Jul 19, 2024 · 1h 15m · allin

Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem

David Sacks · 28m spoken Jason Calacanis · 19m spoken Chamath Palihapitiya · 10m spoken David Friedberg · 8m spoken U.S. Senator · 4s spoken
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In Episode 188 of the All-In Podcast, the hosts analyze the assassination attempt on Donald Trump and surrounding Secret Service failures, report from inside the Republican National Convention on J.D. Vance's VP selection, and evaluate major venture capital liquidity events alongside tech antitrust dynamics.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 99.8% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 5.8 Guest teaching 3.0 Guest disagreement 2.8 The hosts pushing back 3.0
05100:0020:0040:001:00:000:52–4:28 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 David Sacks Clarifies Media Claims Regarding Vance's VP Selection Jason outlines the timeline and initial facts surrounding the assassination attempt, while Sacks clarifies media reports that overstated his influence in Trump's VP pick.4:28–8:02 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Chamath on Shock, Secret Service Negligence, and Trump's Resilience Chamath and Friedberg give immediate reactions to the assassination attempt, highlighting Secret Service negligence alongside Trump's iconic defiance.8:02–12:14 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 David Sacks Shares Personal Rally Account and Global Reaction Sacks shares a first-hand report from his father-in-law who attended the rally and reflects on how Trump's reaction turned panic into unified patriotism.12:14–21:15 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Debate Over Political Rhetoric, Demonization, and Media Impact Jason attempts to equate rhetoric from both sides, but Chamath and Sacks reject the premise, arguing media and Democrats systematically demonized Trump as Hitler.21:15–28:53 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Scrutinizing Secret Service Leadership & Institutional Failure The panel scrutinizes Secret Service leadership, dismissing Director Cheadle's sloped-roof explanation as a absurd cover story and demanding a full investigation.28:53–37:01 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Technical Breakdown, Deleted Records, and Senate Confrontation Friedberg details sniper line-of-sight logistics, and the group reviews footage of U.S. Senators confronting Secret Service Director Cheadle.37:01–39:18 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Inside the RNC: David Sacks Speech Preparation and Delivery Sacks provides an insider account of writing his RNC speech, practicing teleprompter mechanics, and balancing arena delivery with television presence.39:18–47:13 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Sacks RNC Speech Substance and Foreign Policy on Ukraine Friedberg points out Sacks's controversial foreign policy statements at the RNC, prompting Sacks to defend his view that NATO expansion provoked the war in Ukraine.47:13–49:35 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The RNC Big Tent Strategy and Youthful Cabinet Vision The panel discusses the RNC's expanding appeal, highlighting Amber Rose's speech and contrasting a potential youthful Trump cabinet with older career politicians.49:35–53:08 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 The Emergent Populist Realignment of the Republican Party Sacks outlines how the GOP is transitioning from Chamber of Commerce corporate interests to working-class populism, quoting Pat Buchanan's 1992 address.53:08–58:58 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 Panel Debate on Vance, Economic Protectionism, and Tariffs Friedberg warns that protectionist tariffs risk driving consumer inflation and retaliatory foreign tariffs on U.S. agriculture, prompting a debate with Chamath.58:58–1:07:36 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 All-In Summit 2024 and Scholarship Program Announcement Chamath criticizes Sequoia using a new fund to buy Stripe shares from legacy funds as poor governance, while Sacks argues it offers a structured liquidity solution.1:07:36–1:12:44 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 Cybersecurity M&A: Google Potential Acquisition of Wiz The panel evaluates Google's $23B Wiz acquisition deal and examines J.D. Vance's unexpected alignment with FTC Chair Lina Khan on Big Tech antitrust enforcement.0:52–4:28 · Guest teaching 2/10 David Sacks Clarifies Media Claims Regarding Vance's VP Selection Jason outlines the timeline and initial facts surrounding the assassination attempt, while Sacks clarifies media reports that overstated his influence in Trump's VP pick.4:28–8:02 · Guest teaching 1/10 Chamath on Shock, Secret Service Negligence, and Trump's Resilience Chamath and Friedberg give immediate reactions to the assassination