-Horizon Thinking Jason highlights that reasoning requires high inference compute, leading Feldman to showcase physical wafer-scale silicon. Feldman emphasizes how high-speed compute makes long-horizon reasoning tractable.12:50–16:10 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 Crushing Moore's Law and Custom Hyperscaler Silicon Jason probes whether hyperscalers building custom chips are just flexing for lower Nvidia pricing or genuinely competing. Feldman explains historical platform dependencies on Intel and GPUs that drive tech giants to control their own destiny.16:10–20:29 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Open Source AI Progress, Data Sovereignty, and National Security Jason advocates for open source models while Feldman draws a distinction between daily routine tasks and frontier model tasks. Feldman interrupts Jason's points about Nvidia to argue that America needs domestic open source champions to counter foreign models.20:29–25:11 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Frontier Model Governance, Political Polarization, and Red Teaming Jason asks whether government red teaming and delayed model releases are political gamesmanship or necessary safety measures. Feldman defends government red teaming by comparing AI safety checks to pharmaceutical trials.25:11–29:16 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities, Black Swans, and AI-Driven Inquiries Jason cites Palo Alto Networks discovering unrecorded vulnerabilities using AI reasoning. Feldman warns of inevitable black swan data breaches that the industry must steel itself for in advance.29:16–33:20 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Reaching AGI, Passing the Turing Test, and Exponential Loops Jason argues that AGI has effectively been achieved by definitions established decades ago. Feldman agrees, noting the Turing test has been surpassed and explaining how recursive loop maxing drives exponential model performance.33:20–37:46 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Organizational Friction, World Models, and Generational Learning Speeds Jason explores future limits of AI problem solving while Feldman points out that human organizational friction remains the primary bottleneck. Feldman explains how AI iteration operates at Drosophila fruit-fly speeds compared to human generational timeframes.37:46–40:22 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Technological Abundance, Curing Cancer, and Personal AI Tutors Jason contrasts doom-laden AI narratives with Feldman's optimistic outlook. Feldman argues AI offers concrete opportunities to eradicate cancer deaths and provide Socratic tutors to every child.40:22–43:52 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Sponsor Read: Nasdaq Global Marketplace Platform Jason reads a sponsor message for Nasdaq before introducing Robin Rombach of Black Forest Labs. Rombach explains his background inventing latent diffusion and neural compression algorithms during his PhD.43:52–46:29 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Intuitive Intelligence, Controllable Generative Media, and Real-World Physics Jason asks if video generation proves models understand physical world dynamics. Rombach distinguishes between intuitive visual intelligence and deep reasoning, showing how multimodal pre-training yields implicit physics models.46:29–49:25 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 