US stock market

also referred to as: u.s. stock market

4 statements across 4 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Mar 19, 2022 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about US stock market, oldest first

Mar 19, 2022 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts a stock market melt up over the next month
“I think that we're in the midst of what I would call a melt up. So, you know, probably the next month, month and a half. There really isn't much quote unquote, bad news that hasn't been priced in.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 19, 2022 ▶ 50:32 E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
Oct 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Stock market will rally short term before going down
“I think the stock market is going up. Then it'll go back down, because I think what David said is right, but for the short term, this thing is going up. Short term up, and you know, we've generally been positioned for it to go up, and at some point we will rev…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 1:06:13 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Aug 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Chamath predicts US stock market will rise despite a potential recession
“I also think that there's a pretty decent chance the market will be up.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 37:15 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Jan 31, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: US stock market is down since pre-COVID when measured in gold
“You can see that the stock markets in the United States over the past years, so this is about seven and a half years going back to the pre-COVID era, is actually down, down pretty substantively. From the pre-COVID era.”
David Friedberg Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 1:13:58 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
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