attempt, highlighting Secret Service negligence alongside Trump's iconic defiance.8:02–12:14 · Guest teaching 2/10 David Sacks Shares Personal Rally Account and Global Reaction Sacks shares a first-hand report from his father-in-law who attended the rally and reflects on how Trump's reaction turned panic into unified patriotism.12:14–21:15 · Guest teaching 4/10 Debate Over Political Rhetoric, Demonization, and Media Impact Jason attempts to equate rhetoric from both sides, but Chamath and Sacks reject the premise, arguing media and Democrats systematically demonized Trump as Hitler.21:15–28:53 · Guest teaching 3/10 Scrutinizing Secret Service Leadership & Institutional Failure The panel scrutinizes Secret Service leadership, dismissing Director Cheadle's sloped-roof explanation as a absurd cover story and demanding a full investigation.28:53–37:01 · Guest teaching 3/10 Technical Breakdown, Deleted Records, and Senate Confrontation Friedberg details sniper line-of-sight logistics, and the group reviews footage of U.S. Senators confronting Secret Service Director Cheadle.37:01–39:18 · Guest teaching 3/10 Inside the RNC: David Sacks Speech Preparation and Delivery Sacks provides an insider account of writing his RNC speech, practicing teleprompter mechanics, and balancing arena delivery with television presence.39:18–47:13 · Guest teaching 4/10 Sacks RNC Speech Substance and Foreign Policy on Ukraine Friedberg points out Sacks's controversial foreign policy statements at the RNC, prompting Sacks to defend his view that NATO expansion provoked the war in Ukraine.47:13–49:35 · Guest teaching 2/10 The RNC Big Tent Strategy and Youthful Cabinet Vision The panel discusses the RNC's expanding appeal, highlighting Amber Rose's speech and contrasting a potential youthful Trump cabinet with older career politicians.49:35–53:08 · Guest teaching 4/10 The Emergent Populist Realignment of the Republican Party Sacks outlines how the GOP is transitioning from Chamber of Commerce corporate interests to working-class populism, quoting Pat Buchanan's 1992 address.53:08–58:58 · Guest teaching 4/10 Panel Debate on Vance, Economic Protectionism, and Tariffs Friedberg warns that protectionist tariffs risk driving consumer inflation and retaliatory foreign tariffs on U.S. agriculture, prompting a debate with Chamath.58:58–1:07:36 · Guest teaching 4/10 All-In Summit 2024 and Scholarship Program Announcement Chamath criticizes Sequoia using a new fund to buy Stripe shares from legacy funds as poor governance, while Sacks argues it offers a structured liquidity solution.1:07:36–1:12:44 · Guest teaching 3/10 Cybersecurity M&A: Google Potential Acquisition of Wiz The panel evaluates Google's $23B Wiz acquisition deal and examines J.D. Vance's unexpected alignment with FTC Chair Lina Khan on Big Tech antitrust enforcement.0:52–4:28 · Guest disagreement 1/10 David Sacks Clarifies Media Claims Regarding Vance's VP Selection Jason outlines the timeline and initial facts surrounding the assassination attempt, while Sacks clarifies media reports that overstated his influence in Trump's VP pick.4:28–8:02 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Chamath on Shock, Secret Service Negligence, and Trump's Resilience Chamath and Friedberg give immediate reactions to the assassination attempt, highlighting Secret Service negligence alongside Trump's iconic defiance.8:02–12:14 · Guest disagreement 1/10 David Sacks Shares Personal Rally Account and Global Reaction Sacks shares a first-hand report from his father-in-law who attended the rally and reflects on how Trump's reaction turned panic into unified patriotism.12:14–21:15 · Guest disagreement 7/10 Debate Over Political Rhetoric, Demonization, and Media Impact Jason attempts to equate rhetoric from both sides, but Chamath and Sacks reject the premise, arguing media and Democrats systematically demonized Trump as Hitler.21:15–28:53 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Scrutinizing Secret Service Leadership & Institutional Failure The panel scrutinizes Secret Service leadership, dismissing Director Cheadle's sloped-roof explanation as a absurd cover story and demanding a full investigation.28:53–37:01 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Technical Breakdown, Deleted Records, and Senate Confrontation Friedberg details sniper line-of-sight logistics, and the group reviews footage of U.S. Senators confronting Secret Service Director Cheadle.37:01–39:18 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Inside the RNC: David Sacks Speech Preparation and Delivery Sacks provides an insider account of writing his RNC speech, practicing teleprompter mechanics, and balancing arena delivery with television presence.39:18–47:13 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Sacks RNC Speech Substance and Foreign Policy on Ukraine Friedberg points out Sacks's controversial foreign