Disclosure
Mark Cuban states he is an independent voter, not a Democrat or Republican
“I'm not a Democrat, I'm not a Republican, I'm an independent through and through.”
What-if
Cuban: I would vote Republican against Biden if the candidate were non-MAGA
“If it wasn't Donald Trump running, it was a non-MAGA candidate, particularly if it was Joe Biden still, I'd vote Republican.”
Opinion
Cuban: Donald Trump is not a Republican, the GOP is his family business
“Donald Trump is not a Republican. Republicans are Donald Trump. You know, the Republican Party is now the family business for, Donald Trump”
Opinion
Cuban: Donald Trump has charisma and is one of the world's best schmoozers
“He's a blast. He's fun to talk to, you know, he's got charisma, he's got personality. He's easy to like. I mean, you know, he's used to schmoozing. He's a, he's one of the world's best schmoozers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Every inch of Donald Trump's office was covered with pictures of himself
“Every inch of his office is covered with pictures of him. Every single inch of the office.”
Assertion Supported
Trump sent Cuban a 'you suck' letter after TV show canceled
“And then when I got canceled, he sent me that letter basically saying, you suck.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Trump refuses to email directly to avoid leaving paper trails
“He refuses to send an email because he doesn't want any proof of anything he's done, right?”
Opinion
Cuban: Trump makes no effort to learn policy details or give nuanced responses
“He doesn't make any effort to learn anything, and I think that carries on to this day, because you can't look at things he says and say, that's really an in-depth response, or that's a nuanced response”
Assertion Supported
Cuban: More people died during riots under Trump than under Biden
“We had more people die during riots during his term than Biden by a long shot”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Tim Walz rejected Donald Trump's offer to deploy National Guard
“He wanted to send in the National Guard to Minnesota. It was actually Waltz who rejected the National Guard.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Trump was first US president in 20 years without new wars
“He was like the first president in 20 years not to start a new war.”
Opinion
Sacks: President Biden provoked the proxy war in Ukraine
“Well, I would argue that Biden provoked the proxy war in Ukraine.”
Assertion Supported
Cuban: Trump chose weapon sales to Saudi Arabia over ending Yemen war
“And we had the opportunity to stop selling weapons, but He looked, the best I could tell, he looked at it as a sales opportunity to sell to MBS all these weapons, and he thought that was a positive. So, a lot of people died, and we're still in there today, so …”
Assertion Partly supported
Cuban ties 2022 inflation peak directly to Trump's 2020 oil deal
“And you know what matches up perfectly? What matches up perfectly is that 9.1% in 2022 and the day that that agreement ended. Where MBS and Russia limited production, that agreement ended it like this.”
Opinion
Cuban calls Donald Trump one of the greatest salespeople and motivators ever
“He's one of the greatest salespeople ever. He's one of the greatest, you know motivators in terms of crowd motivation ever.”
Opinion
Cuban: Donald Trump follows Roy Cohn's playbook exactly
“If you read books about Roy Cohn, everything Roy Cohn says to do, tracing back to the McCarthy hearings in 54, everything Roy Cohn says to do, that is exactly what Donald Trump does.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Fed balance sheet doubled to $8 trillion during COVID
“The Federal Reserve's balance sheet swelled during COVID from four trillion dollars to eight trillion dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Supply chain disruption was main driver of post-COVID inflation
“We had a massive shortfall in the ability to move goods around the world. And that was the biggest driver of the inflationary effects that we saw on the cost of everything.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Post-stimulus inflation unfolded precisely as Larry Summers warned
“He did make that declaration against his own party, Mark, and he said this is the wrong thing. As a Democrat, he said this is the wrong thing to do, and they went forward with what they planned to do for various reasons. Some would argue political, some would …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: The 35% corporate tax rate hurt US global competitiveness
“That was too expensive. It made it difficult for us to compete globally.”
Assertion Supported
Cuban: Kamala Harris has specified a 28% capital gains tax rate
“She's been very specific that cap gains goes to 28%”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Kamala Harris never won primary votes in 2020 or 2024
“She, in 2020, she ran and dropped out before the first primary. And then this time around, she never had to compete in the primary.”
Opinion
Cuban: Donald Trump's speech and actions reflect cognitive decline
“I'd be willing to bet that he's also had cognitive decline. Everything he says and does is reflective of that.”
Opinion
Cuban: Biden lacked processing speed, not pure cognitive capability
“It's not that he had cognitive decline in the pure sense. It's that his ability to respond quickly was gone, and he looked like he had cognitive decline.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Democrats discarded Biden's 14 million primary votes for Kamala Harris
“Biden won the Democratic primary. He got fourteen million votes, and then they threw out that result and put in Kamala Harris because they didn't like his debate performance.”