AI Tools in Filmmaking and Collaborating with Martin Scorsese Jason asks how close AI video generation is to creating full feature films like Goodfellas rather than five-second clips. Rombach shares details of sitting with Martin Scorsese to turn mental concepts into visual storyboards.49:25–52:22 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Human-in-the-Loop Workflows and Historical Pre-Production Analogies Jason connects generative AI workflows to classic movie pre-production methods used by Ridley Scott and George Lucas. Rombach agrees that human-in-the-loop creative iteration yields the most compelling results.52:22–54:40 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 AI in Movie Production and Physical AI Robot Integration Jason shares an insider account from Gal Gadot using generative backgrounds instead of green screens to cut movie budgets by $120M. Rombach notes how rapidly quality scaled from 64x64 pixel images to multi-minute video models.54:40–58:01 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 World Action Models and Data Strategies for Robotics Training Jason asks whether robotics training relies on synthetic generation or real-world video recording with sensory gloves. Rombach explains fine-tuning visual models for action prediction and striving for in-context physical prompting.58:01–1:02:03 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Open Source Strategy, Corporate IP Rights, and Fan Content Jason asks how IP holders like Disney should navigate open source versus proprietary models. Jason proposes licensing frameworks for fan-created content like Star Wars Untold Stories while Rombach highlights IP filtering safeguards.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 66.7% · guest 33.3%0:00 · the hosts 66.7% · guest 33.3%3:00 · the hosts 34.9% · guest 65.1%3:00 · the hosts 34.9% · guest 65.1%6:00 · the hosts 58% · guest 42%6:00 · the hosts 58% · guest 42%9:00 · the hosts 61.6% · guest 38.4%9:00 · the hosts 61.6% · guest 38.4%12:00 · the hosts 39.4% · guest 60.6%12:00 · the hosts 39.4% · guest 60.6%15:00 · the hosts 35.1% · guest 64.9%15:00 · the hosts 35.1% · guest 64.9%18:00 · the hosts 50.8% · guest 49.2%18:00 · the hosts 50.8% · guest 49.2%21:00 · the hosts 27.5% · guest 72.5%21:00 · the hosts 27.5% · guest 72.5%24:00 · the hosts 34.1% · guest 65.9%24:00 · the hosts 34.1% · guest 65.9%27:00 · the hosts 53.3% · guest 46.7%27:00 · the hosts 53.3% · guest 46.7%30:00 · the hosts 37% · guest 63%30:00 · the hosts 37% · guest 63%33:00 · the hosts 41.1% · guest 58.9%33:00 · the hosts 41.1% · guest 58.9%36:00 · the hosts 39.6% · guest 60.4%36:00 · the hosts 39.6% · guest 60.4%39:00 · the hosts 48.3% · guest 51.7%39:00 · the hosts 48.3% · guest 51.7%42:00 · the hosts 21.1% · guest 78.9%42:00 · the hosts 21.1% · guest 78.9%45:00 · the hosts 55.6% · guest 44.4%45:00 · the hosts 55.6% · guest 44.4%48:00 · the hosts 26.2% · guest 73.8%48:00 · the hosts 26.2% · guest 73.8%51:00 · the hosts 63.2% · guest 36.8%51:00 · the hosts 63.2% · guest 36.8%54:00 · the hosts 37.7% · guest 62.3%54:00 · the hosts 37.7% · guest 62.3%57:00 · the hosts 36.9% · guest 63.1%57:00 · the hosts 36.9% · guest 63.1%1:00:00 · the hosts 48.9% · guest 51.1%1:00:00 · the hosts 48.9% · guest 51.1%1:03:00 · the hosts 60.1% · guest 39.9%1:03:00 · the hosts 60.1% · guest 39.9%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 19:05 Feldman cuts off Jason on Nvidia strategy