policy statements at the RNC, prompting Sacks to defend his view that NATO expansion provoked the war in Ukraine.47:13–49:35 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The RNC Big Tent Strategy and Youthful Cabinet Vision The panel discusses the RNC's expanding appeal, highlighting Amber Rose's speech and contrasting a potential youthful Trump cabinet with older career politicians.49:35–53:08 · Guest disagreement 3/10 The Emergent Populist Realignment of the Republican Party Sacks outlines how the GOP is transitioning from Chamber of Commerce corporate interests to working-class populism, quoting Pat Buchanan's 1992 address.53:08–58:58 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Panel Debate on Vance, Economic Protectionism, and Tariffs Friedberg warns that protectionist tariffs risk driving consumer inflation and retaliatory foreign tariffs on U.S. agriculture, prompting a debate with Chamath.58:58–1:07:36 · Guest disagreement 4/10 All-In Summit 2024 and Scholarship Program Announcement Chamath criticizes Sequoia using a new fund to buy Stripe shares from legacy funds as poor governance, while Sacks argues it offers a structured liquidity solution.1:07:36–1:12:44 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Cybersecurity M&A: Google Potential Acquisition of Wiz The panel evaluates Google's $23B Wiz acquisition deal and examines J.D. Vance's unexpected alignment with FTC Chair Lina Khan on Big Tech antitrust enforcement.0:52–4:28 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 David Sacks Clarifies Media Claims Regarding Vance's VP Selection Jason outlines the timeline and initial facts surrounding the assassination attempt, while Sacks clarifies media reports that overstated his influence in Trump's VP pick.4:28–8:02 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Chamath on Shock, Secret Service Negligence, and Trump's Resilience Chamath and Friedberg give immediate reactions to the assassination attempt, highlighting Secret Service negligence alongside Trump's iconic defiance.8:02–12:14 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 David Sacks Shares Personal Rally Account and Global Reaction Sacks shares a first-hand report from his father-in-law who attended the rally and reflects on how Trump's reaction turned panic into unified patriotism.12:14–21:15 · The hosts pushing back 7/10 Debate Over Political Rhetoric, Demonization, and Media Impact Jason attempts to equate rhetoric from both sides, but Chamath and Sacks reject the premise, arguing media and Democrats systematically demonized Trump as Hitler.21:15–28:53 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 Scrutinizing Secret Service Leadership & Institutional Failure The panel scrutinizes Secret Service leadership, dismissing Director Cheadle's sloped-roof explanation as a absurd cover story and demanding a full investigation.28:53–37:01 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Technical Breakdown, Deleted Records, and Senate Confrontation Friedberg details sniper line-of-sight logistics, and the group reviews footage of U.S. Senators confronting Secret Service Director Cheadle.37:01–39:18 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Inside the RNC: David Sacks Speech Preparation and Delivery Sacks provides an insider account of writing his RNC speech, practicing teleprompter mechanics, and balancing arena delivery with television presence.39:18–47:13 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 Sacks RNC Speech Substance and Foreign Policy on Ukraine Friedberg points out Sacks's controversial foreign policy statements at the RNC, prompting Sacks to defend his view that NATO expansion provoked the war in Ukraine.47:13–49:35 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The RNC Big Tent Strategy and Youthful Cabinet Vision The panel discusses the RNC's expanding appeal, highlighting Amber Rose's speech and contrasting a potential youthful Trump cabinet with older career politicians.49:35–53:08 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 The Emergent Populist Realignment of the Republican Party Sacks outlines how the GOP is transitioning from Chamber of Commerce corporate interests to working-class populism, quoting Pat Buchanan's 1992 address.53:08–58:58 · The hosts pushing back 5/10 Panel Debate on Vance, Economic Protectionism, and Tariffs Friedberg warns that protectionist tariffs risk driving consumer inflation and retaliatory foreign tariffs on U.S. agriculture, prompting a debate with Chamath.58:58–1:07:36 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 All-In Summit 2024 and Scholarship Program Announcement Chamath criticizes Sequoia using a new fund to buy Stripe shares from legacy funds as poor governance, while Sacks argues it offers a structured liquidity solution.1:07:36–1:12:44 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Cybersecurity M&A: Google Potential Acquisition of Wiz The panel evaluates Google's $23B Wiz acquisition deal and examines J.D. Vance's unexpected alignment with FTC Chair Lina Khan on Big Tech antitrust enforcement.