yen carry trade

also referred to as: yen carry trades

4 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Aug 9, 2024 by David Friedberg · across every show →

Everything said about yen carry trade, oldest first

Aug 9, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: JPMorgan estimates 75% of yen carry trades have unwound
“With this particular trade, JP Morgan yesterday, or a few hours ago, said that they think about 75% of the yen carry trades have now been unwound, and it was at 50% a little over a day ago, so the market has moved to kind of unwind these trades, it seems, and …”
David Friedberg Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 26:03 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Aug 9, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Yen carry trade injected roughly $20 trillion into global economy
“The yen carry trade has injected roughly 20 trillion dollars of liquidity into the global economy, and that is propping up all sorts of things, right?”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 23:09 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Aug 9, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts the yen carry trade market unwinding is not mostly over
“Then it looked like it unraveled itself. And so people thought, oh, we're probably mostly past this. I actually think we're not.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 7:58 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
May 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Yen carry trade unwind will prompt $1T+ US Treasury selloff, pushing yields higher
“When that trade unwinds, what you're going to have are net sellers of up to, as Freebrooke said, a trillion plus dollars of US treasuries. What will that do? It will further exacerbate the market's reluctance to own US treasuries, which means yields go even hi…”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 24, 2025 ▶ 23:35 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
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