Disclosure
Cuban: Once Trump was nominated, I just wanted whoever could beat him
“Once Donald Trump was the candidate, I wanted the best person to beat Donald Trump. That's what I cared about.”
Assertion Partly supported
Cuban: US border encounters match pre-pandemic levels under Trump
“And so now the number of encounters at the border is about the same as what it was right before the pandemic under the Trump administration.”
Assertion Supported
Cuban: Obama deported over 3M people, more than Trump or Biden
“Obama was the deporter-in-chief. He deported more people than Trump or Biden, over three million people, but he had a specific process in place that everybody could understand.”
Opinion
Cuban: Breaking up Google and Meta hurts US AI competitiveness
“The most important thing from a technological perspective in this country today Is that we win AI. That is going to find everything militarily for us and economically for us, and that when you try to break up companies like Google and Facebook, you diminish ou…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Pharmacy benefit managers drive up drug costs more than anything
“Pharmacy benefit managers Are ripping off more companies and costing and increasing the cost of medications more than anything else that's happening in healthcare”
Opinion
Cuban: Removing daily business uncertainty was Biden-Harris's top achievement
“There just wasn't this uncertainty like every single day that every business woke up with Trump. Just removing that. Was the biggest positive of all.”
Assertion Supported
Mark Cuban: Kamala Harris's immigration mandate was focused on Central America
“If you look at what her specific responsibility was, I alluded to it earlier, her job was to go to Central America and talk to the heads of the countries there and try to reduce the reasons why people were leaving their countries to go to the United States.”
Opinion
Mark Cuban calls SEC Chairman Gary Gensler a moron
“Look at the SEC with Gary Gensler. The guy's a moron.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
Disclosure
Cuban: Biden administration screwed up on border policy
“I agreed they screwed up on the border.”
Opinion
Mark Cuban: Israel's Gaza operation was too blunt, but Hezbollah strategy was correct
“When Israel was going into Gaza, I thought it was too blunt an instrument, but when they went after Hezbollah, I thought they did it the exact right way”
Opinion
Mark Cuban: US should provide financial aid to Ukraine rather than deploy soldiers
“Ukraine, I don't want to see American blood spilled, and as long as there's a NATO, and I agree there should be a NATO, I'd rather see us spend money than put soldiers in harm's way.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: US debt jumped $204 billion in one day to $35.7 trillion
“On the first day of the new fiscal year, federal debt jumped by two hundred and four billion dollars in one day. Federal debt now stands at 35.7 trillion dollars, and the biggest challenge we have in the year ahead is that 10 trillion of the outstanding debt c…”
Prediction Partly held up
Friedberg: US debt could reach $40 trillion by end of 2025
“Plus, the Biden administration has proposed a 7.2 trillion dollar budget for next year, which will inevitably lead to another two trillion dollars of deficit spending, which means that by the end of 2025, we could be staring at 40 trillion dollars of federal d…”
Assertion Partly supported
Cuban: Harris campaign tax plan excludes unrealized capital gains tax
“They've already, you know, just the tax rates are completely different than the Biden budget proposals, where there's no, you know unrealized capital gains, etc. They went to 28 and 28%, so it's not going to be what was proposed by Biden.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: The U.S. has never had a president who understands technology
“We have yet to have a president that fully understands technology.”
Opinion
Cuban: Kamala Harris believes implementing technology improves government efficiency
“She understands the impact, and she has a lot of people who truly are geeks around her, and she truly believes that implementing technology is a way to improve efficiency.”
Disclosure
Cuban says his comments on running SEC were just trolling Gary Gensler
“I was just trolling Gary Gansler. Yeah, I was just trolling Gary Gansler because it's fun to do.”
Opinion
Cuban: SEC Chair Gary Gensler practices regulation through litigation
“The point there is he has an approach that is regulation through litigation. He's going to sue you first, ask questions later, and hope that the result of that litigation becomes a rule that everybody else has to follow.”
What-if
Cuban: FTX and 3AC would survive under Japanese crypto regulation
“If he had followed the same rules for crypto that Japan did, FTX would still be in business. Sam Bankman-Free might still be in jail, But FTX, three euros capital, they, they'd still be in business, because he did the wrong thing.”