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%0:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%3:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%3:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%6:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%6:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%9:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%9:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%18:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%18:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%21:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%21:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%24:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%24:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%27:00 · the hosts 99.6% · guest 0.4%27:00 · the hosts 99.6% · guest 0.4%30:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%30:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%33:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%33:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%36:00 · the hosts 97.4% · guest 2.6%36:00 · the hosts 97.4% · guest 2.6%39:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%39:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%42:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%42:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%45:00 · the hosts 99.8% · guest 0.2%45:00 · the hosts 99.8% · guest 0.2%48:00 · the hosts 99.5% · guest 0.5%48:00 · the hosts 99.5% · guest 0.5%51:00 · the hosts 99.7% · guest 0.3%51:00 · the hosts 99.7% · guest 0.3%54:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%54:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%57:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%57:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:00:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:00:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:03:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:03:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:06:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:06:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:09:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:09:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 14:14 Chamath rejects Jason's 'both sides' framing on political rhetoric

Chamath forcefully interrupts Jason to reject his premise that both political parties share equal blame for violent political rhetoric, accusing mainstream media of systematically distorting Trump's words.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 20:00 Jason brings up J.D. Vance's past Hitler comparison

Jason pushes back against Sacks's claim that Hitler comparisons were strictly a Democratic campaign strategy by highlighting that Trump's own VP pick J.D. Vance previously referred to Trump as Hitler.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 56:20 Friedberg breaks down the economic fallout of protectionist tariffs

Friedberg provides a comprehensive economic analysis demonstrating how import tariffs raise prices for everyday Walmart consumers and force multi-billion dollar government bailouts when foreign trading partners retaliate against U.S. farmers.

The host holds their own ▶ 1:02:11 Chamath calls out VC fund governance in Sequoia's Stripe secondary

Chamath demonstrates deep venture capital domain knowledge by identifying governance red flags in Sequoia using capital from newer funds to buy legacy fund LP holdings in Stripe.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
David Sacks Clarifies Media Claims Regarding Vance's VP Selection 5212 Jason outlines the timeline and initial facts surrounding the assassination attempt, while Sacks clarifies media reports that overstated his influence in Trump's VP pick.
Chamath on Shock, Secret Service Negligence, and Trump's Resilience 4111 Chamath and Friedberg give immediate reactions to the assassination attempt, highlighting Secret Service negligence alongside Trump's iconic defiance.
David Sacks Shares Personal Rally Account and Global Reaction 5211 Sacks shares a first-hand report from his father-in-law who attended the rally and reflects on how Trump's reaction turned panic into unified patriotism.
Debate Over Political Rhetoric, Demonization, and Media Impact 6477 Jason attempts to equate rhetoric from both sides, but Chamath and Sacks reject the premise, arguing media and Democrats systematically demonized Trump as Hitler.
Scrutinizing Secret Service Leadership & Institutional Failure 6334 The panel scrutinizes Secret Service leadership, dismissing Director Cheadle's sloped-roof explanation as a absurd cover story and demanding a full investigation.
