Assertion Supported
Sachs: Tucker Carlson is the highest-rated host in cable history
“This is the highest rated host in cable history.”
Disclosure
Fox News never gave Tucker Carlson an official reason for his firing
“I was never told I can only speculate.”
Insight
Tucker Carlson: You cannot continuously defy leadership and keep a corporate job
“You can't kind of give the finger to everybody and persist in a corporate job.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims pharmaceutical TV ads are bought to shape news coverage
“Pharma's the biggest advertiser in television, as I know you know, and so, for sure, I mean, if, you know, Pfizer's sponsoring your show, you're not going to question the vax. I mean, it's kind of that simple. So absolutely, and of course, that's why they're t…”
Disclosure
Carlson: Fox News executives never directly instructed him not to say something
“I personally never had a single person say to me, don't say this, That I recall, I haven't thought about it too much, but that certainly, I was there 14 years, and I didn't have that experience regularly, or at all, really, that I can remember”
Assertion Partly supported
Four Fox News staff resigned in protest over Carlson's January 6 coverage
“A number of people, including on-air people, four that I can think of, resigned in protest over my, over me suggesting that actually it was more complicated than it looked, and there were a bunch of federal agents in the crowd.”
Assertion Supported
Sachs: Fox News ratings cratered after firing Tucker Carlson
“Their ratings really cratered in the wake of making this change.”
Disclosure
Tucker Carlson says he was not angry about Fox News firing
“I wasn't that mad about it, actually, because I know the rules of that particular business, which are really harsh, and I've been in it, you know, my whole life, and so I've seen a lot of people as talented or more talented than I meet bad ends, And in, you kn…”
Opinion
Carlson: Elites tolerate traditional conservatism but hate national self-interest politics
“So it's not being conservative. You can be conservative in that sort of, you know, I work at Cato or Heritage, or I, you know, we need to get back to free trade or whatever, that kind of thing, the Reaganite forum policy, that's all fine. But if you start aski…”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson argues that the United States is not a democracy
“This is not a democracy. It's not even a sort of decent facsimile of a democracy. It's, to call it a democracy is, like, It was ridiculous, actually.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Affluent middle-aged women disproportionately control American public debate
“Our politics, and not just our politics, but our public conversation, reflects the very specific and parochial concerns of a tiny, tiny group of people, which is middle-aged, affluent women, who tend to be very angry, and tend to mostly with their husbands, bu…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: American public debate will soon refocus on core material resources
“This can't last because it's just too stupid, and at some point very soon the country's going to revert to the place that all countries begin, which is in a conversation about things that matter, like who comprises the population? Do we have enough water? Wher…”
Insight
Carlson: Americans focus on foreign wars to avoid facing domestic decline
“Like we care more about foreign wars and trans lives as like the obvious things that hold our society together start to fall apart. Cause like, how do you even deal with that? Am I, I'm, I don't know if I'm being very articulate, but I think that's what's happ…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: US cannot withstand an economic crisis without national cohesion
“If that happened now, when there is no broad agreement on what it means to be an American, no agreement at all on what we all have in common, I don't think we can withstand it. Actually, I really don't, and I'm not even convinced it matters as much what that c…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Relentless technological change without pauses will destroy society
“If you impose that on a society, And you don't ever have a period where you pause and let things settle, you will blow up that society.”
Insight
Friedberg: Technology creates initial leverage for creators before diffusing broadly
“And all technology ultimately creates leverage. For the creator of the technology initially, and then it diffuses to everyone.”
Insight
Friedberg: Technological pessimism stems from rapid shifts in power dynamics
“There's generally pessimism towards technology, because it creates unfair advantages that shift the power dynamic too quickly.”
Insight
Tucker Carlson: Political debate is the only alternative to physical violence
“Debate and politics are the alternative to violence. You get two choices. We're gonna do it by arguing about it, or we're gonna do it by force, okay? So, so I absolutely think it's essential to debate things. Because if we don't, then we just have to shoot eac…”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Affirmative action is immoral and leads to violence
“I think affirmative action is completely, not only immoral, because it's an insult to the idea of America, which is, like, the people who do the best get the most, But it is also a recipe over time for violence, and I made that case, I've made that case every …”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Rhetoric inspiring racial hatred originates from the political left
“On the race stuff, which is what matters over time, if you convince people to hate others on the basis of their race, you've committed a massive sin, and you've done a lot to wreck our country, that's coming from the left.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Abandoning national unity sets America up for violent conflict
“I think that's we've set ourselves up for something really, really scary for, again, for violent conflict, because I don't see how that, that resolves itself.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Humans invent climate crises to reduce their prosperity
“We're not designed to be prosperous, and the second we are, we invent climate crises to make us less prosperous. I mean, that's really what that is, right?”