Disclosure
Cuban: Kamala Harris acknowledged SEC 'regulation through litigation' as a problem
“Now, I've literally talked to Kamala Harris at lunch about this specific topic of litigate, regulation through litigation, and as a lawyer, she got it immediately, and she knows it's a problem, and they know, and she's even mentioned it in one of her speeches,…”
Opinion
Cuban: Kamala Harris's shift to the political middle is genuine
“She wants to bring the country to the middle. She knows that when she was far left, that might have been great for the state of California, but it doesn't solve the problems of the United States of America today, and that's why you've seen her go to the middle…”
Opinion
Cuban: Long question wind-ups cause Harris's 'word salad' perception
“She has too long a wind-up in answering every single question, and that makes interviews difficult. She wants to inspire everybody with everything that she answers and tries to get people all excited about what she's going to do, and so she takes too long to g…”
What-if
Sacks: Biden administration shot down early Russia-Ukraine peace deal
“We could have agreed to a deal in the first month. The Biden administration shot that down. That is why we have the war going in Ukraine.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Kamala Harris was rated the most liberal member of the Senate
“She was rated the most liberal member of the Senate.”
Disclosure
Mark Cuban retained a 27.7% stake in the Dallas Mavericks after selling
“So I sold three quarters of them, not the whole thing. I still own 27.7%”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Cuban believes NBA franchise valuations have not yet peaked
“I don't think they've peaked yet because it, for the reasons I just mentioned, if we're able to build a Venetian type casino in Dallas with an American airline center in the middle of it, the valuation is twenty billion dollars”
Disclosure
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs sells a 90-pack of tadalafil for $9.90
“So if you go to costplusdrugs.com and you put into Dilafil, when it comes up, we show you our actual cost, and then we mark it up by 15%, and if you buy it via mail order, then we add five dollars for a pharmacy fee to review everything, and five dollars for s…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: PBMs skim 10% of drug manufacturer rebates through subsidiaries
“Now, they say they're going to pass on a hundred percent of that rebate. They don't. They create all these subsidiaries and everything that skim 10% or whatever off the top”
Disclosure
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs is currently unprofitable due to robotic factory costs
“Right now I'm losing money, and most of that was because we built a factory, a whole robotics-driven factory that manufactures sterile injectables that are in short supply.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs lowers a drug price every weekday
“Since last a year ago, more than a year ago, Every weekday we've lowered a price on a drug”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Mandating pricing transparency would cut healthcare costs by 30% to 40%
“By requiring transparency in all contracts, signed by anybody, anywhere in terms of pricing, you are going to see the same impact on across-the-board pricing of a decrease of 30, 40%.”
Disclosure
Mark Cuban discloses investment in xAI's Grok with Chamath Palihapitiya
“I invested in Grok, right, with Shamath, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Cuban: AI agents will be a feature, not standalone products
“Agents are just going to be a feature, not a product, because inherently in AI, as it advances and gets smarter, then it's going to be able to create its own agents for its users and go forward from there.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Cuban predicts tens of millions of custom AI models
“I think there are going to be tens of millions of models. Everybody's going to have a model.”
Disclosure
Mark Cuban says making healthcare affordable is his ultimate life mission
“You know, when I'm gone, I wanted to say, motherfucker, he did it. It was expensive when we were sick, and it ain't expensive no more. And to me, that's the ultimate mission.”
Opinion
Mark Cuban calls Elon Musk an intentional troll on X
“As a Twitter user, he's a troll. And I mean, he just trolls to troll to troll, and every good troll deserves a foil, right?”
Opinion
David Sacks says Elon Musk bought X to promote free speech
“I truly believe that his core conviction and the reason he bought Twitter X is because he wanted to unlock it as a free speech platform.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts X will be viewed as a gift but challenged business
“I do think that that will be looked at as a beautiful thing that he gave to society as a gift. And it will be looked at as a really challenged business.”
Opinion
Cuban: Elon Musk goes all-in without hedging more than anyone else
“The one thing I respect the most about Elon Musk, and he does more than anybody I've ever seen, and that is he goes all in. He doesn't just, you know, he takes every cent he has, and he believes in it, and he goes all mother in. He never hedges his bet at all.”
Opinion
Cuban: Google's Gemini 1.5, NotebookLM, and Meta open source are insanely good
“Notebook is insanely good. Gemini, 1.5 is insanely good. Meta as open source and what they're doing is getting better and better.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Nothing guarantees OpenAI will win the AI market
“There is no, you know, there's nothing that says that open AI is going to win. Nothing at all.”
Opinion
Cuban: OpenAI restricting investor deals reflects fear rather than strength
“And to me, it tells me they're more scared than anything by trying to restrict what people are doing.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Big Tech incumbents consistently win when threatened by upstarts
“And I think in, in the last 20 or 25 years, what you've seen is those companies, when their backs are against the wall, they use money, they're sharp elbowed, but the consistent thing is they've won.”
Disclosure
Mark Cuban stopped using Tesla FSD because it terrified him
“I have, but I stopped using it just because it terrified me because it doesn't know what adversarial things it doesn't know.”