Technical Breakdown, Deleted Records, and Senate Confrontation 6323 Friedberg details sniper line-of-sight logistics, and the group reviews footage of U.S. Senators confronting Secret Service Director Cheadle.
Inside the RNC: David Sacks Speech Preparation and Delivery 4311 Sacks provides an insider account of writing his RNC speech, practicing teleprompter mechanics, and balancing arena delivery with television presence.
Sacks RNC Speech Substance and Foreign Policy on Ukraine 6444 Friedberg points out Sacks's controversial foreign policy statements at the RNC, prompting Sacks to defend his view that NATO expansion provoked the war in Ukraine.
The RNC Big Tent Strategy and Youthful Cabinet Vision 4211 The panel discusses the RNC's expanding appeal, highlighting Amber Rose's speech and contrasting a potential youthful Trump cabinet with older career politicians.
The Emergent Populist Realignment of the Republican Party 7433 Sacks outlines how the GOP is transitioning from Chamber of Commerce corporate interests to working-class populism, quoting Pat Buchanan's 1992 address.
Panel Debate on Vance, Economic Protectionism, and Tariffs 7455 Friedberg warns that protectionist tariffs risk driving consumer inflation and retaliatory foreign tariffs on U.S. agriculture, prompting a debate with Chamath.
All-In Summit 2024 and Scholarship Program Announcement 8444 Chamath criticizes Sequoia using a new fund to buy Stripe shares from legacy funds as poor governance, while Sacks argues it offers a structured liquidity solution.
Cybersecurity M&A: Google Potential Acquisition of Wiz 7333 The panel evaluates Google's $23B Wiz acquisition deal and examines J.D. Vance's unexpected alignment with FTC Chair Lina Khan on Big Tech antitrust enforcement.

Statements from this episode (36)

Disclosure
Sacks says he was one of hundreds giving Trump VP feedback
“I was probably one of a thousand people, or at least hundreds of people who offer my opinion.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:08
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Donald Trump is likely to become 47th US President
“It is five days after an assassination attempt on the former president of the United States and the likely 47th president of the United States, obviously President Trump.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:43
Opinion
Chamath Palihapitiya praises Donald Trump's reaction to the assassination attempt
“Trump is an absolute legend. What a boss.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 6:13
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Trump effectively secured the 2024 election after the assassination attempt
“I think the first thing I thought after I saw the video and saw that he was okay and that his ear was bleeding was that's it. It's over. Trump's won.”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 6:37
Opinion
Friedberg: Trump post-shooting photo is one of the most iconic patriotic visuals
“It was probably one of the most iconic patriotic visuals I think any of us have seen.”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 6:44
Opinion
Calacanis: Security negligence undoubtedly occurred during the Trump rally shooting
“Obviously, there is some negligence that occurred here. I don't think there's any doubt about that.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 8:15
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman's political advisor claimed Trump shooting was staged
“Some people like Reid Hoffman's political hack was actually claiming that it was all staged, which is just unbelievably ridiculous.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 11:54
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 16:49
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden said days before shooting to put Trump in bullseye
“However, Biden himself, days before the shooting, said that it was time to put Trump in the bullseye.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 17:38
Assertion Supported
Sacks: The New Republic ran a cover mashing up Trump and Hitler
“Look at the cover of the New Republic. They literally turned Donald Trump's face Into the face of mashup of him and Adolf Hitler.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 20:18
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Secret Service had snipers on a roof more sloped than the shooter's
“They did have snipers on another roof that was more sloped.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 24:36
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Secret Service deleted all text messages from January 6
“They deleted all their texts from January six.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 27:54
Opinion
Sacks: Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle should resign
“Cheadle should resign.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 28:43
What-if
Sacks: Twitter could not restore free speech without firing staff
“Imagine if Elon had bought Twitter, but he wasn't allowed to fire anybody. Do you think he would have been able to restore free speech? Do you think he'd be able to restore innovation? No.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 34:20
Insight
Sacks: Running effective institutions requires firing underperforming staff
“If you're running an institution, you have to be able to fire people when they don't perform. But we have lost that ability of our federal government.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 34:32
Disclosure
Sacks: RNC permitted complete rewrite of speech draft
“They sent me some ideas for remarks and then I completely rewrote it with my research assistant slash writer, and then sent it to them, and there was some back and forth, but by and large, they let me do what I wanted to do.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 37:35