Insight
Carlson: Extreme affluence over time drives people toward self-destruction
“There's something about affluence that over time convinces people to kill themselves.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath Palihapitiya links GDP growth in emerging economies to spikes in diabetes and heart disease
“You look at these emerging economies, and as GDP cranks, the first thing that happens is heart disease cranks up, and diabetes cranks up”
Assertion Supported
Tucker Carlson states South Korea's reproduction rate has dropped to 0.7
“It happens in South Korea with a .7 replacement, you know, reproduction rate.7.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls global warming and climate crisis narrative propaganda
“I think the global warming bullshit is bullshit, okay? I mean, obviously it is. Climate crisis. It's propaganda”
Opinion
David Friedberg: Human technology will solve climate challenges caused by human impact
“There is science that indicates that there are elements that we're Kind of affecting things in an adverse way, in a challenging way, but I'm not concerned about the challenges just because of where human technology sits and the things we can do.”
Insight
Friedberg: Financial abundance shifts focus to moral causes and societal reform
“Once you reach a certain point, your attention can then shift to morality. You, when you're starving in a street, And you need to feed your children. You're not focusing your whole day on the morality and better treatment of others in the world and extending, …”
Insight
Friedberg: Recasting equality leads to Marxism and equal outcomes
“I do think that there's this large element that the term equality gets recast into every aspect of society, which ultimately leads to this general point of view of Marxism, which is everyone has to have an equal outcome versus an equal opportunity.”
Insight
Sacks: Modern revolutionary politics are imposed from above by elites
“So the revolutionary politics are not somehow coming from below the way you would expect a revolution to normally happen. They're being imposed from above. By some of the biggest winners in our society.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: People with massive inherited wealth are awful as a class
“There's a huge class of people with massive inherited wealth, and they're almost all horrible. Not all of them. I mean, I know, you know, very well, I know some of them, and they're fine. They're, some of them are great, but as a class, they're awful, and they…”
Prediction Held up
Chamath: U.S. faces the largest intergenerational wealth transfer in history
“We're about to go, the largest generation of wealth transfer beyond imagination. We're talking trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Japan is far more functional than American society
“I don't think that we're using the right measurements, and I do think that we're taking economists a little more seriously than they deserve, because they're not describing what Japan actually is, which is freaking awesome, and way more functional than our soc…”
Insight
Friedberg: Growth rate is irrelevant to prosperity without national debt
“If you didn't have all the debt, you don't care about it. You shouldn't care about economic growth rate with respect to the measure of prosperity.”
Insight
Sachs: Technological change underpins American prosperity and military power
“But I do think that revolutionary change in the narrow category of technology is ultimately good for us. I know it creates challenges. I know it creates disruption. People do lose their jobs and have to find new ones. But it is the basis for American prosperit…”
Opinion
Sachs: The political left uses regulation to slow technological progress
“And it feels like actually it's the people on the left who are generally in this camp Of wanting to slow us down and mire us in regulations and make it harder to make progress technologically because that's something they don't control.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims US policy actively replaces native-born Americans with immigrants
“At exactly the moment when native-born Americans' birth rates are tanking, over a 100,000 people die of fentanyl ODs, and we're pushing euthanasia on the population, which we are, you're, you basically, you're saying, I've given up on the people who live here,…”
Prediction Held up
Tucker Carlson predicts Joe Biden will not be the 2024 Democratic nominee
“I don't think Biden can be the nominee. His only point was to You know, stop Bernie Sanders, basically, and he's outlifted his usefulness, so I think he'll be, I'm pretty sure he'll be replaced”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Nikki Haley has no chance of winning a free presidential election
“If you get to a place where you think that Nikki Haley has a shot of getting elected in a free and fair election, like, you have no idea what's going on in your own country.”
