US dollar

also referred to as: u.s. dollar · us dollars

15 statements across 14 episodes · 5 bullish · 9 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Nov 25, 2020 by David Friedberg · across every show →

Everything said about US dollar, oldest first

Nov 25, 2020 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg claims 30% of US dollars in circulation were printed in six months
“We printed 30% of the US dollars in circulation in the last six months, and everyone's cheering that the Dow is at 30,000.”
David Friedberg Nov 25, 2020 ▶ 1:05:07 E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials
Feb 20, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts US dollar will eventually lose reserve currency status
“So, yeah, I mean, I think that eventually it translates into inflation, but I think it translates into something even worse, which is at some point people become skeptical about loaning money to the US government and the, because they don't want the US to be a…”
David Sacks Feb 20, 2021 ▶ 1:13:24 E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions
Jan 6, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg predicts the US dollar will lose its global reserve currency status
“It could be that the US dollar coming out of 2023 starts to trade more like a risk asset and less like a risk free asset. And so I think that that's my big contrarian bet is that maybe this year marks the beginning of the end of the US dollar as the kind of gl…”
David Friedberg Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 59:02 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
Mar 24, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: US dollar will not undergo hyperinflation or fall to zero
“So it's really hard to kind of just say, hey, it's going to be hyperinflationary, and the value is going to go to zero, it's just not going to happen.”
David Friedberg Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 29:24 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Apr 7, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Chamath: De-dollarization fears over non-USD bilateral trade deals are overblown
“This whole thing is a huge nothing burger.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 7, 2023 ▶ 20:39 E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee
Jun 2, 2023 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Palihapitiya: US dollar reserve share remains steady between 60% and 70%
“And the actual amount of us dollar money hasn't changed that much. Gone between 60 and 70%”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 47:37 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 2, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya predicts China will fail to build non-dollar trading bloc
“I think you have a very accurate assessment of what China wants, but it doesn't mean it's going to happen. And I think you have to make a bet. What do you think it's going to happen or not? I bet it's not going to happen.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 49:17 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Sep 1, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Chamath: July 2023 US dollar SWIFT transaction volume was highest ever
“And if you look at Swift in July, you know, the Swift volumes on us dollars was the largest ever.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 38:43 E144: Biden targets Elon, BRICS challenges the West, Tiger hit piece & more
Dec 7, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Bitcoin will ultimately become a threat to the U.S. dollar
“I do think Bitcoin fundamentally is meant to be, supposed to be, ultimately will become a real threat to the US dollar”
David Friedberg Dec 7, 2024 ▶ 28:44 New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale
Mar 8, 2025 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Tariffs enable US to rebase dollar reliance and deficit funding
“I think what tariffs allow us to do is rebase the long-term reliance on the US dollar. It allows us to rebase our ability to fund our own deficits. And it allows us to rebase the long-term ability for American companies to be economically vibrant.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 12:53 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Apr 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shapiro: Loss of US dollar reserve status will trigger higher taxes
“The exit of the dollar as the world's global reserve currency is going to have some pretty nasty spillover effects, and it's going to require the government to start sucking in more dollars from the American population in order to pay off all of these debts th…”
Ben Shapiro Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:20:53 DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
Jul 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Dollar had worst start to a year in 50 years
“The dollar was down over 10% through the first half of 2025. This is the worst start in over 50 years.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 43:38 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Jul 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Dollar-backed stablecoins will extend USD dominance internationally
“Well, I think what's going to happen with these dollar based stable coins is they'll start being used all over the world. Let's say that you're in a country, maybe it's a developing world country where the fiat currency is not trusted. And now all of a sudden …”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:02:53 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Sep 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Friedman: U.S. dollar will remain the global reserve currency long-term
“I am a huge believer in dollar as a reserve currency, and the fact we will be persistent as a reserve currency over a long period of time.”
Adena Friedman Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 21:02 Nasdaq CEO Reveals the Next Era Of The Stock Market - Adena Friedman | All-In Summit
Jan 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Calacanis: US dollar will perform poorly in 2026 due to growing national debt
“I went with the U.S. Dollar in different permutations of how you can buy it because our debt continues to grow unabated and, you know. I just think it's gonna be hard for, you know, the USD because we're talking about, we've been adding, I think we're gonna ad…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:11:53 All-In's 2026 Predictions
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