Feldman interrupts Jason mid-sentence as Jason brings up Nvidia, redirecting the debate toward the national security imperative of domestic open source models over Chinese alternatives.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 14:50 Jason challenges hyperscaler custom chip motives

Jason refuses to accept the standard PR framing around hyperscaler silicon, directly asking whether projects like Amazon's or OpenAI's custom chips are genuine hardware ventures or calculated flexes to force price concessions from Nvidia.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 35:57 Feldman presents Drosophila fruit fly learning speed model

Feldman re-educates Jason on the speed of technological evolution by pointing out that human knowledge transfers across decades-long human generations, whereas AI models iterate across thousands of generational equivalent cycles at the speed of fruit flies.

The host holds their own ▶ 25:21 Jason brings specific enterprise security proof from Palo Alto Networks

Jason demonstrates high domain expertise by citing direct conversations with Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora regarding AI agents discovering previously unknown critical vulnerabilities during automated code auditing.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Physical Scale of Data Centers and Cerebras's $25B Backlog 3511 Jason introduces the massive scale of AI infrastructure buildout, prompting Feldman to explain the physical footprint and power requirements of modern data centers. Feldman reveals Cerebras's $25B backlog, highlighting unprecedented demand that outstrips hardware capacity.
Token Maxing, Costco Analogy, and Enterprise Cost Control 4512 Jason questions whether token maxing generates real enterprise value or wasteful experimentation. Feldman reframes enterprise AI adoption using a Costco shopping analogy, showing how chaotic initial usage evolves into strategic cost management.
Reasoning Models in Action: BitTensor Autonomous Trend Hunting 5411 Jason shares his personal testing of autonomous agents via BitTensor that debated trend hunting internally. Feldman identifies this behavior as a reasoning model actively evaluating intent in real time.
Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine Hardware and Long-Horizon Thinking 4411 Jason highlights that reasoning requires high inference compute, leading Feldman to showcase physical wafer-scale silicon. Feldman emphasizes how high-speed compute makes long-horizon reasoning tractable.
Crushing Moore's Law and Custom Hyperscaler Silicon 6524 Jason probes whether hyperscalers building custom chips are just flexing for lower Nvidia pricing or genuinely competing. Feldman explains historical platform dependencies on Intel and GPUs that drive tech giants to control their own destiny.
Open Source AI Progress, Data Sovereignty, and National Security 6533 Jason advocates for open source models while Feldman draws a distinction between daily routine tasks and frontier model tasks. Feldman interrupts Jason's points about Nvidia to argue that America needs domestic open source champions to counter foreign models.
Frontier Model Governance, Political Polarization, and Red Teaming 5523 Jason asks whether government red teaming and delayed model releases are political gamesmanship or necessary safety measures. Feldman defends government red teaming by comparing AI safety checks to pharmaceutical trials.
Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities, Black Swans, and AI-Driven Inquiries 5411 Jason cites Palo Alto Networks discovering unrecorded vulnerabilities using AI reasoning. Feldman warns of inevitable black swan data breaches that the industry must steel itself for in advance.
Reaching AGI, Passing the Turing Test, and Exponential Loops 5411 Jason argues that AGI has effectively been achieved by definitions established decades ago. Feldman agrees, noting the Turing test has been surpassed and explaining how recursive loop maxing drives exponential model performance.
Organizational Friction, World Models, and Generational Learning Speeds 5611 Jason explores future limits of AI problem solving while Feldman points out that human organizational friction remains the primary bottleneck. Feldman explains how AI iteration operates at Drosophila fruit-fly speeds compared to human generational timeframes.
Technological Abundance, Curing Cancer, and Personal AI Tutors 4511 Jason contrasts doom-laden AI narratives with Feldman's optimistic outlook. Feldman argues AI offers concrete opportunities to eradicate cancer deaths and provide Socratic tutors to every child.
Sponsor Read: Nasdaq Global Marketplace Platform 2500 Jason reads a sponsor message for Nasdaq before introducing Robin Rombach of Black Forest Labs. Rombach explains his background inventing latent diffusion and neural compression algorithms during his PhD.
Intuitive Intelligence, Controllable Generative Media, and Real-World Physics 4511 Jason asks if video generation proves models understand physical world dynamics. Rombach distinguishes between intuitive visual intelligence and deep reasoning, showing how multimodal pre-training yields implicit physics models.
AI Tools in Filmmaking and Collaborating with Martin Scorsese 4512 Jason asks how close AI video generation is to creating full feature films like Goodfellas rather than five-second clips. Rombach shares details of sitting with Martin Scorsese to turn mental concepts into visual storyboards.
Human-in-the-Loop Workflows and Historical Pre-Production Analogies 6411 Jason connects generative AI workflows to classic movie pre-production methods used by Ridley Scott and George Lucas. Rombach agrees that human-in-the-loop creative iteration yields the most compelling results.
AI in Movie Production and Physical AI Robot Integration 5511 Jason shares an insider account from Gal Gadot using generative backgrounds instead of green screens to cut movie budgets by $120M. Rombach notes how rapidly quality scaled from 64x64 pixel images to multi-minute video models.
World Action Models and Data Strategies for Robotics Training 5611 Jason asks whether robotics training relies on synthetic generation or real-world video recording with sensory gloves. Rombach explains fine-tuning visual models for action prediction and striving for in-context physical prompting.
Open Source Strategy, Corporate IP Rights, and Fan Content 6411 Jason asks how IP holders like Disney should navigate open source versus proprietary models. Jason proposes licensing frameworks for fan-created content like Star Wars Untold Stories while Rombach highlights IP filtering safeguards.