Disclosure
Sacks: RNC allotted six minutes and 600 words for speech
“The one thing that was kind of set was the time, and they correlated the time with a number of words, so they said you got six minutes, which is 600 words, and so that's what we worked towards”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 37:49
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks claims Biden administration provoked Ukraine war via NATO expansion talks
“I said the Biden administration provoked the war with talk of NATO expansion.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 39:37
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Thiel made record $15M Senate campaign donation for Vance
“Teal backed him with, I think, the largest Senate race donation in history, fifteen million.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 44:19
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: J.D. Vance will be very hard to demonize
“He's going to be very hard to demonize.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 47:03
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath: Trump administration cabinet would feature mainly 30- and 40-somethings
“If Donald Trump were to win, what you're going to see is a very youthful cabinet Of a lot of thirty-somethings and forty-somethings,”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 48:53
Opinion
Sacks: GOP is shifting from corporate interests to populist movement
“We're moving from a party of basically the Chamber of Commerce, you know, business round table, A bunch of oligarchic fat cats to being a populist party that actually represents the people.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 50:05
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Vance selection guarantees MAGA platform continues for years
“It was a legacy pick because it means that this America first MAGA message Is gonna continue into the future, many years into the future.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 50:56
Opinion
Sacks: Doug Burgum understands U.S. energy policy better than anyone
“There's nobody who understands, I think, energy better and all the regulations that have gotten in the way of making America energy independent and tapping our vast energy reserves.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 54:13
What-if
Friedberg: RFK Jr. as VP would have caused major disagreements with Trump
“I think RFK would have been a challenging partner for Trump, and it would have led to a lot of disagreements, and I think that RFK has some policy perspectives that I don't agree with.”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 54:49
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: China is currently the largest buyer of U.S. agricultural products
“Our biggest buyer of agricultural products today is China”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 57:50
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Onshoring U.S. manufacturing will trigger period of inflation
“I do think it's important that we onshore a lot of manufacturing. I think it's important, but there's going to be a period of pain there's going to be an investment needed, and it's not going to be simple and easy, and we may face quite a bit of inflation on t…”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 58:40
Assertion Contradicted
Calacanis: Sequoia's $517M Stripe investment is worth $10B
“Sequoia Capital has invested five hundred seventeen million in Stripe. That's currently worth about ten billion.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:00:29
Insight
Palihapitiya: Cross-fund LP liquidity violates strong venture capital governance
“When you're buying old stakes into a new fund and crossing funds, it's sort of like actually one of those things that are supposed to be verboten. And when you're trying to build a good fund with great governance, This is actually at the top of the list of the…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:02:30
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Wiz reached $500M ARR in 4.5 years
“One of the fastest growing startups ever, reaching five hundred million in ARR in 4.5 years.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:07:48
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Wiz projects hitting $1B in ARR in 2025
“They think they'll have a billion in ARR sometime next year.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:07:58
Insight
Palihapitiya: Lack of cloud security will constrain growth for cloud vendors
“The fact that they're willing to pay such a premium means a, the product is good, but more importantly, B in the absence of cloud security, these cloud vendors are going to be constrained in the, in how fast they can grow.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:08:43
Assertion Supported
Sacks: J.D. Vance is one of Lina Khan's few Republican fans
“JD Vance has been relatively positive towards Lena Kahn. He's one of Lena Kahn's few Republican fans”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:09:54
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Lina Khan will not lead the FTC in a second Trump administration
“I don't think that Lena Khan is going to be running that agency in a second Trump administration”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:11:13
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts a second Trump term will boost mid-market tech M&A
“I think we'll see under Trump a lot more mid-market M&A.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:12:19
Prediction Held up
Calacanis predicts Joe Biden will drop out of the race this weekend
“Biden is predicted to resign this weekend.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:12:50
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