Opinion
Sacks: Trump is the indispensable figure preventing GOP from reverting to Bush Republicanism
“I think that Trump is still the indispensable figure in the Republican party, because if you take him away, they're going to revert right back to where they were. They're going to go right back to the factory settings on Republicans, which is Bush Republicanis…”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Donald Trump's prosecution is a political prosecution
“That's a political prosecution.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: 2022 FBI raid was key to Donald Trump's primary surge
“And so I think that's the key to his surge. I really do think that.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carlson: Gavin Newsom will be 2024 Democratic nominee if Biden steps down
“Oh, it's Gavin. Gavin. It's Gavin, for sure.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls Gavin Newsom the most evil person in Democratic Party
“He's by far the most evil person in the Democratic Party, and in the end, they just sort of rise to the peak, you know, oil and water, man.”
Opinion
Carlson: California is the most corrupt state in the US
“It's a machine state. It's the most corrupt out of 50.”
Opinion
Carlson: X is the only major platform without mass censorship
“It's the only platform at scale in the world that's pretty, you know, there's censorship on it, but there's not mass censorship, actually, there isn't, and That's the only platform of its kind at scale. It's the only one.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sachs: Russia-Ukraine war has always been about NATO expansion
“There was a deal on the table to shut the war down. We just would have had to agree to make Ukraine neutral. And of course the Biden administration told them not to this war is and has always been about NATO expansion.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Social media platforms were riddled with salaried intel officers
“They were all locked down, and they were all riddled with intel, in some cases, actual salaried intel officers. Matt Taibbi's amazing reporting has shown this. Not just American, either, from foreign countries.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Opponents will try to shut down X in next 12 months
“I think this election, if that platform stays free for the next 12 months, You know, I think we have a shot at least of a real election, but if it does, and I think they're gonna do whatever they can to shut it down.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims Disney CEO Bob Iger seriously considering presidential run
“I keep hearing from people, you know, mutual people I know who know Bob Iger very well, that he's like very serious about running for president.”
Disclosure
Carlson: Tucker Carlson Network brought almost entire former Fox News staff
“We brought our whole staff, almost our whole staff from Fox with us.”
Disclosure
Carlson: Tucker Carlson cannot imagine running for national public office
“The idea that I'm going to, at 54, like, run for national office, I, it's a little, You know what I mean? Like, I don't take myself quite that seriously. I mean, I can't imagine doing something like that.”
Insight
Carlson: Democracies lead to dictatorship when majorities vote to legally take wealth
“And when the majority discovered it could steal the goods of whomever it wanted, legally, legally you would wind up with dictatorship.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk: Tesla has done more for environment than all companies combined
“Tesla has done more to help the environment than all other companies combined.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk claims he has done more for the environment than anyone
“It would be fair to say that, therefore, as a leader of the company, I've done more for the environment than everyone else, any single human on Earth.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Electric cars do not help the environment
“I don't even like electric cars. I don't think they help the environment.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Andrew Ross Sorkin proves television media is not a meritocracy
“The fact that Andrew Ross Sorkin has a television job shows this is not a meritocracy.”
Insight
Sachs: Populism is a nationalist reaction to elite-driven globalization
“Big picture, I would say that populism is a nationalist reaction to the hyper globalization that happened that was encouraged by the elites over the past few decades.”
Prediction Held up
Chamath predicts OpenAI's $86 billion valuation will hold through recent turmoil
“So I think this valuation is going to hold. I think the secondary is going to happen.”
Disclosure
Chamath: Zuckerberg and I exclusively signed Facebook's Irish IP transfer deal
“You know, at Facebook, there was a moment where we divested all of our IP to a subsidiary in Ireland. And for tax reasons, and there were two signatories to that deal. It was me and Zuck.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: OpenAI board can never fire Sam Altman again
“I think the conclusion here is, it's sort of a foregone conclusion, which is the board can never fire Sam again. I mean, they're not going to go through that again. Therefore he has total control.”
Opinion
Sacks: OpenAI board was totally incompetent for firing Altman without explanation
“The board was totally incompetent. I mean, listen, if a board is going to take a drastic action of firing the founder CEO when everything is going great. I mean, cause everything's been going great at open AI. It's incumbent on them to explain their actions an…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts OpenAI board's AGI kill switch decision will face massive litigation
“When that's litigated, not if, when that's litigated, it is that board that will be at the center of dealing with that Financial responsibility and liability.”
Opinion
Sacks: Non-profit structures will not solve AGI alignment
“So this idea that we're going to solve the AGI problem or alignment issue by creating nonprofit structures, I think that this episode proves that's not going to work, like look elsewhere.”
Insight
Calacanis: Equity incentives with liquidity are humanity's best organizational structure
“The share price And employees participating and the share price going up and secondary is occurring on a regular basis is the most perfect structure that has been created by humans to date for running an organization.”