Statements from this episode (20)

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feldman: New data centers will consume more power than past 50 years
“What we're talking about now are data centers that are in the next several years going to use more power than the previous 50 years on earth took.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 2:17
Disclosure
Cerebras CEO discloses $25 billion order backlog
“And so, you know, we have a twenty five billion dollar backlog.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 3:50
Insight
Feldman: Enterprises are shifting from unconstrained token access to cost-optimized AI usage
“I think at first people opened up and said, everybody, as much tokens as you want. And in enterprises, there's no open loop. We don't give sort of any resource unconstrained to people. And now we're jumping on and saying, whoa, all right, these guys should hav…”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 5:52
Insight
Feldman: Modern AI models no longer require precise prompt whispering
“And increasingly, it's understanding what your intent was. And if you have a chance to play with Fable or Five Six from OpenAI, increasingly, what, you don't have to get the prompt just right. You don't have to be a prompt whisperer.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 7:34
Insight
Calacanis: Unlimited tokens in AI models enable unlimited reasoning
“Unlimited tokens, I believe, means unlimited reasoning.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 10:12
Assertion Supported
Feldman: Cerebras wafer-scale chip cost half a billion dollars to develop
“When one costs half a billion to make,”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 12:07
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Feldman: Cerebras chip gains will exceed 2x over next 18 months
“And my view is in the next 18 months will be way over two X.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 13:24
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feldman: Extreme AI demand means no silicon compute goes unused
“Look, I think there is so much demand right now that, that, There is no silicon that will go unused.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 14:51
Disclosure
Feldman: Cerebras runs Qwen, Kimi, and custom models for GSK and G42
“We run today, we run GLM, we run Kimi, we run the Quen set of models, and we run OpenAI's models, the closed source ones, we run Models for, say, GlaxoSmithKline, which they wrote and developed. We run models for our partner in the UAE G-forty-two, and MBZ-UAI…”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 19:36
Opinion
Feldman: Government red teaming of powerful AI technologies is reasonable
“With a powerful new technology, it certainly doesn't seem unreasonable to say, hey guys let's at least do some red teaming at the government, so we know our defenses can block this.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 22:09
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feldman: A massive data leak is inevitable in the AI era
“I think we can also know that there will be a massive data leak.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 26:34
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Feldman: AI has passed every historical definition of AGI
“I mean, if you think about, oh, there was a Turing test, blew it away. I mean, you think about that, that any period of time, sort of 1015, 20, 3040, 50 years ago, we, any definition we would have previously put forward. We've blown past it.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 29:53
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feldman: AI world models will provide behavioral insights by watching humans
“I think that's some of the things the world models are gonna bring us as they begin to watch human behavior.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 34:06
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feldman: AI gives humanity a shot at ending cancer deaths
“There's a shot that our children, none of them, nor their people they love will die of cancer.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 38:49
Insight
Rombach: Pre-training AI models on video gives implicit understanding of physics
“Pre-training on videos gives, like, implicit understanding of the physics of interactions with the real world, and then you can get stuff like action prediction, like robotics out of the same model.”
Robin Rombach Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 44:28
Insight
Robin Rombach: Most Valuable AI Video Uses Require Human-in-the-Loop
“But I think ultimately. Like the real interesting use cases, they come when you have like a human in the loop who iterates and uses it as a medium.”
Robin Rombach Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 50:09
Disclosure
Calacanis: Portfolio startups now create launch videos in two weeks
“I've seen with a lot of the startups I'm investing in now, They'll just spend a week or two working with you know, a director to make a launch video.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 51:27
Insight
Rombach: Same generative AI models making movies can power robot brains
“I think what really excites me is you can use the same kind of AI model to make a movie and deploy that as a brain on a robot.”
Robin Rombach Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 54:27
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rombach: Adapting visual AI for robotics requires mere hours of data
“In practice what you do is, You have like all this like visual understanding in the models. And then you need only a very little bit of like a few hours of fine tuning data to adjust the model on that specific task.”
Robin Rombach Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 57:37
Disclosure
Rombach: Black Forest Labs builds custom AI models with major IP owners
“We do work with certain IP holders to Develop models together with them. Some of them based on our open source models, some of them based on like our more powerful proprietary models.”
Robin Rombach Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 59:28
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